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Will the PKK Really Disarm?
  • Podcast
  • Will the PKK Really Disarm?

    In 2025, jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan made a historic call for the group to disarm and dissolve, raising hopes of ending a 40-year conflict that has shaped Turkey and the wider region. Months later, the PKK symbolically laid down arms in what many viewed as a breakthrough moment for the peace process.

    Turkish Foreign Policy
  • Backgrounder
  • Turkish Foreign Policy

    After a decade of post-Arab Spring isolation, Turkey’s leaders have recognized that their ambition to position the country as an agenda-setter on the world stage requires active engagement in all directions. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s consolidation of executive authority has centralized foreign policy decision-making and tied it to his domestic political priorities, transforming the country’s revisionist approach to one shaped primarily by personal and pragmatic interests.

    April 23, 2026

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    Confronting climate change, Turkey needs “green” leadership now more than ever
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Confronting climate change, Turkey needs “green” leadership now more than ever

    Turkey, like all other countries, is facing the harsh reality of climate change. Last year, it experienced one of the hottest summers on record. Blistering heat waves led to widespread wildfires in the country’s southwest, affecting five times more land than normal during the summer. Though Turkey usually has large water surpluses, some areas experienced shortages due to extreme drought. Others suffered heavy flooding, leaving scores dead.

    January 25, 2022

    Strong Turkey-Ukraine ties are key to Black Sea security
    Photo by Yörük Işık
  • Analysis
  • Strong Turkey-Ukraine ties are key to Black Sea security

    On Jan. 6, 2019, the eve of Orthodox Christmas, the Ecumenical Patriarchate in Istanbul awarded a decree of independence, known as a tomos, to the then-newly established Orthodox Church of Ukraine — a milestone in the country’s history. The move reversed a 1686 decision that had transferred jurisdiction over Kyivan Orthodox churches to Moscow. After 333 years, however, it’s not only the faithful who have changed their direction from Moscow toward Istanbul. Ukraine and Turkey are strengthening their strategic partnership by deepening their cultural, political, military, and economic cooperation.

    January 13, 2022

    Competing over Islam: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran in the Balkans
    Photo by Ercin Erturk/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Competing over Islam: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran in the Balkans

    Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran have been the main competitors in a struggle over who — and in what manner — should act as the patron of Muslims in the Balkans. These three countries are very different in terms of their historical footprint, economic and political presence, and local networks. What they share, however, is the use of Islam to exert soft power. This paper will discuss how they are seeking to wield influence, how regional actors respond to their overtures, and whether these three countries are meeting their objectives in the region.

    January 11, 2022

    أزمة العملة في تركيا هي صناعة ذاتية
  • Commentary
  • أزمة العملة في تركيا هي صناعة ذاتية

    عقب استقالة وزير المالية واستبداله بأحد الموالين للرئيس رجب طيب أردوغان في الثاني من ديسمبر/كانون الأول، واصلت الليرة التركية تراجعها المطرد أمام الدولار، لتصل خسائرها خلال العام إلى قرابة 50٪. من جديد تقع العملة التركية تحت وابل من المضاربات، على غرار الحلقات السابقة في يوليو/تموز 2018 وأكتوبر/تشرين

    December 7, 2021

    Turkey’s self-made currency crisis
    Photo by OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s self-made currency crisis

    Following the resignation of the finance minister and his replacement by a loyalist on Dec. 2, the Turkish lira continued its steady decline against the dollar, bringing its losses for the year to nearly 50%. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey’s early cuts to the policy rate since September have resulted in an exodus of foreign capital and a rush in demand for foreign exchange among domestic investors.

    December 3, 2021

    The 3+3 format in the South Caucasus doesn’t add up
    Photo by VANO SHLAMOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The 3+3 format in the South Caucasus doesn’t add up

    During his recent visit to Tbilisi, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin poured cold water on the idea of American support for a so-called “3+3 format” in the South Caucasus. When asked about the proposal, he said, “I would just say that Russia, which currently occupies 20% of Georgia’s territory, should focus on honoring its 2008 cease-fire commitments before promoting any new discussion platforms.”

