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As tensions grow, a strong Georgia-Ukraine partnership is essential for Black Sea security
  • Analysis
  • As tensions grow, a strong Georgia-Ukraine partnership is essential for Black Sea security

    New strategic alliances are being forged across the Black Sea in an attempt to counterbalance Russian influence in the region. The Georgia-Ukraine strategic partnership is complex and multifaceted. Despite diplomatic obstacles and how relatively new it is, the relationship is already making a difference to Black Sea security. On trade, security, or Euro-Atlantic integration, Georgia and Ukraine have realized they are louder when they speak with one voice. However, Russia’s military buildup on Ukraine’s border and in the Black Sea demonstrates that regional peace cannot be achieved without the support of the United States. Greater support is needed as Ukraine and Georgia continue to fight Russian hybrid warfare across the spectrum.

    Vaccine diplomacy in the MENA region
  • Analysis
  • Vaccine diplomacy in the MENA region

    Vaccine diplomacy, or the use of vaccine supplies as a tool of soft power projection, has entered the political dictionary. In a world where COVID-19 has been taking a terrifying human and financial toll, vaccine supplies promise relief and interact with pre-existing politics and foreign policy priorities. China and Russia have sought to enhance their influence in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region with a number of high-profile vaccine deals. This has drawn the ire of a beleaguered European Union, whose self-professed goal is to become a more geopolitical union even while its domestic vaccination effort lags behind the U.S. and the U.K.

    April 14, 2021

    The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution
    Photo by THOMAS PETER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution

    The announcement of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (CSP), a 25 year-long economic and development agreement between China and Iran, has immediately added to the intensifying discourse concerning US-China Geostrategic Competition. Nonetheless, a closer look at its implications suggests that it may be useful in achieving some U.S. goals with Iran: particularly regime modernization.

    April 13, 2021

    The Afghan Taliban and Covid-19: Leveraging the Crisis or a Change of Heart?
     (Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The Afghan Taliban and Covid-19: Leveraging the Crisis or a Change of Heart?

    Pandemics strike hard in conflict zones. As of April 8, 2021, Kabul had recorded 56,943 confirmed cases of Covid-19 and 2,516 deaths. The Afghan Taliban have approved the administering of Covid-19 vaccines, which is a departure from its previous opposition to immunization programs. This article discusses the Taliban’s novel approach to the coronavirus pandemic and what it might or might not signify.

    April 13, 2021

    Is Bashar al-Assad really the guardian angel of Syria’s minorities?
    Photo by the author, Homs, April 2018
  • Analysis
  • Is Bashar al-Assad really the guardian angel of Syria’s minorities?

    Since the start of the current war, Bashar al-Assad, in power since 2000, has consistently sought to promote himself as the protector of Syria’s minorities — be they Christian, Alawi, Shi’i or Druze —from Islamist extremists. Many Western audiences have been seduced by his smart casual look and by his increasingly prominent, beautifully turned-out British wife, Asma. With presidential elections due to take place, under Russian auspices, in the coming months, in which Assad is widely expected to run, his claim demands close scrutiny. What has happened to minorities over the last 10 years of war and how does that compare to their treatment historically inside Syria?

    April 12, 2021

    Breaking the citizenship taboo in the UAE
    Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Breaking the citizenship taboo in the UAE

    For many years, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has thrived as a result of its ability to attract talent from abroad. On Jan. 30, 2021, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum, the vice-president and prime minister of the UAE and ruler of Dubai, announced on Twitter[1] an amendment to the law that is designed to entice and retain foreigners by permitting a select group of expatriates to become Emirati citizens without giving up their original nationality.

    April 7, 2021

    The future for the US and Turkey
    Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The future for the US and Turkey

    Relations between the United States and Turkey have never been worse, but the two countries still must deal with each other, and so President Joe Biden and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan may talk this week. Each will review his list of issues. Both will commit to better relations and to best efforts to reach peaceful solutions to global, regional, and bilateral issues — and very little will change.

