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Russia’s aggressive behavior in the Black Sea can be challenged
Photo courtesy of the author
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s aggressive behavior in the Black Sea can be challenged

    Russia’s malign behavior in the Black Sea includes piracy, plunder, petroleum price cap violations, and actions to prevent the free transit of foreign commercial and naval vessels. Its largely unchallenged position in the Black Sea also helps Russia maintain access to foreign-made products and components, circumventing sanctions. The West and the broader international community have yet to act to decisively rein in these flagrant violations of international laws and norms.

    September 8, 2023

    Hydrogen as a fuel of the future: Moving the GCC’s climate mitigation agenda forward
    Tasneem Alsultan/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Hydrogen as a fuel of the future: Moving the GCC’s climate mitigation agenda forward

    Hydrogen has been touted as an energy solution for the future and a leading mitigation technology against climate change. Among the states of the GCC, it has come to be seen as central to their energy transition strategy and a means to retain the region’s hegemonic position within global energy relations.

    September 5, 2023

    Can oil and water mix?: Creating opportunities for Iraq-Turkey cooperation
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can oil and water mix?: Creating opportunities for Iraq-Turkey cooperation

    Last week saw a flurry of diplomatic activity between Baghdad and Ankara. The top priorities in the talks were oil exports, the presence of the PKK in Iraq, and Iraq’s water crisis. The outcomes have been unimpressive, but there is an opportunity for Iraq to shake things up and improve its bargaining position, at least on the oil export issue, possibly more.

    August 31, 2023

    Why North Africa is a natural choice for Brics expansion
  • Commentary
  • Why North Africa is a natural choice for Brics expansion

    In a move of unprecedented geopolitical consequence, the Brics grouping of nations has made the landmark decision to expand beyond its five founding members. Announced on Thursday at the conclusion of the Brics summit in Johannesburg, host South Africa along with Brazil, Russia, India and China invited six nations to join the bloc – Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Argentina.

    The Niger Coup and Turkey’s Military Industrial Complex in Africa
  • Commentary
  • The Niger Coup and Turkey’s Military Industrial Complex in Africa

    The recent military coup in Niger marks the point of no return for the unraveling of France’s dominant economic and military influence across West Africa. Turkey is the foreign actor that stands to benefit most, with the potential to emerge as a leading strategic partner for the nations of the region. Turkey’s engagement with West Africa is a unique, dual approach that blends military and economic engagement while deftly intertwining humanitarian aid and cultural outreach.

    Pakistan’s interim government: A challenging road ahead
    BANARAS KHAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s interim government: A challenging road ahead

    After the conclusion of the 16-month rule of the Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM), the appointment of a new caretaker government has created uncertainty. This raises doubts about whether Pakistan will smoothly transition to another democratic government or if the caretaker setup will exceed its constitutional mandate.

    August 29, 2023

    From oil wells to power cells: How Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors are securing their future through battery technology
    Photo by AMER HILABI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From oil wells to power cells: How Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors are securing their future through battery technology

    As the world shifts toward a more sustainable future, the GCC states are also embracing this profound transition, moving from oil wells to power cells. With their vast resources, strategic location, and commitment to sustainability, the Gulf countries are uniquely positioned to become major players in the global battery supply chain. By embracing the potential of battery technology, these nations are not just preparing for a post-oil future but are actively shaping it.

    August 24, 2023

    Lebanon needs a renewed donor support strategy
    Francesca Volpi/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon needs a renewed donor support strategy

    Lebanon needs a new aid strategy to preserve the country’s ability to one day recover. What is required is a donor strategy that walks on two legs: a first leg that offers a big reconstruction push conditioned on economic and institutional reforms and, in parallel, a second leg that provides urgent support to the Lebanese population.

    August 22, 2023

    Power cuts in Egypt: A political liability for Sisi ahead of the upcoming elections
    Islam Safwat/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Power cuts in Egypt: A political liability for Sisi ahead of the upcoming elections

    A brutal heat wave tormenting Egypt since mid-July, resulting in lengthy and repeated power cuts, has turned into a political liability for President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi ahead of his expected campaign to run for a third, six-year term early next year.

    August 18, 2023

    Syria’s economic freefall continues despite Arab League return
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria’s economic freefall continues despite Arab League return

    Syria’s dramatic readmission into the Arab League in May was perceived as a turning point for the country’s fortunes. Although Damascus may have come in from the cold diplomatically, there has been little change on the economic front, where the situation remains dire. Since the start of May, the Syrian pound has lost over 70% of its value and shows no sign of stabilizing.

    The successes and failures of Turkey’s new economic team
    Photo by Mustafa Kaya/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The successes and failures of Turkey’s new economic team

    It has been two months since Turkey’s new economic team took over and some progress has been made. Market normalization has begun and the risk of a balance-of-payments crisis has been reduced. At the same time, however, inflation is gaining new momentum, the budget deficit is sharply worsening, and no reform agenda has yet been announced to tackle these threats.

    August 14, 2023

    Alawites in Syria breaking silence?: Criticizing the dictatorship from within
    From social media
  • Commentary
  • Alawites in Syria breaking silence?: Criticizing the dictatorship from within

    Recently, a notable trend has emerged among Alawites in Syria’s Assad regime-held areas, including those from powerful families. Writers, journalists, and rank-and-file Alawites have taken to social media platforms to express their deep frustration with the regime’s economic policies and the centralized nature of the dictatorship under President Bashar al-Assad, as well as his wife Asma al-Assad’s outsized influence and corruption linked to her secretive “economic council.”

    August 11, 2023