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We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy
Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy

    The U.S. administration is tacitly contributing to growing acceptance and re-normalization of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, the 21st century’s most notorious war criminal, putting in jeopardy the continuation of our counter-terrorism mission in Syria. Assad is toasting his survival on the ashes of his victims — but within the small community of optimistic actors in Syria, ISIS is sitting pretty comfortably too.

    The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications
    Photo by Murat Kocabas/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications

    The Syrian conflict has had a major impact on Turkey’s internal political discourse, with much of the discussion centering around the conflict itself, Turkey’s role in northern Syria, and the refugee crisis. This paper employs a scenario analysis methodology to explore potential outcomes that may impact Northwestern Syria following the upcoming Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14.

    May 2, 2023

    ISIS beats back Wagner offensive in central Syria
    Photo by GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • ISIS beats back Wagner offensive in central Syria

    It has been an accepted fact that ISIS ceased being a territory-controlling entity in Syria after its March 2019 defeat in the town of Baghouz. Yet it is perhaps time to reevaluate this perspective on the group and its insurgent trajectory in the country. While recent massacres of civilians in central Syria have refocused some international attention on the desert region, known as the Badia, the renewed widespread battles between militants and regime security forces that have occurred in parallel to these attacks have gone unnoticed.

    April 21, 2023

    Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections
    Photo by Valeria Ferraro/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections

    The most consequential elections in Turkey’s recent history are less than a month away, set to be held on May 14. While the more than 200,000 Syrians who have been granted Turkish citizenship since their arrival in the wake of the Syrian war will not play a significant role in determining the outcome given their numbers, migration is a top campaign issue, putting them at the heart of the vote.

    April 19, 2023

    Why the Iranian public remains silent in the face of Israeli attacks
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why the Iranian public remains silent in the face of Israeli attacks

    The silence from Iran is deafening. Judging by social media reactions and media reports from Iran, few, if any, members of the Iranian public seem to care that, since 2011, the Israeli air force has attacked Iranian and Iranian-affiliated positions in Syria on more than a thousand occasions, reportedly killing a number of Iranian members of the IRGC.

    March 29, 2023

    A message to the donors convening in Brussels to aid Syria’s earthquake recovery
    Photo by Bekir Kasim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A message to the donors convening in Brussels to aid Syria’s earthquake recovery

    On March 20, the EU will hold an international donors’ conference in Brussels to raise funds for Turkey and Syria’s recovery from the devastating earthquakes that struck in early February. While Turkey’s foreign minister will speak before the pledging session, no one will represent or even speak on behalf of Syrians.

    March 18, 2023