    November 9, 2021

    A storm brews over the Black Sea: Turkey’s contradictory maritime policy
    Photo by Yörük Işık
  • Analysis
  • A storm brews over the Black Sea: Turkey’s contradictory maritime policy

    Turkey’s official policy supports the territorial integrity of Ukraine and Georgia, and it sells UAVs and ships to Ukraine. Yet, trade continues with the Russian-occupied territories of Abkhazia and Crimea. By allowing this illegal trade, Turkey undermines both its own credibility and its trading partners’ security. Shipped goods not only help connect occupied zones to Russia, but trade also brings hard currency into these zones, which are outside the international banking system.

    October 29, 2021

    Turkey finally ratified the Paris Agreement. Why now?
    Photo by Ali Balikci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey finally ratified the Paris Agreement. Why now?

    Turkey, like many countries worldwide, has recently faced severe environmental events. Suffering from floods and the worst wildfires in its history in the summer of 2021, the country finally took an important step to tackle climate change, ratifying the Paris Agreement international treaty on climate change on Oct. 6, 2021.

    October 27, 2021

    لقاء بايدن في البيت الأبيض مع البطريرك المسكوني يوفر فرصة فريدة
  • Commentary
  • لقاء بايدن في البيت الأبيض مع البطريرك المسكوني يوفر فرصة فريدة

    سيزور برثلماوس الأول، البطريرك المسكوني للقسطنطينية والزعيم الروحي لما يقرب من 300 مليون مسيحي أرثوذكسي على مستوى العالم، الولايات المتحدة بين 23 أكتوبر/تشرين الأول و3 نوفمبر/تشرين الثاني. وسيعلن بدء الاحتفال بالذكرى المئوية لتأسيس أبرشية الروم الأرثوذكس بأمريكا في زيارته الأولى للولايات المتحدة الأمريكية منذ 12 عامًا. ستكون المحطة الأولى للبطريرك المسكوني هي واشنطن العاصمة، حيث من المقرر أن يلتقي بالرئيس جو بايدن في البيت الأبيض.

    October 25, 2021

    Far from a benefactor, the Turkish government is exploiting Somalia’s fragility
    Photo by STUART PRICE/AU-UN IST PHOTO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Far from a benefactor, the Turkish government is exploiting Somalia’s fragility

    A decade has passed since Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan landed in Mogadishu at the height of one of Somalia’s worst famines, announcing grandiose projects like the launch of Turkish Airlines flights to the Somali capital, the remodeling of a hospital, and the opening of the biggest embassy in Africa, all designed to show that Turkey’s mission goes well beyond aid and that Ankara is an alternative to Somalia’s traditional donors. Erdoğan’s historic visit earned him high praise throughout Somalia. Although his trip appeared to be a heartfelt humanitarian mission, in reality it was part of a long-term, strategically planned effort. A decade on, Somalis are starting to realize that Turkey has evolved from friend to foe, trade partner to trade protectionist, state builder to outright spoiler.

    October 21, 2021

    Biden’s White House meeting with the Ecumenical Patriarch offers a unique opportunity
    BULENT KILIC/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Biden’s White House meeting with the Ecumenical Patriarch offers a unique opportunity

    Bartholomew I, the Ecumenical Patriarch of Constantinople and spiritual leader of nearly 300 million Orthodox Christians globally, will visit the United States between Oct. 23 and Nov. 3. He will inaugurate the centennial celebration of the founding of the Greek-Orthodox Archdiocese of America in his first U.S. visit in 12 years. The Ecumenical Patriarch’s first stop will be Washington, DC, where he is due to meet with President Joe Biden at the White House. This in-person meeting provides the Biden administration a unique opportunity not only to raise human rights and religious freedom issues in Turkey but also to push back against Russian attempts to undermine the Ecumenical Patriarchate, which the Kremlin sees as a threat and targets with disinformation campaigns.

    October 19, 2021

    The perils of personalizing power: Erdoğan’s one-man rule has made him increasingly vulnerable
    Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The perils of personalizing power: Erdoğan’s one-man rule has made him increasingly vulnerable

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan long believed that establishing one-man rule would end all his headaches. Instead, the system he created has only caused him more trouble. So great is Erdoğan’s remorse that he is now said to be thinking of amending the executive presidency to strengthen the role of parliament.

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