    Turkey’s Engagement with Southeast Asia
     (Photo by Cem Ozdel/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Engagement with Southeast Asia

    Turkey initiated a strategy to engage Southeast Asian nations in the early 2000s that resulted in the opening of new embassies and branches of numerous state-sponsored institutions across the region. With the launching of the Asia Anew Initiative in late 2019, Ankara has redoubled efforts to forge closer ties with the ten members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and with ASEAN itself.  

    April 6, 2021

    Decentralization in Lebanon is not neutral
    Photo by Valery SharifulinTASS via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Decentralization in Lebanon is not neutral

    For decades now, decentralization has been a recurring theme in Lebanese politics. That it is “administrative” does not make it any less “political” in a country where even minor technicalities can easily turn into major controversies. Yet decentralization is still perceived as one of the key reforms that has yet to come about.

    April 5, 2021

    Mansour Abbas: Islamist kingmaker or the “good Arab”?
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Mansour Abbas: Islamist kingmaker or the “good Arab”?

    At a press conference on Thursday, MK Mansour Abbas, head of the newly elected Islamist party in Israel, the United Arab List (Ra’am), made what many in the Israeli media dubbed a historic speech. In an effort to reach out to the Jewish Israeli public, he spoke in Hebrew and during the prime time on television often given to Israeli politicians. Speaking surrounded by the party’s green flags, the conservative Islamist quotedverses from the Quran calling for the creation of “an opportunity for a shared life, in the holy and blessed land for the followers of the three religions and both peoples” and told his Hebrew-speaking audience that “Now is the time for change.”

    April 2, 2021

    Myanmar: The February Coup and the Rohingya Genocide
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Myanmar: The February Coup and the Rohingya Genocide

    Since the NLD emerged as the most potent challenger to the military’s monopoly grip on state power three decades ago, the generals have tried different methods of exclusion, disenfranchisement and purposive prosecution against Aung San Suu Kyi and all dissidents. Today, they are discovering that Suu Kyi and the NLD are a mere expression or embodiment of the democratic will of Burmese society. The military leadership is unlikely to be able to defeat 50 million people who have decided that a half-century of life under the boot is more than enough. 

    April 2, 2021

    The cyclical futility of governance by TikTok in the Middle East
    Photo by FAROOQ NAEEM/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The cyclical futility of governance by TikTok in the Middle East

    When headlines flashed this month about the Peshawar High Court’s decision in Pakistan to yet again ban the controversial video-sharing app TikTok, you might have been tempted to scroll away in boredom. After all, who hasn’t banned TikTok these days?

    March 31, 2021

    The data centers industry: The GCC’s new oil fields
  • Analysis
  • The data centers industry: The GCC’s new oil fields

    Close observers of policy trends in the GCC will notice that digital transformation and data governance are becoming vital issues in the region. Over the last decade, Gulf countries have introduced ambitious plans to digitally transform their public and private sectors, with the goal of providing reliable, rapid, and efficient public and private services.

    March 31, 2021

    Egypt: The Pandemic Experience in a Time of Reform
  • Analysis
  • Egypt: The Pandemic Experience in a Time of Reform

    Egypt announced its first COVID-19 fatality on March 8, 2020, a few months after concluding a “reform” program supported by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan it had obtained in 2016. The pandemic thus posed the first test for the IMF-prescribed economic and social policies adopted by the Government of Egypt. As this article will show, whereas the reforms helped propel economic growth in a time of global recession, they did not provide a strong social safety net for vulnerable families during the crisis.

    March 30, 2021

    Egypt should go green by putting a price on carbon
    Photo by MOHAMED EL-SHAHED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Egypt should go green by putting a price on carbon

    It is time for Egypt to put a price on carbon. While Cairo has taken small steps toward developing a sustainability plan, it needs a bold idea to stop rising carbon emissions. Establishing a carbon exchange — or putting a price on carbon — would be good for the country and help make Egypt an environmental leader in the region.

    March 30, 2021