Skip to Content

Research & Commentary Results

Filter by
1785 Results
An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) shakes the hand of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo following their meeting in Jerusalem on October 18, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states

    Attempts by the indicted Israeli leader to railroad through a joint U.S.-Israel defense treaty in opposition to the Palestinians and other Arabs will be disastrous for America’s national interest.

    December 9, 2019

    Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?
  • Analysis
  • Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?

    The 12-country Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF), which held its latest meeting in Equatorial Guinea on Nov. 28, has never had OPEC’s ability to control energy prices, but that is likely to change as liquefied natural gas (LNG) transforms the gas market from a regional to a global one.  

    December 6, 2019

    Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?
    A picture taken on October 3, 2019 shows a general view of the plenum during the swearing-in ceremony at the Knesset in Jerusalem. - Israel's parliament was sworn in today without a new government formed as a deadlocked general election left Netanyahu scrambling to find a path to extend his long tenure in power.
  • Commentary
  • Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?

    It is clear that the Israeli political system has reached a peak in terms of the challenges it faces: two elections campaigns to date this year have not led to conclusive results and a third round may be right around the corner.

    November 25, 2019

    Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base
    U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks during a press conference at the U.S. Department of State on November 18, 2019 in Washington, DC
  • Analysis
  • Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base

    It is not always recognized that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s Nov. 18 declaration that Israeli “settlements are not inconsistent with international law” was primarily political, not diplomatic, designed for domestic American consumption as part of the president’s reelection campaign. Secondarily, it was intended to strengthen Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s hand in the current coalition negotiations and/or the likely upcoming Knesset election, if coalition negotiations fail. Third on the list, almost an afterthought, is the effect on the Palestinians, whose future state’s boundaries it purports to impact.

    November 21, 2019

    Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today
     Muslim pilgrims gather at the Grand Mosque in Saudi Arabia's holy city of Mecca on August 7, 2019, prior to the start of the annual Hajj pilgrimage in the holy city.
  • Commentary
  • Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today

    Four decades on, echoes of the November 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque in Mecca continue to reverberate. Coming on the heels of the Iranian revolution and days after the Iran hostage-taking, the Mecca attack, carried out by a group of several hundred Saudi extremist Islamists declaring a new Mahdi, shocked the Sunni world and pushed Muslims in a far more conservative direction.

    November 20, 2019

    The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss
    A picture taken on November 3, 2019 shows a sign of Saudi Aramco's initial public offering (IPO) during a press conference by the state company in the eastern Saudi Arabian region of Dhahran.
  • Commentary
  • The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss

    The Saudi Aramco IPO got started this Sunday morning with shares priced at SAR 30-32 ($8-8.50) each, valuing the company at $1.7 trillion, $300 billion below the original estimate. The lower valuation has been expected for some time by most investment banks and many financial analysts. The proceeds are expected to fund the Public Investment Fund’s forays into non-energy-based companies, advanced technologies, and even robot-filled cities.

    November 18, 2019

    Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente
    Palestinian Islamic Jihad militants attend the funeral of a comrade in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip November 14, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente

    A Nov. 12 Israeli airstrike on the Gaza Strip killed Baha Abu al-Ata, a commander with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) militant group. Over the ensuring 48 hours, the PIJ launched some 450 rockets from Gaza into southern and central Israel. Hamas, the Palestinian political party/militant group that acts as the de facto government of Gaza, stayed out of the fighting — despite relatively high civilian casualties and the killing of one of its fighters.

    November 18, 2019

    Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states
    The NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence (CoE) in Tallinn, Estonia, 14 April 2015.
  • Analysis
  • Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states

    The role of cybersecurity in the future of geopolitics in the Middle East and the surrounding regions will have much to do with individual state and enterprise preparedness. With cyber threats a growing source of interstate tension, governments must take measures to increase national cyber preparedness that are tailored to their vulnerabilities and cyber ecosystems. Israel and Estonia are examples of states that prove this rule. Despite their relatively small size, both have demonstrated an exceptional capacity to deter or defend against cyber aggression from their much larger, more aggressive neighbors.

