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Russia’s Middle East: You probe with bayonets. If you find mush, you proceed …
Mural of Vladimir Lenin
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s Middle East: You probe with bayonets. If you find mush, you proceed …

    This paper looks at the 2018 U.S. National Defense Strategy (NDS), and the Irregular Warfare Annex (IWA) to that guiding document, with recommendations on how to better implement the strategy. It also analyzes the current Russian way of conducting irregular warfare by reviewing their actions in Ukraine, Syria, and Libya.

    The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong
    Fighters with the UAE-trained Security Belt Forces loyal to the pro-independence Southern Transitional Council (STC) man a checkpoint near the south-central coastal city of Zinjibar in south-central Yemen, in the Abyan Governorate, on August 21, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong

    On Feb. 9, 2020, after five years of involvement in Yemen’s civil war as part of the Saudi-led coalition, the UAE’s leadership celebrated the completion of its phased military withdrawal from the country in a ceremony at Zayed Military City. Although the UAE’s withdrawal has provided an exit strategy from the stalemate in Yemen, it neither suspends Abu Dhabi’s role in the coalition nor curtails Emirati influence on the ground.

    February 25, 2020

    Obstacles to the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement
    Yemeni Deputy Prime Minister Ahmed Saeed al-Khanbashi (R) and Southern Transitional Council (STC) representative Nasser al-Habci (L) are seen during a signing ceremony of 'Riyadh Agreement' between the Yemeni government and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)-backed separatist forces, Southern Transitional Council (STC) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on November 05, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Obstacles to the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement

    Now that all of the implementation deadlines have come and gone, where do things stand with the Riyadh Agreement, signed in late 2019 by Yemen’s Hadi government and the Southern Transitional Council?

    February 24, 2020

    Why Erdogan can't afford to back down over conflict with Assad and Russia
     A displaced Syrian girl carries a bag of bread in a stadium which has been turned into a makeshift refugee shelter on February 19, 2020 in Idlib, Syria.
  • Analysis
  • Why Erdogan can't afford to back down over conflict with Assad and Russia

    Nearly a million civilians, 81 percent of them women and children, have been displaced from their homes in 90 days in Syria’s northwestern province of Idlib, amid a brutal military campaign by Syria’s Assad regime, Russia and Iran-backed militias.

    How can Egypt capitalize on its start-up boom?
    Social entrepreneur, Amr Sobhy, CEO of Pushbots, works in the office space at Flat6Labs on November 7, 2012 in Cairo, Egypt.
  • Analysis
  • How can Egypt capitalize on its start-up boom?

    There has been a largely overlooked yet significant trend in entrepreneurship in Egypt, the Arab world’s most populous country. Much of this has been concentrated in the country’s two main economic centers, Cairo and Alexandria, but there are also signs of a broader and more inclusive trend. Despite this boom, few start-ups seem to have left much of a mark beyond the early development stages. A lack of access to finance has long been recognized as a key obstacle, yet the approaches taken by the government and international development lenders have proven largely ineffective. If this, along with other obstacles, can be addressed, the country’s nascent start-up scene could become a catalyst for economic development.

    February 20, 2020

    Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire
    A picture taken at the port of Dilovasi, outside Istanbul, on June 20, 2019 shows the drilling ship 'Yavuz' scheduled to search for oil and gas off Cyprus, next to a warship.
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire

    The eastern Mediterranean has become an increasingly important focus for Turkey’s foreign and security policy, but the interlocking of new issues like energy politics and sovereignty rights with old problems like Cyprus has created significant challenges for Ankara.

    February 18, 2020

    Turkey faces potential Russian blowback on Syria — and tomatoes are only the beginning
     A Turkish military convoy of tanks and armoured vehicles passes through the city of Idlib, in northwestern Syria, near the Syria-Turkey border, late on February 7, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • Turkey faces potential Russian blowback on Syria — and tomatoes are only the beginning

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan finds himself in a tough spot with Russia as tensions in Syria have escalated dramatically. In a rare direct military confrontation between Turkish and Syrian regime forces, 14 Turkish soldiers and over 100 regime troops were killed in two separate clashes in Idlib over the past 10 days.

    Green financing in Egypt
    Construction of ministerial buildings at the governmental district in the new administrative capital, some 50 km east of the capital Cairo, on March 7, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Green financing in Egypt

    The green movement has been slow to catch on in Egypt, but the January announcement by the Egyptian government that it is finalizing plans to launch the country’s first green bonds could provide the financial incentives to further promote sustainable development. “Sustainability” is one of the fastest growing sectors globally, estimated to reach as much as $12 trillion annually by 2030.

    February 11, 2020

    China plays the long game on Syria
    BEIJING, Nov. 22, 2019 -- Chinese Vice President Wang Qishan meets with a delegation of Syria's Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party, led by Helal Helal, deputy general secretary of the ruling party, in Beijing, capital of China, Nov. 22, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • China plays the long game on Syria

    Since the beginning of the Syrian civil war in 2011, many analysts have examined the role played by a handful of key outside actors, such as Russia, Iran, Turkey, and the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Yet China has received comparatively little attention in most discussions about the Syrian crisis. A deeper look at Sino-Syrian relations and Beijing’s policies vis-à-vis Syria is long overdue as this bilateral relationship is set to become increasingly important to both China’s ambitious foreign policy as well as the Syrian government’s vision for reconstruction and redevelopment.

    February 10, 2020

    A moment of truth in Idlib
    Photo by Ibrahim Dervis/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • A moment of truth in Idlib

    Relentless airstrikes and shelling have killed over 5,000 and displaced more than half a million people.

    February 10, 2020

    The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority
    Bulgarian and NATO navi ships take part during Bulgarian-NATO military navy exercise in the Black sea, east of the Bulgarian capital Sofia, Friday, July, 10, 2015.
  • Analysis
  • The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority

    The Black Sea is a very important region for NATO, and has not received the attention it deserves; a separate focused NATO strategy and support for countries in the Black Sea would send a message that the Alliance takes the region seriously.

    February 6, 2020