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“Ana Kurdi” — suddenly Israelis are feeling Kurdish
sraelis demonstrate against the Turkish military offensive in northeastern Syria on October 17, 2019 in front of the Turkish embassy in the Israeli coastal city of Tel Aviv.
  • Commentary
  • “Ana Kurdi” — suddenly Israelis are feeling Kurdish

    The news of Donald Trump’s sellout to Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan hit Israel like a lightning storm. Trump has managed to do the unthinkable: unite all Israelis around a geopolitical cause.

    Only Lebanon can save Lebanon
    Demonstrators wave a flag during a protest against a government decision to tax calls made on messaging applications on October 17, 2019 outside the government palace in Beirut.
  • Commentary
  • Only Lebanon can save Lebanon

    Something had to give. Decades of corruption and criminal mismanagement by Lebanon’s ruling elites — the same clique who have governed the country since its independence in 1943 — have finally led to an economic implosion and a social explosion.

    October 18, 2019

    Trump stirs up a hornet’s nest in Syria
     A Syrian regime soldier waves the national flag a street on the western entrance of the town of Tal Tamr in the countryside of Syria's northeastern Hasakeh province on October 14, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Trump stirs up a hornet’s nest in Syria

    In one fell swoop, the U.S. has found itself evacuating a third of the country; breaking away from a 100,000-strong partner we trained and equipped; and watching it surrender to the regime that we have stood against from day one. In the chaos that has ensued, ISIS prisoners have been let loose, hundreds of thousands of civilians have been displaced, and a once relatively stable northeastern Syria has been thrown into a potentially intractable pit of ethnic, sectarian, and political conflict. The consequences of America’s self-destruction in Syria will be felt for many, many years to come.

    US withdrawal may benefit the Syrian regime
    Pro-Turkish Syrian fighters cross the border into Syria as they take part in an offensive against Kurdish-controlled areas in northeastern Syria launched by the Turkish military, on October 11, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • US withdrawal may benefit the Syrian regime

    The biggest losers from President Trump’s arbitrary decision to allow Turkish forces to enter Syria may end up being pro-revolution Syrians and civilians living in Idlib.

    October 15, 2019

    Putin reaps benefits of Trump’s Middle East policy collapse
    Russia's President Vladimir Putin (L) and King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud of Saudi Arabia at a ceremony to sign joint documents following Russian-Saudi talks at the Al-Yamamah Royal Palace.
  • Commentary
  • Putin reaps benefits of Trump’s Middle East policy collapse

    Putin’s visit to Saudi Arabia and the UAE takes place as the U.S. position in the Middle East collapses in the face of a series of misjudgments and “own-goals” by the Trump administration.

    October 15, 2019

    The Turkish offensive in northern Syria: The view from Europe
    French President Emmanuel Macron (R) and German Chancellor Angela Merkel give a press conference at the Elysee Palace in Paris on October 13, 2019 as they meet for a working dinner ahead of the EU summit.
  • Commentary
  • The Turkish offensive in northern Syria: The view from Europe

    The Turkish offensive against Syrian Kurdish forces could result in a military success, but it will also seriously damage Turkey’s image in Europe and elsewhere.

    October 15, 2019

    Choosing the “least-bad” option on Syria
    Photo by BULENT KILIC/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Choosing the “least-bad” option on Syria

    Washington has a hard long-term choice when it comes to Syria. The best chance for an optimal solution through a negotiated political deal was lost years ago. The U.S. now must choose a policy which will yield only a “least-bad” result.

    Wave of protests rocks Iraq
    An Iraqi protester waves the national flag during a demonstration against state corruption, failing public services, and unemployment, in the Iraqi capital Baghdad on October 5, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Wave of protests rocks Iraq

    For now, both Najaf and Tehran seemed to have a convergence of interests on preserving the post-2003 political order.

    October 7, 2019

    Iran appears poised to interfere in 2020 presidential election
    US President Donald Trump looks on during a rally at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida to officially launch his 2020 campaign on June 18, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iran appears poised to interfere in 2020 presidential election

    Lately, Iran has begun leveraging LinkedIn to hack espionage targets and has developed sophisticated disinformation campaigns to exacerbate distrust of its adversary governments.

    October 7, 2019

    Trump greenlights Turkish incursion into northeastern Syria
    A Syrian boy watches as Turkish military vehicles, part of a US military convoy, take part in joint patrol in the Syrian village of al-Hashisha on the outskirts of Tal Abyad town along the border with Turkey, on October 4, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Trump greenlights Turkish incursion into northeastern Syria

    A unilateral Turkish military operation will worsen the already toxic mood vis-à-vis Erdogan on the Hill and might prompt a new round of sanctions at a time when Trump was trying to convince the Congress to hold off on punishing Turkey.

    Afghanistan may be headed for a post-election political impasse
    : Afghan vote in a key Presidential election on September 28, 2019 in Kabul, Afghanistan.
  • Commentary
  • Afghanistan may be headed for a post-election political impasse

    Preliminary results from the Sept. 28 Afghan presidential election will not be announced for at least another week. Yet events are shaping up that could drive Afghanistan into a political impasse similar to what the country faced in its last presidential election.

    Turkish-backed Syrian armed opposition groups to unite under one banner
    Syrian National Army and National Independence Front merge
  • Commentary
  • Turkish-backed Syrian armed opposition groups to unite under one banner

    After a long-drawn-out series of negotiations, Turkey has successfully convinced more than 40 armed opposition groups in northern Syria to unite under a single umbrella, directly under the command of the Syrian Interim Government’s Ministry of Defense.

    Qassem Soleimani and the Iranian regime’s quest for legitimacy
    Iranian Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani (C) attends Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's (not seen) meeting with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) in Tehran, Iran on September 18, 2016.
  • Commentary
  • Qassem Soleimani and the Iranian regime’s quest for legitimacy

    If there is one Iranian military figure that can be considered an international celebrity of sorts, it is General Qassem Soleimani. He is the head of the Quds Force, the arm of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that operates outside of Iran’s borders. This week, he gave his first ever lengthy public interview, focusing on Iran’s role in the 2006 war between Lebanese Hezbollah and Israel.