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Why President-elect Pezeshkian’s focus on Arab ties makes sense for an Iran facing monumental socio-economic challenges
Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why President-elect Pezeshkian’s focus on Arab ties makes sense for an Iran facing monumental socio-economic challenges

    The conventional wisdom is that Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian is yet another bit of window dressing put up by the “deep state” in Tehran, which effectively calls the shots on the most contentious foreign policy files. But it might just be that Pezeshkian’s sudden emergence as president was orchestrated from the outset as a pretext for the Iranian regime to change course.

    The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation

    The Houthis’ strategy of escalation has the potential to upset the fragile balance of power in the Middle East and underlines the ability of smaller actors to influence larger geopolitical outcomes through calculated risks and alliances.

    July 23, 2024

    The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better

    The current situation is not only intolerable – it is unsustainable. It is time to recognize that the Houthis, with strong and persistent support from Iran, are in a position to hold not only the US but virtually the entire global system hostage.

    Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national
    Photo by Safin HAMID/AFP
  • Analysis
  • Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national

    In the aftermath of the December 2023 Provincial Council (PC) elections, political parties across Iraq have been seeking to shore up their gains or minimize their losses in the formation of the provincial executive governments, with some provinces, like Kirkuk and Diyala, remaining in deadlock at time of writing. However, in other provinces, such as Ninewa, those now in power are looking to ensure that they are maximizing their new gains by dominating key administrative positions at the district and subdistrict levels.

    July 22, 2024

    CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse
    Photo by Ali Makram Ghareeb/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse

    On July 16, CENTCOM announced that after six months of 2024, “ISIS is on pace to more than double” the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq it claimed in 2023. But the reality is far worse than this statement suggested because the data represents only a fraction of ISIS’s actual attacks in Syria and Iraq.

    The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea
    Photo by Al-Joumhouriah channel via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea

    The Houthis’ latest political and military moves are setting them on a collision course with the United Arab Emirates in the broader Red Sea region.

    July 16, 2024

    Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration
    Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration

    At the Washington Summit, NATO member states mostly focused on efforts to counter Russia and to support Ukraine. However, the 2024 summit communiqué also addresses non-Euro-Atlantic risks and opportunities, based on the idea that “conflict, fragility and instability” elsewhere directly affects NATO security.

    July 15, 2024

    Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment
    Photo by UAE Presidential Court / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment

    Pakistan’s government is pursuing a two-track approach to stabilize the country’s long-troubled economy. It is engaged in lengthy negotiations with the IMF to secure at least $6 billion in loans to shore up its ability to service its external debt. At the same time, Islamabad is also trying to woo its Gulf allies, most notably Saudi Arabia and the UAE, in a bid to diversify its sources of external financing, address the lingering threat of insolvency, and put its economy on an upward trajectory of sustainable growth.

    June 28, 2024

    No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region
    Photo by SHWAN MOHAMMED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

    Politics in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region is centered on the ruling duopoly of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK). Other political parties — broadly referred to as the opposition — offer themselves as alternatives to the KDP and the PUK, but are disorganized, divided, and largely unable to capitalize on public grievances about governance. At present, they do not constitute a viable alternative to the ruling parties.

    June 20, 2024

    Beyond guns and oil: The emerging soft power rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Beyond guns and oil: The emerging soft power rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia

    A little over a year ago, the icy relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia underwent a remarkable thaw. But beneath this détente, a new front emerged in their longstanding rivalry — one rooted not in geopolitics or religious ideologies but in the realm of soft power and societal aspirations.

    June 11, 2024

    The clock is ticking to reset Kuwait’s economic course and reinstate legislature
    Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The clock is ticking to reset Kuwait’s economic course and reinstate legislature

    Kuwait’s emir, Sheikh Mishal Al Ahmad Al Jaber Al Sabah, took his next step in governance without a parliament in place on June 1, when he appointed Sheikh Sabah Khalid Al Sabah as crown prince. Although the timing of the announcement suspending portions of the constitution and dissolving the parliament caught most observers off guard, the emir’s decision was not surprising.

    June 10, 2024

    Climate-smart cities in the MENA region: Promise and pitfalls
    Photo by Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Climate-smart cities in the MENA region: Promise and pitfalls

    Around two-thirds of the population in the Middle East and North Africa lives in urban settlements and the region’s population is projected to double by 2050, exposing a growing number of people to intensifying natural and climate hazards. As a result, cities will need to take additional steps to boost climate resilience and advance decarbonization efforts, including through climate-informed urban planning measures like compact, transit-oriented development, urban greening initiatives, and a focus on green buildings. With this in mind, regional governments have recently adopted the concept of “smart cities,” aiming to utilize technology and sustainable practices to address the challenges of urbanization and climate change.

    June 4, 2024

    Building a More Resilient Bahrain: An Integrated Approach to Climate Change, Socioeconomic, and Governance Challenges
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Building a More Resilient Bahrain: An Integrated Approach to Climate Change, Socioeconomic, and Governance Challenges

    From extreme heat and drought to dust storms and rising sea levels, the Kingdom of Bahrain is facing the growing impact of climate change, with projections indicating conditions will only get worse in the future. Manama’s vulnerability to the effects of climate change directly intersects with its broader societal and governance issues, necessitating comprehensive climate-resilience strategies to address these interconnected challenges.

    May 29, 2024