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Palestine at the Center of Israel-Turkey Trade
  • Analysis
  • Palestine at the Center of Israel-Turkey Trade

    On the north side of Istanbul’s Golden Horn, the Mavi Marmara sits in quiet isolation. In May 2010, the Turkish vessel was carrying aid for the besieged Gaza Strip when Israel forcibly intercepted it in international waters. Nine activists were killed in the raid, and a tenth succumbed to his injuries last month.

    The maritime crisis set off several years of polarized relations between Israel and Turkey that both countries believe are now on the mend. These improving ties may produce humanitarian and economic benefits for the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

    June 24, 2014

    Shi'astan 1, Kurdistan 1, Sunnistan 0
  • Analysis
  • Shi'astan 1, Kurdistan 1, Sunnistan 0

    President Obama’s decision to send 300 troops to Iraq to help Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s government organize and gain the intelligence needed to fight off a Sunni rebellion spearheaded by the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) is getting decidedly mixed reviews.

    June 20, 2014

    Reconceptualizing Sectarianism in the Middle East and Asia
  • Analysis
  • Reconceptualizing Sectarianism in the Middle East and Asia

    Sectarianism as a concept has gained renewed prominence following an offensive by the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in early June 2014, which resulted in the fall of Mosul and a string of Iraqi towns. These land grabs have resulted in a flurry of commentaries blaming the conflict on sectarian differences between Iraq’s Shi‘a and Sunnis and predicting the fragmentation of Iraq along sectarian lines. This piece seeks to provide an analysis as to whether sectarianism, in and of itself, is the driving factor behind the renewed conflict in Iraq or the three-year civil war raging in Syria.

    June 18, 2014

    The New President of Israel: Not Easily Categorized
  • Analysis
  • The New President of Israel: Not Easily Categorized

    Understanding the new president of Israel, Reuven (“Ruby”) Rivlin—his motives and beliefs, how he contrasts with outgoing President Shimon Peres, and what role he is likely to play during his seven-year term—requires some knowledge of history and Zionist ideology.

    June 17, 2014

    Secular Sectarians
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Secular Sectarians

    A common dichotomy that emerges in discussions of Sunni-Shi‘i “sectarianism” in the contemporary Middle East is that of secular versus sectarian. The logic underlining this false duality is obvious enough: a sect is, after all, a subgroup of a religious denomination that exists as a result of theological or jurisprudential peculiarity as shaped by history, politics, and geography. Therefore, logic would suggest that “secularism” is a plausible antonym for “sectarianism:” a temporal, civic approach to public space rooted in modern understandings of the nation-state and its master institutions and the need to separate church from state. As intuitive as this undoubtedly seems, it remains a false dichotomy that misrepresents sectarian identities and sectarian dynamics in the Arab world and overlooks the role played by class, politics, and power in what is ostensibly a religious issue.

    June 17, 2014

    Iraq — So What to Do?
  • Analysis
  • Iraq — So What to Do?

    This article was originally posted on Charles Duelfer’s blog.

    A possible path ahead is to take advantage of the post-election negotiations and configure a leadership that accommodates Sunni interests. This would by necessity mean someone other than Maliki becoming prime minister.

    June 13, 2014

    Robert Ford on the ISIS Offensive in Iraq
  • Analysis
  • Robert Ford on the ISIS Offensive in Iraq

    The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), a Sunni militant group controlling territory spanning the border between the two country’s northern regions, made a rapid advance toward Baghdad this week, seizing control of Mosul, Iraq’s second largest city, and Tikrit, and attacking the refinery town of Baiji. Forces from Iraqi Kurdistan have since moved to secure Kirkuk as the Iraqi central government’s military has fled in disarray. Robert Ford, former U.S.

    Five Arab Elections in Search of a Democratic Transition
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Five Arab Elections in Search of a Democratic Transition


    Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika casts his ballot on April 17.

    In the current two months between mid-April and early June, five Arab countries—Algeria, Lebanon, Iraq, Egypt, and even war-torn Syria—are holding key elections, with little sign that any is moving in the direction of meaningful democratic transition.

    May 9, 2014

    U.S. Policy and the Iraq Elections
  • Analysis
  • U.S. Policy and the Iraq Elections

    With Iraq’s elections scheduled for April 30, the United States should be acutely aware of its reduced but remaining influence in the country. Even in 2006 and 2010, when more than 100,000 U.S. soldiers were present in Iraq, it was largely Iran that had the final say on the premierships, if not the exact shape of the cabinets that were formed after the elections.

    April 28, 2014

    Iraq’s Make Up or Break Up Elections
  • Analysis
  • Iraq’s Make Up or Break Up Elections

    Two years after the U.S. withdrawal and four years into Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s second term, Iraq is on the brink of breaking apart. The upcoming parliamentary elections scheduled for April 30, and the political process of government formation that will follow, present an opportunity to push for a return to more inclusive politics in Iraq. Unless Maliki is replaced or drastically changes his policies, these might be the last elections in a nominally united Iraq.

    April 25, 2014