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A Good ‘Freeze’ in Aleppo Is Not Enough
  • Analysis
  • A Good ‘Freeze’ in Aleppo Is Not Enough

    This article was first published on Foreign Policy.

    As the Obama administration searches for a Syria policy, some officials have become intrigued by an old idea that the United Nations now hopes could help tens of thousands of civilians and perhaps even break Syria’s political logjam.

    What Kobani Needs
  • Analysis
  • What Kobani Needs

    In the ongoing fighting in and around Kobani in northern Syria, it appears likely that the defending Kurdish forces will ultimately prevail and be able to expel the Islamic State (ISIS). However, in order to enable refugees to return, substantial aid and reconstruction efforts will be needed, and more benign Turkish border policies are essential in the meantime.

    Construction and Housing

    December 5, 2014

    The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces
  • Analysis
  • The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces

    In the past, the Lebanese Armed Forces’ (LAF) inability to confront or deter Israel was reflected as political weakness for the Lebanese government vis-à-vis Hezbollah. Israel’s withdrawal from south Lebanon in 2000 heralded a growing political role for Hezbollah. This role was further enhanced by the 2006 war with Israel, with Hezbollah claiming victory and consolidating its influence within the LAF and the government.

    November 25, 2014

    Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul

    As Syrian President Bashar al-Assad gazes across Damascus from his palace on Mount Qasioun, he can be grateful to his Russian, Iranian, and Hezbollah allies that he is still in a position to enjoy such a view.

    November 18, 2014

    Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.
  • Analysis
  • Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.

    Read the full article on CNN.

    In the space of just 48 hours last week, Turkey went from calling the PYD — the Kurds defending the Syrian border town of Kobani — a terrorist group to opening up an arms corridor from Iraq to aid its fight against ISIS.

    Arab FDI “Pivots” to China
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Arab FDI “Pivots” to China

    Thanks to unprecedented current account surpluses, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are investing billions abroad and looking more toward the East. The GCC’s growing trade ties with China have been accompanied by encouraging development in investment relations. For these countries, investment projects in China promise access not only to large and rapidly growing energy markets, but also to other booming sectors.

    October 16, 2014

    Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?
  • Analysis
  • Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?

    Read the full article on CNN.com.

    Turkey is in a tough spot. It has ISIS militants threatening the Syrian border town of Kobani, inching ever closer to confronting Turkish security forces. In addition thousands of Syrian Kurds, fleeing ISIS attacks, have massed along its border, adding further to Ankara’s troubles.

    Remember Our Syrian Allies
  • Analysis
  • Remember Our Syrian Allies

    This article was first published in The New York Times.

    President Obama made the right decision to boost military aid to moderate Syrian rebels last year, but today America’s approach to attacking Islamic State fighters risks undermining the moderate opposition and alienating support among the Syrian public.

    Gulf Investment in China: Beyond the Petroleum Sector
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Gulf Investment in China: Beyond the Petroleum Sector

    This essay explores recent GCC investment in sectors of the Chinese economy other than the petrochemicals industry and examines the challenges confronted by Gulf investors.

    October 4, 2014

    Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle
  • Analysis
  • Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle

    In his speech on September 10 President Obama characterized the Islamic State (ISIS) as a terrorist group.[1] There were clear political benefits to using this label, not the least of which was to facilitate the formation of a broad-based military coalition against the organization.