    November 18, 2019

    Despite the hurdles, an opportunity for de-escalation in Yemen
    ) Yemeni Deputy Prime Minister Ahmed Saeed al-Khanbashi (R) and Southern Transitional Council (STC) representative Nasser al-Habci (L) are seen during a signing ceremony of 'Riyadh Agreement' between the Yemeni government and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)-backed separatist forces, Southern Transitional Council (STC) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on November 05, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Despite the hurdles, an opportunity for de-escalation in Yemen

    After more than two months of Saudi-mediated indirect talks between the Republic of Yemen Government (ROYG) and the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), the two sides finally reached a deal on Nov. 5. The Saudi effort, which culminated in the signing of the Riyadh Agreement, is aimed at resolving the conflict within the Arab coalition-backed front and uniting the two parties in the fight against the Iranian-backed Houthi militias. The agreement, which spans political, economic, security, and military arrangements, involves restructuring the executive, military, and security branches of the ROYG, partial disarmament of STC-loyal forces, and the demilitarization of Aden — all of which will be phased in over the next three months.

    November 8, 2019

    Facebook’s lawsuit against Israeli tech firm: The private sector and new cyber tension in the Middle East
    An Israeli woman uses her iPhone in front of the building housing the Israeli NSO group, on August 28, 2016, in Herzliya, near Tel Aviv.
  • Commentary
  • Facebook’s lawsuit against Israeli tech firm: The private sector and new cyber tension in the Middle East

    Recent legal action by tech giant Facebook has critical implications for the rise of private sector actors in the fight for dominance and security in the Middle East cyber domain. On Oct. 29, Facebook filed a lawsuit against the Israel-based company NSO Group for allegedly breaching users of the Facebook-owned communications platform WhatsApp.

    October 30, 2019

    Saudi Arabia’s quick fix of Yemen’s southern conflict will face a durability problem
    A fighter of the UAE-trained Security Belt Force, dominated by backers of the the Southern Transitional Council (STC) which seeks independence for south Yemen, mans the turret of a technical (pickup truck mounted with an anti-aircraft gun) displaying portraits of separatist leader Aidarus al-Zubaidi and showing the logo of the STC, in the Crater district in the centre of Yemen's second city of Aden on August 12, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s quick fix of Yemen’s southern conflict will face a durability problem

    After violent confrontations with the government of Yemen and repeated struggles for autonomy, members of the Southern Transitional Council (STC), which represents a political movement that calls for secession, appeared satisfied with the terms of a deal that will be signed with the government of Yemen in Riyadh on Oct. 31. The Saudi-brokered agreement united the conflicting parties in their fight against the Iran-backed Houthis, with a strong vision aimed at stopping any side-show that could endanger this effort.

    October 29, 2019

    There may not be any celebrations, but the Israeli-Jordanian peace agreement has endured for 25 years
    The Israel-Jordan peace treaty being signed in 1994. US President Bill Clinton watches Jordan's King Hussein and Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin sign the treaty on the White house lawn
  • Analysis
  • There may not be any celebrations, but the Israeli-Jordanian peace agreement has endured for 25 years

    Oct. 26, 2019 marked the 25th anniversary of the signing of the peace treaty between the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan and the State of Israel. A quarter-century on, relations between the two countries remain mired in disputes and difficulties, and no special celebrations were planned despite the significance of the event. While the challenges facing the two states are complex, both sides benefit from the agreement. The fact that the peace treaty has endured for two and a half decades amid the chaos and unrest afflicting the region is certainly a cause for celebration and gives grounds for optimism.

    October 28, 2019

    Resolving the Lebanese-Israeli border dispute: What’s in it for Washington?
    Lebanese President Michel Aoun (L) meets U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Elizabeth Richard (R) at Baabda Palace in Beirut, Lebanon on May 9, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Resolving the Lebanese-Israeli border dispute: What’s in it for Washington?

    On Sept. 25, Lebanese President Michel Aoun told the UN General Assembly that Lebanon is prepared to welcome any country’s help in demarcating its land and maritime borders. He was referring to Lebanon’s decades-old border dispute with Israel, the resolution of which has become increasingly important as the country inches closer toward its first oil and gas drilling operations later this year.

    October 24, 2019

    Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists
    Security forces loyal to Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas stop a vehicle at a checkpoint in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip on August 28, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists

    Reports of a secret war being waged by Hamas against Salafi-jihadist groups in the Gaza Strip are indicative of increasing challenges to the former’s security control within the enclave. Hamas’ current approach to violent Salafist cells in Gaza is equally demonstrative of an ongoing warming of relations between Cairo and Hamas, and one that has afforded Hamas international legitimacy and an ease in border restrictions.

    October 22, 2019