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The road to war with Iran is paved with good intentions and serious miscalculations
Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The road to war with Iran is paved with good intentions and serious miscalculations

    Forty-five years after Iran’s February 1979 revolution, American officials continue to struggle to understand this nation of almost 90 million. Rather than trying to solve a crisis that threatens to draw the US into direct conflict with Iran, the Biden administration appears more intent to manage it.

    February 2, 2024

    What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks
    Photo by Ammar Ghali/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks

    Nine nations, including terrorist groups that are de facto governments, have attacked other countries in the region over the course of about two weeks. Numerous commentators have drawn the conclusion that a regional war is already underway or soon will be.

    January 21, 2024

    The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea

    Ansar Allah, the Yemen-based militant group commonly referred to as the Houthis, is arguably the latest and largest addition to the Iran-led Axis of Resistance. Present tensions in the Red Sea illustrate both the utility of the Houthis for Tehran’s anti-American and anti-Israel regional agenda as well as the challenges their actions can create for the Iranians.

    Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks
    Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Yemen’s Houthi rebels have sought means to capitalize on the war in Gaza to raise their profile, enhance their pan-Arab legitimacy, and burnish their credentials both domestically and in the region. In their effort to insert themselves into the Gaza conflict, the Houthis believe their actions will strengthen their support base at home while also cementing their movement more firmly into the Iranian “Axis of Resistance.”

    January 11, 2024

    Jordanian ambitions, Saudi funds: A look at Saudi investments in Jordan
    Jordanian ambitions, Saudi funds: A look at Saudi investments in Jordan
  • Analysis
  • Jordanian ambitions, Saudi funds: A look at Saudi investments in Jordan

    In 2017, Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and a number of Jordanian banks established the Saudi-Jordanian Investment Fund to channel $3 billion into the Jordanian economy. Two SJIF projects provide relevant case studies of the challenges facing Jordan’s broader efforts to attract more FDI and drive economic development.

    January 11, 2024

    The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war
    Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war

    The current escalation between Israeli and Hezbollah forces necessitates immediate action from the international community to prevent a widening of the Gaza war, and the US is positioned in a leadership role to mollify tensions, beginning with diplomatic actions to stabilize the Lebanese-Israeli border, helping to pacify the broader region as a result.

    January 5, 2024

    Pakistan’s military and foreign policy under Gen. Asim Munir
    Photo by IRANIAN PRESIDENCY/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s military and foreign policy under Gen. Asim Munir

    Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa orchestrated a paradigm shift in Pakistan’s traditional geostrategic focus, transitioning from geopolitics to geoeconomics. His successor, Gen. Asim Munir, in command of Pakistan’s military for the past year, now faces the challenging task of turning Gen. Bajwa’s unrealized vision into a reality, a goal that requires cultivating positive interdependence and multi-alignment with a diverse range of partners, while also ensuring domestic stability.

    December 14, 2023

    All you need to know about the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor
  • Commentary
  • All you need to know about the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor

    At the September G20 meeting, host country India, along with the United States, the European Union, France, Germany, Italy, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), signed a memorandum of understanding, a non-binding commitment to work towards building two separate “corridors”, essentially envisioning a political line that is connected by some new and some existing, or already under construction, physical infrastructure.

    War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans
    Photo by EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans

    The Oct. 7 Hamas attack against Israel and the latter’s ongoing military operation in Gaza have stalled progress in the development of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor and raised questions about its prospects for eventual completion. The IMEC faces multiple viability challenges, but none of them are insurmountable; thus, its participants are unlikely to abandon it.

    Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications
    Photo by YURI KADOBNOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications

    As the war in Gaza continues to unfold, essential questions about Russian and Iranian support for Hamas remain. They include whether Russia played any role in providing support to Hamas ahead of its Oct. 7 attack on Israel. Evidence available from foreign-language publications in Russian, Persian, Arabic, and Hebrew, as well as those in English, provides provocative leads, which, if accurate, have serious potential implications. 

    A long courtship