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How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East
Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East

    It is too early to tell whether the Wagner “uprising” is a one-off or foreshadows further cracks and the eventual collapse of Putin’s presidency, but the latter outcome would have lasting consequences in the MENA region.

    June 26, 2023

    Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues
    Photo credit GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues

    While calls for the immediate return of Syrian refugees have increased at the regional and international levels, it is imperative to closely examine the direct link between the regime’s policy of property confiscation and the possibility of refugee returns. Property confiscation does not only impact the direct owners and their immediate families’ livelihoods but also hinders the ability of thousands of displaced Syrians to return while leading those who still reside under regime rule to consider migration.

    Pakistan’s establishment closing the curtain on Imran Khan and his party
    Photo by FAROOQ NAEEM/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s establishment closing the curtain on Imran Khan and his party

    The likelihood of former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan successfully extricating himself from his entwined battle with the Army now appears to be nearly impossible. He has crossed too many red lines for the military establishment to give him slack. The developing situation ahead of the October elections looks set to culminate with Khan imprisoned and stripped of his political party.

    India-Taliban relations: A careful balancing act, driven by pragmatism
    Photo by Ajay Aggarwal/Hindustan Times via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • India-Taliban relations: A careful balancing act, driven by pragmatism

    An ongoing power struggle for the position of ambassador at the Afghan embassy in New Delhi underlines India’s diplomatic quandary about the nature of its engagement with the Taliban regime in Afghanistan.

    May 30, 2023

    International institutions confront Taliban troubles
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • International institutions confront Taliban troubles

    International leaders are struggling to manage a Taliban-ruled Afghanistan; they are torn between their commitment to alleviate Afghans’ suffering and their reluctance to legitimize a Taliban government that violates its people’s basic rights. Helping Afghans but not their new “de facto authorities” is a difficult balance for a diverse group of international actors with often divergent long-term interests.

    May 18, 2023

    We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy

    The U.S. administration is tacitly contributing to growing acceptance and re-normalization of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, the 21st century’s most notorious war criminal, putting in jeopardy the continuation of our counter-terrorism mission in Syria. Assad is toasting his survival on the ashes of his victims — but within the small community of optimistic actors in Syria, ISIS is sitting pretty comfortably too.

    The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications
    Photo by Murat Kocabas/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications

    The Syrian conflict has had a major impact on Turkey’s internal political discourse, with much of the discussion centering around the conflict itself, Turkey’s role in northern Syria, and the refugee crisis. This paper employs a scenario analysis methodology to explore potential outcomes that may impact Northwestern Syria following the upcoming Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14.

    May 2, 2023

    A Reassessment of American Policy Toward Taliban Afghanistan
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A Reassessment of American Policy Toward Taliban Afghanistan

    It has been long enough since the Taliban seized power in Afghanistan in August 2021 for us to reach some conclusions about how the regime intends to govern and the policy options this presents. For a variety of reasons the U.S. now finds itself drawn into several areas of policy in Afghanistan and trying to decide what form and degree of engagement with the Taliban government can best advance American interests.