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Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about
Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about

    Leaders of Arab Gulf regimes now decry the attempt to implement the vision of the Israeli Right, which aims to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state. But it is exactly the policies of the Arab Gulf regimes, through their normalization of ties with Israel at the expense of the Palestinians, that directly contributed to the rise of the Israeli Right and made this annexation more likely.

    June 24, 2020

    Iran’s influence in Afghanistan
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s influence in Afghanistan

    Despite strong religious and cultural ties and a long shared border, Iran has a somewhat complicated relationship with Afghanistan. Since the Soviet Union’s invasion of Afghanistan some four decades ago, Iran’s attempts to preserve its interests in conflict-ridden Afghanistan have not received much attention from the outside world, but it remains one of the most important neighboring countries for Tehran’s foreign policy.

    June 23, 2020

    Dancing during the pandemic: Despite restrictions, music and dance retain a central role in Iranian society
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Dancing during the pandemic: Despite restrictions, music and dance retain a central role in Iranian society

    Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, music and dance have become increasingly common in Iran’s hospitals and on its streets. Long disallowed in public after the Islamic revolution of 1979, they have become both a source of support for Iranians during difficult times and a way of resisting the regime.

    June 16, 2020

    Netanyahu and annexation: Will he or won’t he?
    Photo by GALI TIBBON/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Netanyahu and annexation: Will he or won’t he?

    A somewhat surprising assortment of organizations and interest groups are lining up to oppose annexation, alongside the usual opponents.

    June 15, 2020

    Why aren’t mainstream Israelis and American Jews supporting Palestinians?
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why aren’t mainstream Israelis and American Jews supporting Palestinians?

    When the video emerged of a Minneapolis policeman pressing his knee on the neck of George Floyd as he lay on the ground, Palestinians were surprised by the image — the technique was all too familiar. But while hundreds of thousands of people have taken to the streets to protest the killing of George Floyd, an African-American male, by police across the U.S. and around the world, the response among Israelis and American Jews to violence against Palestinians is quite different. Many liberal Jewish leaders and thinkers who have spoken out forcefully against the killing of Floyd are silent when it comes to the atrocities committed by Israeli soldiers.

    June 11, 2020

    A moment of reckoning for the US and Iraq
    Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A moment of reckoning for the US and Iraq

    The U.S.-Iraq Strategic Dialogue that will be launched this week provides an opportunity for the two sides to put their relations, as Iraqi President Dr. Barham Salih said last April, “in the right context.”

    June 9, 2020

    As Iran redeploys amid COVID-19, Russia is filling the vacuum in eastern Syria
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As Iran redeploys amid COVID-19, Russia is filling the vacuum in eastern Syria

    The impact of COVID-19 on Iran-linked forces in Syria has provided Russia with an opportunity to expand its influence through its proxy forces, particularly in eastern Syria, as Iranian and pro-Iranian forces redeploy elsewhere in the country.

    June 5, 2020

    Will COVID-19 inhibit Iran’s ability to suppress protests?
  • Analysis
  • Will COVID-19 inhibit Iran’s ability to suppress protests?

    Since 2017, Iran has seen several waves of protests rooted in political, social, and, most importantly, economic grievances. In light of COVID and the post-pandemic fallout, there is every indication that unrest will continue to grow, and even accelerate. Until now, the regime’s coercive apparatus has had both the capacity and the willingness of its members to successfully suppress anti-regime unrest. But has COVID-19 changed this balance? What impact, if any, has the pandemic had on the regime’s security capacity?

    June 3, 2020

    Iran, Israel, and the risk of cyber escalation
    Photo by Chesnot/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iran, Israel, and the risk of cyber escalation

    Quickly attributing or blaming a country for a cyber incident without technical analysis, proof, and government officials willing to go on record only inflames an already tense situation.

    June 1, 2020

    US-Iranian relations remain on track for escalation
  • Analysis
  • US-Iranian relations remain on track for escalation

    Iran is currently facing an incredibly unlucky alignment of pressure sources that are interrelated and will force the regime to engage in risky or experimental behavior, most likely in 2020. The COVID-19 epidemic simply exacerbates the combined challenges of a regime squeezed by an international sanctions network and a restive population reaching a breaking point with economic hardship. A continued acceptance of the status quo is untenable; thus, the regime will likely begin to undertake various initiatives in the coming months, more likely military than diplomatic in nature, that could force the United States to ease the isolation of the country.

    May 29, 2020

    Parviz Tanavoli, the nightingale of Iran
    Photo by Hadani Ditmars
  • Analysis
  • Parviz Tanavoli, the nightingale of Iran

    Far from his native Tehran in bucolic West Vancouver, Parviz Tanavoli, the 83-year-old “father of modern Iranian sculpture,” contemplates the fate of his homeland. “My heart breaks when I see what is happening in Iran now,” says the renowned artist, who divides his time between a life of relative obscurity on Canada’s Pacific coast, and Tehran, where he is referred to simply as “Master Tanavoli.”

    May 27, 2020

    A return to the Fatah way
    Photo by Mikhail Svetlov/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A return to the Fatah way

    The May 20 announcement is something of a watershed, in which Palestinian decision-makers appear to have chosen to leave behind the professionalism of President Abbas and instead adopt the Fatah revolutionary way of making strategic decisions and then implementing them on an ad hoc basis while making adjustments along the way.

    May 25, 2020

    Russia’s playbook on the Trump peace plan
    Photo by Mikhail Svetlov/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s playbook on the Trump peace plan

    The last few days have seen an unprecedented flurry of Russian activity on the Israeli-Palestinian track. On May 19, Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister and Vladimir Putin’s Special Envoy for the Middle East and Africa Mikhail Bogdanov spoke on the phone with Assistant to the U.S. President and Special Representative for International Negotiations Avi Berkowitz.

    May 22, 2020

    The Abbas declaration: Why this time may be different
    Photo by ALAA BADARNEH/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Abbas declaration: Why this time may be different

    In a dramatic statement delivered yesterday in Ramallah and broadcast on Palestine TV, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas declared an end to all agreements signed between the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and both Israel and the United States. In light of the newly sworn in Israeli government’s commitment to the annexation of Palestinian land in the West Bank, declared Abbas, the Palestinian leadership would henceforth be “absolved, as of today, of all the agreements and understandings with the American and Israeli governments and of all the obligations based on these understandings and agreements, including the security ones” — thus implying that the security coordination between the Palestinian Authority (PA) and Israel would come to an end.

    May 20, 2020