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The Abraham Accords can still help bring peace to the Middle East
  • Commentary
  • The Abraham Accords can still help bring peace to the Middle East

    With the Israel-Hamas war stretching into its fourth week, the international focus is increasingly shifting to what will come the day after the shooting stops, and how the parties and the international community can move forward.

    November 9, 2023

    Iran can’t afford a regional war
  • Commentary
  • Iran can’t afford a regional war

    As the Israel-Hamas war rages on, Iran’s role will continue to be a pivotal question. While Tehran no doubt feels vindicated in its model of armed campaign against Israel, it will likely not seek escalation by confronting Israel and the United States militarily. Instead, Iranian officials seem to consider the war as a moment to elevate Tehran’s image in the Islamic world—and in the global south generally.

    Türkiye’s First 100 Years
  • Commentary
  • Türkiye’s First 100 Years

    Modern Türkiye (the official spelling of Turkey since 2021) sprang like a phoenix from the ashes in 1923, overcoming daunting odds.  Its predecessor, the Ottoman Empire, had foolishly joined the war with the Central Powers in 1914 and naively thought its Arab subjects would remain loyal, only to have been utterly defeated and then dismembered.  A rebellion led by the empire’s most famous war hero and leader, Kemal Ataturk, overthrew the last sultan, rejected an unjust treaty to divide up the country and repelled the occupying Allies.  He established a contemporary republic based on popular

    Gaza crisis shows Washington badly missing Iran strategy
  • Commentary
  • Gaza crisis shows Washington badly missing Iran strategy

    Washington’s chief concern regarding Israel’s ground offensive against Hamas in Gaza is the risk of regional escalation and Iran’s opening of another front against the Jewish state, which could drag the United States into the war.

    The United States has communicated to Tehran the consequences of further Iranian involvement in the conflict, and it has moved additional military assets to the region to boost the credibility of its threats.

    November 1, 2023

    How Hamas deceived the world
  • Commentary
  • How Hamas deceived the world

    On 7 October, Hamas shocked the world, when thousands of its militants invaded southern Israel, taking control of territory, massacring civilians and kidnapping hundreds.

    The attack itself demonstrated an unusual level of complexity, with a first wave seeing drones taking out Israeli reconnaissance equipment and observation posts and cyber attacks creating distractions, opening a path for amassed militant incursions from the air, sea and ground.

    Any swords into ploughshares? The challenge of the current conflict
    Photo by Ali Jadallah/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Any swords into ploughshares? The challenge of the current conflict

    The only long-term way of building security and stability, and reducing violence for Palestinians and Israelis alike, is to create hope and establish a political pathway for both sides

    October 30, 2023

    The Israel-Hamas war and prospects for a ground invasion
  • Commentary
  • The Israel-Hamas war and prospects for a ground invasion

    On the military implications of Israel’s impending ground invasion in Gaza. Featuring Bilal Y. Saab (Senior Fellow and Founding Director of the Defense and Security Program) and Joseph L. Votel (Distinguished Senior Fellow on National Security).

    Israel can damage Hamas but a ground invasion of Gaza will be challenging
  • Commentary
  • Israel can damage Hamas but a ground invasion of Gaza will be challenging

    The Israeli government does its military no favours when it says that the goal of a ground invasion of Gaza is to “wipe out” or “destroy” Hamas. Such maximalist and eminently unrealistic objectives puts the Israel army in a bind: how to translate this political bluster into practical and achievable military objectives.

    October 24, 2023