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Defense and Security

Ambassador Talal Al Rahbi on Oman’s Diplomacy
  • Podcast
  • Ambassador Talal Al Rahbi on Oman’s Diplomacy

    Brian is joined by His Excellency Talal Al Rahbi, the ambassador of the Sultanate of Oman to the United States of America, to discuss what it means to represent the “Switzerland of the Middle East” and the role of Oman’s quiet diplomacy. He also reflects on growing up during Oman’s transformation, his time spent in the United States, and why the two nations’ long-standing partnership matters today.

    Mohsen Rezaei: The Unlikely Peacemaker
  • Analysis
  • Mohsen Rezaei: The Unlikely Peacemaker

    After decades of political setbacks, Iran’s former Revolutionary Guards commander has returned to the center of power. Is he an incidental beneficiary of war, or have observers underestimated him all along?

    The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War
  • Analysis
  • The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War

    Gulf states and their partners are increasingly looking beyond their most immediate interests of containing the war with Iran. While recent talks between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, and Iran have kept de-escalation on the agenda, a broader regional security framework and non-aggression pact has also emerged, envisioning a longer-lasting solution to regional conflicts. The talks have yet to produce a settlement, but they reflect a growing recognition that Gulf security cannot depend entirely on Washington. Iran will still be there, and its neighbors will have to find ways of living with it.

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    US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads: Time for a Recalibration
    Photo by JONATHAN ERNST/POOL/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads: Time for a Recalibration

    The global response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has focused new attention on friction between the United States and its traditional partners in the Gulf and reinforced skepticism regarding the United States’ status as the dominant international partner in the region. It’s time for both sides to identify a realistic way forward that sheds outdated notions of mutual obligation without becoming merely transactional.

    April 5, 2022

    How Biden can rebuild U.S. ties with the Gulf states
  • Commentary
  • How Biden can rebuild U.S. ties with the Gulf states

    As tensions between the United States and the Gulf monarchies have been laid bare in recent weeks against the backdrop of Russia’s war in Ukraine, spiraling energy prices, and Houthi attacks on Saudi and Emirati territory, it’s clear that there will not be a return to the U.S.-Gulf partnership of the past—but there can be a new understanding between the two sides.

    How will the war in Ukraine affect EU-MENA relations?
    Photo by Stringer/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How will the war in Ukraine affect EU-MENA relations?

    While most analyses of the war in Ukraine have tended to focus on the intra-European dimension, it is worth exploring the potential consequences of this conflict for the EU’s relations with countries further afield, especially those in the Middle East and North Africa.

    March 25, 2022

    الوجود الإيراني في الحسكة السورية دور متنامي ومصدر تهديد مباشر للقوات الأمريكية
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • الوجود الإيراني في الحسكة السورية دور متنامي ومصدر تهديد مباشر للقوات الأمريكية

    زيادة القدرات العسكرية واللوجستية للمليشيات الإيرانية في محافظة الحسكة، ازداد منذ مطلع عام 2022، بعد أن كان وجودها يقتصر على مجموعات عسكرية صغيرة وبعض المليشيات المحلية المدعومة من إيران، لكن الأحداث الأخيرة فتحت المجال لها للتغلغل داخل المجتمعات المحلية، مستغلة تراجع الدور الروسي في المنطقة وخلافات العشائر العربية مع الإدارة الذاتية وقوات سوريا الديمقراطية.

    Ways forward for the war in Ukraine
    Ethan Swope/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Ways forward for the war in Ukraine

    Fearing war fatigue in Ukraine or an escalation of tensions with the potential to spill over beyond region, the West is keen to act. But what can the EU and NATO do to help resolve the war in Ukraine?

    March 24, 2022

    Will Russia deploy Syrian fighters to Ukraine?
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Will Russia deploy Syrian fighters to Ukraine?

    Most of the reporting on Russian recruitment in Syria has involved half-truths, if not outright lies. While it does appear that some Syrians have signed contracts to fight in Ukraine, there is no guarantee these fighters will actually be sent there. The coverage of this topic has also missed a key aspect of who would actually be involved if Syrians really do deploy to Ukraine.

    March 16, 2022

    “Get them to the conflict zone”: Russia turns to Syrian fighters for support in Ukraine
    Photo by Vadim SavitskyTASS via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • “Get them to the conflict zone”: Russia turns to Syrian fighters for support in Ukraine

    Doesn’t Russia’s egregious invasion of Ukraine look familiar? Whether it’s the flagrant attacks on civilians, the hospital bombings, siege tactics, or rampant disinformation, Ukraine’s parallels with Syria are just about everywhere one cares to look. However, yet another feature of Syria’s grueling war now appears set to be repeated amid reports that Russia is already recruiting Syrian fighters to join combat units on the frontlines in Ukraine.

    March 16, 2022

    Will Iran’s heavy-handed approach to deterring Israel backfire?
    Photo by SAFIN HAMED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Will Iran’s heavy-handed approach to deterring Israel backfire?

    On March 13, Iran’s IRGC fired missiles at targets in the Iraqi Kurdish city of Erbil. While Tehran’s threat of force might shape the calculations of regional states that are weighing the pros and cons of establishing closer ties with Israel, the Iranians will inevitably have to reckon with the possibility that this heavy-handed approach may backfire.

    Syria’s role in Putin’s invasion of Ukraine
    Photo by ANATOLII STEPANOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria’s role in Putin’s invasion of Ukraine

    As Russia pushes on with its relentless invasion of Ukraine, Damascus has done more than toe the proverbial Kremlin line — it has shown complete solidarity with its superpower patron.

    Drones are re-engineering the geopolitics of the Middle East
    Photo by Diego Cupolo/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Drones are re-engineering the geopolitics of the Middle East

    The Middle East is experiencing a seismic shift in its geopolitics: the dawn of the era of drones. From Syria to Libya and from Yemen to Iraq, UAVs have altered the dynamics on the battlefield. Agile and affordable, drones aren’t just a menace to remote conflict zones, but also to states far removed from theaters of war.

    What now for French operations in the Sahel?
    Photo by DAPHNE BENOIT/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What now for French operations in the Sahel?

    On Feb. 17, French President Emmanuel Macron announced the coming withdrawal of French armed forces from Mali. The decision put an end to nine years of French military intervention in the West African country.

    March 4, 2022

    The limits of the Georgia prism in Ukraine
    hotographer: Ethan Swope/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The limits of the Georgia prism in Ukraine

    While there are similarities between Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine today, we argue that overstating them leads to a deeper misunderstanding of both conflicts and leaves out significant differences that need to be addressed.

    March 2, 2022

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