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Syria is where the conflict between Wagner and the Russian government began
Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria is where the conflict between Wagner and the Russian government began

    The conflict between the Wagner Group and the Russian government was not born out of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, though the war there caused the rift to widen and tensions to explode publicly in the form of an armed rebellion. Instead, the discord actually started in Syria back in 2017 and has intensified since then.

    Regional Environmental Cooperation Between Israel and Its Neighbors
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Regional Environmental Cooperation Between Israel and Its Neighbors

    As environmental challenges become a priority for countries across the Middle East and the Mediterranean, this creates new opportunities for regional environmental cooperation, including between Israel and its neighbors. Despite being limited in scope and facing several key obstacles, regional cooperative endeavors are taking place, including on both the bilateral and multilateral levels, and efforts to sustain and expand them are underway. This new report, written under the auspices of the Israel Climate Forum, addresses the importance of regional environmental cooperation in the Middle East and Mediterranean, examines the scope of such cooperation between Israel and its neighbors, and spells out opportunities, obstacles, and recommendations for increased coordination and joint action, including the role the U.S. and Europe can play.

    July 13, 2023

    What Syrian civil society should do next
    Photo courtesy Lars Hauch
  • Analysis
  • What Syrian civil society should do next

    Following two years of preparation, the Syrian Madaniya (“Civil”) initiative held its inaugural conference with over 180 participating organizations. To claim a political role, Madaniya needs a program and a partner. The natural partner for this endeavor is the Syrian Negotiation Commission.

    July 12, 2023

    Coercive deprivation: Unraveling the Assad regime’s policy on domestic reconstruction
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Coercive deprivation: Unraveling the Assad regime’s policy on domestic reconstruction

    Since the early years of the Syrian conflict, the Assad regime has systematically diverted local resources dedicated for reconstruction purposes to rehabilitate facilities in areas and sectors that benefit it and its inner circle, as well as placed the burden of rehabilitating properties onto Syrians themselves. To finance this policy, the regime has exploited four key resources, including imposing multiple reconstruction taxes, diverting U.N. and INGO early recovery and rehabilitation projects, capitalizing on local-led crowdfunding campaigns, and forcing Syrians to bear the cost of repairing their own damaged properties.

    Lessons from Syria's aid response: The case for continued cross-border operations
    Photo by AHMAD AL-ATRASH/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lessons from Syria's aid response: The case for continued cross-border operations

    Another United Nations Security Council (UNSC) vote on continuing the resolution that allows Syria’s cross-border aid delivery is due in July, but the regime’s use of “consent” to allow an extra two crossings from Turkey into the area could be used to undermine the resolution’s necessity, which would risk destabilizing the conflict along with it. Twelve years of hard-won lessons show that until there is a broader political agreement with clear guardrails and guarantees, only a UNSC resolution that permits unimpeded humanitarian access to northwest Syria can secure the critical and consistent operational space required to meet the region’s growing needs as articulated by the NGOs working in the area. 

    How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East

    It is too early to tell whether the Wagner “uprising” is a one-off or foreshadows further cracks and the eventual collapse of Putin’s presidency, but the latter outcome would have lasting consequences in the MENA region.

    June 26, 2023

    Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues
    Photo credit GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues

    While calls for the immediate return of Syrian refugees have increased at the regional and international levels, it is imperative to closely examine the direct link between the regime’s policy of property confiscation and the possibility of refugee returns. Property confiscation does not only impact the direct owners and their immediate families’ livelihoods but also hinders the ability of thousands of displaced Syrians to return while leading those who still reside under regime rule to consider migration.

    Is Jordan’s public debt on a sustainable path?
    Photo by Artur Widak/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is Jordan’s public debt on a sustainable path?

    In the past few years, Jordan’s public debt has become a major policy concern for the government, the international community, and key donors that support Amman. The public debt has risen significantly over the past 15 years, raising many questions about Jordan’s future macroeconomic stability, public debt sustainability, and the government’s ability to finance development projects.

    May 15, 2023

    We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy

    The U.S. administration is tacitly contributing to growing acceptance and re-normalization of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, the 21st century’s most notorious war criminal, putting in jeopardy the continuation of our counter-terrorism mission in Syria. Assad is toasting his survival on the ashes of his victims — but within the small community of optimistic actors in Syria, ISIS is sitting pretty comfortably too.