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The Black Sea: Economic Region or Intersection?
  • Analysis
  • The Black Sea: Economic Region or Intersection?

    For those who study the countries and regions that surround it, the Black Sea is many things — a global trade thoroughfare, a zone of contestation, a cradle of civilizations, and a dying ecosystem. But, curiously, one of the more opaque factors is whether the Black Sea region — the states and polities on its littoral and immediate hinterland — is a region at all.

    August 11, 2020

    Fixing Iraq’s power sector
    Photo by HUSSEIN FALEH/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Fixing Iraq’s power sector

    Iraq’s long-running electricity dilemma is now a daily source of public misery. The struggle of the power generation and distribution system to keep up with relentless demand caused by almost free electricity, especially as temperatures soar to record levels of over 120 degrees, is likely to get worse without reforms.

    August 10, 2020

    A silver lining in Lebanon?
    Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A silver lining in Lebanon?

    Beirut will rise again from the ashes, like it always has. But the real rebuilding that must occur is not physical in nature. It is political. Nothing will truly change in Lebanon unless the country’s corrupt and incompetent leaders, who have been in power for decades, are unseated.

    August 7, 2020

    America must stay focused on Georgia's de-occupation and transatlantic path
  • Analysis
  • America must stay focused on Georgia's de-occupation and transatlantic path

    This week marks the 12th anniversary of Russia’s wonton invasion of Georgia. While the world was fixated on the Summer Olympics in Beijing, an invasion force comprised of hundreds of Russian tanks and armored vehicles passed through the Roki tunnel on the Russian–Georgian border.

    August 7, 2020

    What does China’s growing engagement in Afghanistan mean for the US?
    Xinhua/Yue Yuewei via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What does China’s growing engagement in Afghanistan mean for the US?

    On July 27, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi held a video conference with his counterparts from Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Nepal to suggest expanding their pandemic cooperation and proposed extending the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor into Afghanistan. Although the details about what this quadrilateral framework would entail and how it would work are unclear, any movement toward its institutionalization would be a serious challenge for the United States.

    August 7, 2020

    The Paris Agreement in the Black Sea Region
  • Analysis
  • The Paris Agreement in the Black Sea Region

    The annual Conference of the Parties (COP) was initiated by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1995 to assess progress made by UN members in dealing with climate change. Some meetings have had practical and measurable outcomes, such as the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. But arguably the most well-known meeting is the 2015 COP21 in Paris, also known as the Paris Agreement.

    August 7, 2020

    Syria is facing a COVID-19 catastrophe
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria is facing a COVID-19 catastrophe

    After months of under-reported cases and relaxed lockdown measures, the rapidly spreading COVID-19 pandemic has gripped government-held areas. A worrying rise in daily deaths and infections, especially in Damascus, has left Syria facing what could be its biggest challenge yet.

    Moscow and Ankara will continue uneasy cooperation
  • Analysis
  • Moscow and Ankara will continue uneasy cooperation

    As Russia partially reopens international travel amidst the ongoing pandemic, Turkey is in the top three countries for resumed Russian flights. Moscow also touts possible space cooperation with Turkey amidst tensions with the US on this issue. Despite disagreements between Moscow and Ankara over Syria, Libya, and the broader Black Sea region, Russia and Turkey remain determined to cooperate. But the relationship remains unequal.

    August 6, 2020

    The EU steps up its engagement in Yemen, but is it enough?
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The EU steps up its engagement in Yemen, but is it enough?

    The conflict in Yemen poses a real threat not only to its immediate neighborhood, but also to global players such as the European Union. Although the country is located relatively far away from the EU’s external borders, instability on the Arabian Peninsula could seriously affect European interests and security.

    August 6, 2020

    To recognize or not to recognize: EU recognition of Palestine
    Photo by Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • To recognize or not to recognize: EU recognition of Palestine

    Recognition of a Palestinian state is one of the potential responses European Union states are mulling in response to an Israeli annexation of territory in the West Bank, with the foreign minister of Luxembourg, for example, declaring such a move “inevitable” in the event of annexation.

    August 5, 2020

    Populism, Islamism, and Democratic Decline in Indonesia
    (Photo by Mas Agung Wilis/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Populism, Islamism, and Democratic Decline in Indonesia

    Within the academic literature on Indonesian politics, a consensus appears lately to have emerged that populism, Islamism, and democratic regression are the three fundamental, mutually reinforcing forces responsible for impeding Indonesia’s democratic consolidation since the fall of Suharto’s New Order regime in 1998. This article uses empirical polling data of the Indonesian electorate to interpret and clarify the debate surrounding the issue of populism and how it relates to Islamism and democratic regression.

    August 4, 2020

    The Dangers Presented by Russian and PRC Weapons Sales to Iran
  • Analysis
  • The Dangers Presented by Russian and PRC Weapons Sales to Iran

    In October, the United Nations embargo on arms sales to Iran is scheduled to expire.  This was a deadline specified in the 2015 Iran nuclear deal concluded by the Obama Administration.  The Trump administration stridently opposes the lifting of this restriction and is lobbying within the UN Security Council to have the embargo extended indefinitely. 

    August 4, 2020

    The Layers and Limits of Diplomacy With Iran
  • Analysis
  • The Layers and Limits of Diplomacy With Iran

    While the relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia is important for de-escalating some tensions in the region, is not the decisive conflict involving Iran in the region.

    After successfully managing COVID-19, Tunisia gets back to its old problems
    Photo by Yassine Gaidi/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • After successfully managing COVID-19, Tunisia gets back to its old problems

    Tunisia seems to have avoided the worst of the first phase of the global coronavirus crisis. And yet whatever the final tally of the pandemic might be, its consequences will only add to a host of existing problems that have beset the North African country in recent years, including political instability, a stalled economy, security threats, and financial woes.

    August 3, 2020

    Liquefied Natural Gas: A Game Changer for Turkey?
  • Analysis
  • Liquefied Natural Gas: A Game Changer for Turkey?

    Until recently, Russia’s dominance in the natural gas markets southwest of its borders appeared unassailable. These days, that is less and less the case. Largely unnoticed yet dramatic changes are taking place in Turkey – Moscow’s top gas customer outside of Germany. 

    July 31, 2020