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Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national
Photo by Safin HAMID/AFP
  • Analysis
  • Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national

    In the aftermath of the December 2023 Provincial Council (PC) elections, political parties across Iraq have been seeking to shore up their gains or minimize their losses in the formation of the provincial executive governments, with some provinces, like Kirkuk and Diyala, remaining in deadlock at time of writing. However, in other provinces, such as Ninewa, those now in power are looking to ensure that they are maximizing their new gains by dominating key administrative positions at the district and subdistrict levels.

    July 22, 2024

    CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse
    Photo by Ali Makram Ghareeb/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse

    On July 16, CENTCOM announced that after six months of 2024, “ISIS is on pace to more than double” the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq it claimed in 2023. But the reality is far worse than this statement suggested because the data represents only a fraction of ISIS’s actual attacks in Syria and Iraq.

    Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration
    Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration

    At the Washington Summit, NATO member states mostly focused on efforts to counter Russia and to support Ukraine. However, the 2024 summit communiqué also addresses non-Euro-Atlantic risks and opportunities, based on the idea that “conflict, fragility and instability” elsewhere directly affects NATO security.

    July 15, 2024

    No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region
    Photo by SHWAN MOHAMMED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

    Politics in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region is centered on the ruling duopoly of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK). Other political parties — broadly referred to as the opposition — offer themselves as alternatives to the KDP and the PUK, but are disorganized, divided, and largely unable to capitalize on public grievances about governance. At present, they do not constitute a viable alternative to the ruling parties.

    June 20, 2024

    Evaluating plans for the “day after”
    Photo by MAHMUD HAMS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Evaluating plans for the “day after”

    To assist government policymakers faced with a plethora of “day after” plans for Gaza, the following proposes a framework for how to consider and decide among such proposals.

    June 12, 2024

    Rafah operation won’t help Israel escape its political doom loop
  • Commentary
  • Rafah operation won’t help Israel escape its political doom loop

    As the ongoing attempts to revive a ceasefire and hostage deal between Israel and Hamas are showing minimal signs of success, Israel is moving forward with its plan for an operation in Rafah, the most southern city in Gaza that borders Egypt. On May 6, the Israeli military issued an evacuation order for more than 200,000 Gazans in the southern-west part of the Gaza Strip. 

    May 28, 2024