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Will Iran replace its presidency with a parliamentary system?
Iran's President Hassan Rouhani delivers a speech presenting the Islamic republic's new budget for the financial year starting late March 2020 in Tehran on December 8, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Will Iran replace its presidency with a parliamentary system?

    The results of Iran’s recent elections and preparations for the succession of Ayatollah Khamenei as supreme leader could mean that the topic of replacing Iran’s presidential system with a parliamentary one may very well be up for discussion again.

    February 27, 2020

    Understanding EU-MENA relations: Current and changing dynamics
    Jordanian King Abdullah II gestures as he delivers a speech at the European Parliament, on January 15, 2020, in Strasbourg, eastern France.
  • Analysis
  • Understanding EU-MENA relations: Current and changing dynamics

    This year could mark a turning point in the European Union’s relations with the countries of the MENA region. If the EU is to realize the objectives laid out in its 2016 global foreign and security policy strategy and become a major world power, it has to be more proactive and creative, especially in the Middle East.

    February 19, 2020

    Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire
    A picture taken at the port of Dilovasi, outside Istanbul, on June 20, 2019 shows the drilling ship 'Yavuz' scheduled to search for oil and gas off Cyprus, next to a warship.
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire

    The eastern Mediterranean has become an increasingly important focus for Turkey’s foreign and security policy, but the interlocking of new issues like energy politics and sovereignty rights with old problems like Cyprus has created significant challenges for Ankara.

    February 18, 2020

    From Stockholm to Riyadh: Breaking the Yemen peace process deadlock
    Rebel negotiator Mohammed Abdelsalam (C) holds a press conference together with members of the delegation following the peace consultations taking place at Johannesberg Castle in Rimbo, north of Stockholm, Sweden, on December 13, 2018. - Yemen's government and rebels have agreed to a ceasefire in flashpoint Hodeida, where the United Nations will now play a central role, the UN chief said. (Photo by Jonathan NACKSTRAND / AFP) (Photo credit should read JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • From Stockholm to Riyadh: Breaking the Yemen peace process deadlock

    Over the past 14 months, there have been moments when it seemed like progress was being made toward de-escalation in Yemen, but there have also been significant setbacks as well. Peace efforts thus far have been largely fragmented and frail, and two primary lessons from the past failures have become clear.

    February 13, 2020

    Iran targeted Israel’s April 2019 elections. Was it preparing for the US 2020 elections?
     Benny Gantz a former head of the IDF and head of Israel resilience party speaks to supporters in a campaign event on January 29, 2019 in Tel Aviv, Israel.
  • Analysis
  • Iran targeted Israel’s April 2019 elections. Was it preparing for the US 2020 elections?

    The April 2019 Israeli elections between incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his competitor Benny Gantz were fraught with tension even before external entities got involved. But when Israel’s internal security service, Shin Bet, revealed that suspected Iranian cyber actors had accessed Gantz’s mobile phone, there was yet another issue to contend with, albeit one not specific only to Israeli elections: interference.

    February 13, 2020

    Iran-Russia ties: Never better but maybe not forever?
    MOSCOW, RUSSIA - DECEMBER 30, 2019: Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif (L) and Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov shake hands during a press conference following their meeting at the Russian Foreign Ministry's Reception House in Spiridonovka Street. Vladimir Gerdo/TASS (Photo by Vladimir GerdoTASS via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Iran-Russia ties: Never better but maybe not forever?

    The relationship between Iran and Russia has been strengthened by the rising tensions between Tehran and Washington since Donald Trump took office, and there is no doubt that Iran views Russia as one of its closest allies. The Iranian foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, has traveled to Moscow some 28 times during his tenure, and has stated that relations between the two countries have never been better.

    February 12, 2020

    As Iran heads to the polls, could Rouhani be facing impeachment?
    Iran's President Hassan Rouhani delivers a speech presenting the Islamic republic's new budget for the financial year starting late March 2020 in Tehran on December 8, 2019. - Rouhani described it as a
  • Analysis
  • As Iran heads to the polls, could Rouhani be facing impeachment?

    On Feb. 21, Iranians will be voting to elect a new Majlis, the country’s unicameral Parliament. Viewed from the outside, participating in the electoral system might seem futile. While the Iranian constitution recognizes popular will, as represented by an elected president and Parliament, the whole political system operates under the supreme leader, who, although appointed by an elected clerical body (the Assembly of Experts), is, in effect, answerable to no one. The Majlis does, however, have the power to remove the president — a fate that could potentially await President Hassan Rouhani if the conservatives win a majority in the upcoming elections.

    February 11, 2020

    How did China Win Over the Israeli People?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • How did China Win Over the Israeli People?

    According to the latest poll published by the Pew Research Center, the Israeli public sees China in a favorable way. Only in Russia and Nigeria does China get a more sympathetic audience. This result seems surprising, when compared to China’s low level of favorability in other Western countries. However, the strong favorability rating registered in the Pew survey is less surprising than it seems, and in fact is a clear indication that the wide-ranging Chinese soft power efforts to appeal to the Israeli public opinion have paid off.

    February 11, 2020

    Why Jordan was so quick to reject Trump’s peace plan
    Thousands of Jordanians protested on Friday against President Trump's Middle East Peace Plan on January 31, 2020 in Amman, Jordan.
  • Analysis
  • Why Jordan was so quick to reject Trump’s peace plan

    Jordan’s response to President Donald Trump’s so-called “deal of the century” has been quick and unequivocal. Less than an hour after the release of the peace plan at a White House ceremony on Jan. 28, Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi issued a statement in which he reiterated Amman’s support for the two-state solution and the Arab Peace Initiative (API) as the only path to a just and lasting settlement to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, without referring directly to the Trump proposal.

    February 3, 2020

    Arab states unanimously reject Trump plan
    Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas (3rd-L) and Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) Secretary-General Saeb Erekat (2nd-L) look on as Arab League Secretary-General Ahmed Aboul Gheit (L) reads a statement during an Arab League emergency meeting discussing the US-brokered proposal for a settlement of the Middle East conflict, at the league headquarters in the Egyptian capital Cairo on February 1, 2020.
  • Commentary
  • Arab states unanimously reject Trump plan

    The communiqué, while largely symbolic, was nonetheless a major victory for Abbas’ beleaguered leadership.

    February 3, 2020

    FBI probes NSO Group
    An Israeli woman uses her iPhone in front of the building housing the Israeli NSO group, on August 28, 2016, in Herzliya, near Tel Aviv.
  • Commentary
  • FBI probes NSO Group

    Reuters reported on Jan. 30 that the FBI has been investigating Israeli spyware firm NSO Group since 2017. The revelation comes after Sen. Chris Murphy and UN Special Rapporteur Agnes Callamard called on the U.S. to investigate the apparent hacking of Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos’s phone by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. In its statement, the UN identified NSO Group as a likely source of the malware.

    January 31, 2020

    Trump's "Peace Plan"
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Trump's "Peace Plan"

    Khaled Elgindy and Michael Koplow join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the long-awaited “deal of the century” Middle East peace plan. President Trump rolled the plan out at the White House on Tuesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in attendance, while the Palestinians, who have refused to deal with the administration since it recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital at the end of 2017, were not there – and not invited. How has it been received so far, and where might things go from here?

    January 31, 2020