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The Post-Abbas Palestinian National Struggle
  • Analysis
  • The Post-Abbas Palestinian National Struggle

    In the coming months, we can expect that Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas will no longer occupy the executive leadership position in the muqata, the interim Palestinian government headquarters in Ramallah. His age and his repeated insistence that he does not plan to run in new elections, as well as his most recent comments about his willingness to resign, point to this fact.

    August 10, 2015

    Mission to Jeddah
  • Analysis
  • Mission to Jeddah

    Twenty-five years ago, on August 7th 1990, an American interagency team walked into an urgent meeting with King Fahd of Saudi Arabia, not knowing what would happen. A week earlier Iraq had seized Kuwait. The Americans feared that the Iraqi Army might keep going, seizing the Saudi oil fields. As a result of decisions made at that August 7th meeting, Iraq and terrorism have dominated American foreign policy for three decades and continue to do so.

    August 7, 2015

    The Failure of ISIS’s Ramadan Offensive
  • Analysis
  • The Failure of ISIS’s Ramadan Offensive

    If the hallmark of al-Qa‘ida was to execute simultaneous spectacular attacks to advance its strategic momentum, the month of Ramadan in June and July showed that the Islamic State (ISIS) is taking this tactic to a new level. Yet the extreme amounts of blood shed during the holy month will likely ultimately weaken ISIS, as tribes and other groups in Syria and Iraq, even more appalled by the organization’s barbarism, unite against it.

    August 6, 2015

    Why the Iran Deal is Good for Israel
  • Analysis
  • Why the Iran Deal is Good for Israel

    Read the full op-ed on CNN.com.

    Few states face the kind of complex, sustained security challenges that Israel does.

    Israel has not enjoyed one day of peace with its neighbors since its independence in 1948. Many Arab and Muslim states have maintained an economic and political boycott against Israel for decades.

    August 5, 2015

    Another Palestinian Uprising?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Another Palestinian Uprising?

    Predictions of a new Palestinian intifada in the occupied territories tend to accompany every breakdown in the diplomatic process, announcement of a new colonial expansion project, and Israeli violence against Palestinian life—such as the recent horrific murder of Palestinian infant Ali Dawabsheh by settler terrorists who set fire to his West Bank family home.

    August 5, 2015

    25 Years In Iraq, With No End In Sight
  • Analysis
  • 25 Years In Iraq, With No End In Sight

    This article was first published on NPR’s Parallels blog.

    It started so well. When Saddam Hussein’s Iraq invaded Kuwait on Aug. 2, 1990, the United States swiftly cobbled together a broad coalition, unleashed a stunning new generation of air power and waged a lightning ground offensive that lasted all of four days. Iraqi troops were so desperate to quit that some surrendered to Western journalists armed only with notebooks.

    August 4, 2015

    Improved Egypt-Israel Relations through Sinai Crisis: Will They Last?
  • Analysis
  • Improved Egypt-Israel Relations through Sinai Crisis: Will They Last?

    Egyptian diplomats rarely have a good word to say about U.S. policies these days. In contrast, they are enthusiastic in their praise of the close relations between Cairo and Jerusalem—centered on counterterror security and intelligence cooperation in Sinai—and effusive in their acknowledgement of Israel’s response to the bloody insurgency there, led by Egypt’s ISIS affiliate in the “Sinai Province,” Ansar Beit al-Maqdis.

    “Relations with Israel are great,” observed an Egyptian official recently.[1]

    July 24, 2015

    The Syrian Druze at a Crossroads
  • Analysis
  • The Syrian Druze at a Crossroads

    In the last few weeks, the Syrian Druze have been a focal point in significant fighting on the ground. If their role in the fighting continues, or even if it changes, the Druze will likely have a profound impact on the trajectory of the Syrian conflict.

    July 13, 2015

    The Humanitarian Crisis in the Middle East: Highlights from the MEI Conference
  • Analysis
  • The Humanitarian Crisis in the Middle East: Highlights from the MEI Conference

    For decades, most refugee crises followed a pattern: A war erupted, usually in a poor country, and beleaguered civilians staggered across the nearest border. The United Nations organized a response, rich nations footed the bill, and aid groups sent in workers to tend to the needy. Even in extreme cases, such as the mass exodus from Afghanistan during the Soviet invasion in the 1980s, the crisis was largely confined to the country at war and a few immediate neighbors.

    July 9, 2015

    Tensions in the Golan
  • Analysis
  • Tensions in the Golan

    On June 22, members of the Druse minority in the Israeli town of Hurfeish threw rocks at an ambulance believed to be transporting wounded Syrian Jabhat al-Nusra rebels to medical care in Israel. The following day, a similar incident in the occupied Golan Heights resulted in the killing of one wounded rebel, also of Nusra.

    June 24, 2015

    Be Careful What You Wish For: A Security Council Resolution on Palestine Might Come True
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Be Careful What You Wish For: A Security Council Resolution on Palestine Might Come True

    For the first time in decades absolutely nothing is happening on the Israeli-Palestinian diplomatic front. There is no agreed-upon structure for diplomatic engagement under U.S.—or anyone’s—guidance. Moreover, there is an international consensus that includes the United States that doubts, with good reason, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s commitment to a two-state solution.

    June 6, 2015

    The Pillaging of Syria's Cultural Heritage
  • Analysis
  • The Pillaging of Syria's Cultural Heritage

    Since March 2011 Syria has gone through a traumatic process that has strained the ethnic, sectarian, and social fabric of the country—almost all that makes Syria a unified state with a people who share a common history, goals, and aspirations—to beyond the breaking point. Much of the country lies in ruins today, and its cultural heritage has been a deliberate casualty of the conflict from its earliest days.

    May 22, 2015