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On Iran, US restraint could reduce risks
Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • On Iran, US restraint could reduce risks

    President Donald Trump threatens Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. But measured language and disciplined policy can help prevent escalation and protect American interests.

    The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead
    Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead

    The evolving confrontation with Israel and the United States places the Islamic Republic of Iran at a critical inflection point. Tehran faces choices that range from limited negotiation and strategic restraint to escalation and eventual collapse. The following analysis explores the key scenarios that could unfold in the coming days, weeks, and years.

    June 18, 2025

    The Iran-Israel Conflict and the Future of the Iranian Regime
  • Podcast
  • The Iran-Israel Conflict and the Future of the Iranian Regime

    Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to examine the dramatic escalation between Israel and Iran following Israel’s targeted strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, infrastructure, and senior IRGC officials. Vatanka discusses how the Iranian regime is responding, the risk of wider regional conflict, and whether the current campaign could mark the beginning of the end for the Islamic Republic.

    June 17, 2025

    Sanctions are lifting, but Syrians still can’t go home
    Jobar, Syria, taken on 3 June 2025 by Jesse Marks
  • Analysis
  • Sanctions are lifting, but Syrians still can’t go home

    On May 23, President Donald Trump’s administration suspended the majority of sanctions on Syria, marking the most sweeping shift in the policy of the United States toward Damascus in over a decade. But lifting sanctions will not magically make Syria safe for return. For millions of displaced Syrians, their country remains a minefield — literally and bureaucratically.

    June 16, 2025

    The ripple effects of US foreign aid cuts to food and water access across North Africa
    Photo by John Falchetto/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The ripple effects of US foreign aid cuts to food and water access across North Africa

    When Executive Order (EO) 14169, “Reevaluating and Realigning United States Foreign Aid,” was issued and implemented by the administration of President Donald Trump in early 2025, it effectively halted nearly all US foreign aid. The order primarily suspended the disbursement of non-military aid programs, leading to the termination of US-funded assistance projects, contracts, and employment across the world. The impact of this abrupt elimination of foreign aid was especially acute for humanitarian and development programs, crippling those targeting food assistance, clean water access, public health, and agricultural support.

    June 12, 2025

    Building Syria’s new army: Future plans and the challenges ahead
    Photo by Asaad Al Asaad/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Building Syria’s new army: Future plans and the challenges ahead

    Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime on Dec. 8, 2024, after the rebel military operation “Deterrence of Aggression” and the establishment of a transitional government, Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria’s interim president, quickly began working to form a unified national army, dismantle the existing factions, and centralize all weapons under the authority of the state in an effort to address one of the most pressing challenges facing his administration. While several initial moves have been completed, important steps in this complicated process are still pending. This article highlights the current developments surrounding the formation of the new army, including progress achieved to date and key challenges going forward.

    America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad
    Photo by Ronoldo Schemidt/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad

    The spotlight in America this week is trained on the home front, with growing tensions inside the country over President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown and a showdown unfolding on the streets of Los Angeles. At times like these, the rest of the world has a way of intruding, sometimes unexpectedly, and Trump 2.0’s foreign policy is still struggling to produce a major positive outcome from its frenetic activity trying to end kinetic wars while prosecuting an unprecedented economic war with much of the rest of the world.

    Saudi Arabia’s AI ambition, and what it means for the United States
    Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s AI ambition, and what it means for the United States

    A day before Air Force One touched down in Riyadh to kick off US President Donald Trump’s three-country tour of the Gulf, Saudi Arabia made a pivotal announcement. The kingdom, long synonymous with oil, revealed a major investment in artificial intelligence (AI) through its newly launched company, HumAIn. This pivot, explicitly timed to coincide with Trump’s visit starting on May 13, and in anticipation of the signing of multiple tech deals between US and Gulf firms during the trip, signaled a profound shift in US-Saudi relations — from a traditional oil-for-security alliance to a partnership centered on AI and digital infrastructure.

    A devastating crisis for Palestinians in Gaza worsens
    Photo by Eyad Baba/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A devastating crisis for Palestinians in Gaza worsens

    What has been unfolding in the Gaza Strip for millions of Palestinians is the direct consequence of the failures of political leaders who are ignoring best practices for the delivery of aid to innocent people caught in the crosshairs of a complicated war. Without a major shift in the current approach, the already dire conditions are only likely to deteriorate further going forward.

    The downside oil market risks of a new Iran deal
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The downside oil market risks of a new Iran deal

    Near-term progress in a renewed nuclear agreement between the United States and Iran could add further downward pressure to a delicate oil market, potentially heralding more fiscal pain for Gulf oil producers and complicating US energy strategy.

    Syria Looks to a Future Unburdened from US Sanctions
  • Podcast
  • Syria Looks to a Future Unburdened from US Sanctions

    MEI Senior Fellow Charles Lister joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to discuss the Trump administration’s dramatic reversal of four decades of US policy toward Syria. Following President Trump’s May 2025 meeting with Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa and the issuance of a new general license and 180-day waiver of Caesar Act sanctions, the episode explores the implications of this policy shift. What does this mean for Syria’s recovery and reconstruction? How are regional actors like Turkey, Israel, and the Gulf states responding?

    May 29, 2025

    Managing Threats to Food Security: Water and Agricultural Resilience in North Africa
    Photo by Fadel Senna/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Managing Threats to Food Security: Water and Agricultural Resilience in North Africa

    Sustaining food security in North Africa is a complex and evolving challenge, influenced by the region’s arid climate, limited water resources, and sparse arable land. In response, efforts to enhance food security by governments, farmers, and non-governmental organizations have been centered on adopting climate-resilient agricultural practices, efficient irrigation techniques, and sustainable land-management strategies. Despite these efforts, food security in North Africa remains fragile due to systemic pressures on agricultural systems from climate change, water scarcity, and increasing market demands.

    May 27, 2025

    AI, Tech, and the Future of US-Gulf Relations
  • Podcast
  • AI, Tech, and the Future of US-Gulf Relations

    Hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj speak with MEI Senior Fellow Mohammed Soliman about President Donald Trump’s recent trip to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar, which yielded a wave of major US-Gulf tech and AI deals. Soliman explains how these partnerships mark a shift in the relationship—from oil and arms to compute power and data infrastructure—and what it means for the Gulf’s strategic role in the global AI ecosystem.

    May 22, 2025