The Latest from Ibtihel Bouchoucha
Khamenei and the end of Iran’s hopeless reformist movement
Iran’s once promising reformist movement is in a death spiral. It is not because the idea of reform has lost its appeal.
China’s Petrochemical Enterprise Alliance and Iran Oil Trade
China’s outbound capital policy is an attempt to reforge the Middle East in its own economic likeness through a revised ‘Going Global’ geoeconomic macro policy. China-Iran oil trade is only the beachhead of a deeper economic integration agenda, yet the geoeconomic management institutions that are currently forming will define China-Iran and wider China-Middle East engagement for decades to come.
Makhlouf videos reveal Syria’s growing regime infighting
The fact that Makhlouf chose to go public heightens the stakes at play at the top of the regime and within the Alawite clan, arguably more than ever.
In the wake of COVID-19, Jordan has limited choices if Israel annexes West Bank settlements
For Jordan Israeli annexation of Jewish settlements in the West Bank, as well as the strategically important Jordan Valley, constitutes an existential threat to the kingdom. But now Jordan faces unprecedented economic hardship as a consequence of the coronavirus crisis, and this could limit its scope for action.
Coalition’s cease-fire extension keeps the ball in the Houthis’ court
Despite the Houthis’ rejection of the Saudi-led coalition’s two-week unilateral cease-fire, on April 24 the coalition’s Joint Forces Command announced an extension throughout the holy month of Ramadan.
Egypt’s Suez Canal: A ray of light amid the economic gloom
It’s difficult to overstate the importance of the Canal to the international shipping trade, but it’s importance to Egypt economy is even greater still.
Lebanon’s war of plans
It is not yet clear who will emerge as the winners and the losers from this latest crisis in a country that has experienced so many.
Turkish-Emirati tensions continue to simmer
The tensions between the two sides are unlikely to ease anytime soon.
ISIS’s dramatic escalation in Syria and Iraq
The arrival of COVID-19 into Iraq and the resulting reduction in frontline deployed forces has widened the scope for ISIS operations.
Iraq: Maybe, finally a new prime minister
If Kadhimi’s opponents succeed in blocking his confirmation, Iraq’s government will sink deeper into lethargy at a time of building crisis.
Tragedy and farce in Libya
Last week Libya witnessed one of the oldest tricks in the book: unilaterally declare a cease-fire at exactly the moment when your opponents are poised to gain territory.
Violence in Afghanistan rises amid a looming health disaster
Rather than seeing the spreading virus as a common enemy, the Taliban seem to be viewing the health crisis as opening new military opportunities.
The US pushes for Kurdish unity in Syria with Turkish hostility and future Syria talks in mind
The uncertain political circumstances this time around make these efforts worth watching.
Sudan, Hong Kong, and Venezuela: Key takeaways from popular protest movements
The COVID-19 pandemic has delayed elections and brought about a surge in disinformation and rising authoritarianism worldwide. Popular protest movements are seeking ways to adapt to this new reality, and their survival is perhaps more important than ever in ensuring governments take a citizen-centered approach to the management of this crisis.