Skip to Content

Research & Commentary Results

Filter by
1069 Results
Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen
Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen

    Over the past two months, the Houthi rebels in Yemen have launched missiles and drones into Israel, attacked several commercial ships in the Red Sea, and threatened to block all ships sailing to Israel, regardless of nationality, until Gaza receives humanitarian aid. In the Gulf, there is a growing fear that the situation could constrain ongoing de-escalation talks between Riyadh, the Republic of Yemen Government, and the Houthis, or even take them back to square one were conflict dynamics to escalate.

    December 12, 2023

    Iran wants its oar in the Black Sea
  • Commentary
  • Iran wants its oar in the Black Sea

    Iran sees lucrative markets across the Black Sea region. It also sees an opportunity to expand strategic cooperation with Russia. And there’s just a chance that America will turn inward in 2025.

    It’s all dangerous. To get the picture, start by connecting the dots.

    Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications
    Photo by YURI KADOBNOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications

    As the war in Gaza continues to unfold, essential questions about Russian and Iranian support for Hamas remain. They include whether Russia played any role in providing support to Hamas ahead of its Oct. 7 attack on Israel. Evidence available from foreign-language publications in Russian, Persian, Arabic, and Hebrew, as well as those in English, provides provocative leads, which, if accurate, have serious potential implications. 

    A long courtship

    The closer Israel gets to destroying Hamas, the more likely war with Hezbollah becomes
  • Commentary
  • The closer Israel gets to destroying Hamas, the more likely war with Hezbollah becomes

    He leads an army of more than 100,000 dedicated and battle-hardened fighters equipped with thousands of missiles, rockets, and armed drones that can hit targets deep inside Israel with pinpoint accuracy. He inspires and commands the loyalty of Iran-backed militias across the Arab world.

    So when Hassan Nasrallah, the head of the Lebanese Hezbollah and the most powerful non-state actor in the world, says that he doesn’t wish to broaden the war in Gaza to help his Palestinian ally Hamas, the region should breathe a sigh of relief – because his words matter.

    November 17, 2023

    Israel’s Response to Iran in Syria: Choosing Between Escalation and Accommodation
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s Response to Iran in Syria: Choosing Between Escalation and Accommodation

    The following quantitative analysis explores the core of Israel’s strategic airstrikes in Syria between 2013 and August 2023, a critical aspect of its defense policy during this time, aimed at mitigating Iranian influence in the region and protecting its national borders.

    November 17, 2023

    The perils of underestimating the Houthi threat
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The perils of underestimating the Houthi threat

    Despite the Houthis’ geographical distance from Israel and perceived limited capabilities, the threat they represent is all too real and if underestimated, they have the potential to derail diplomatic efforts and destabilize the region, with potentially catastrophic consequences.

    November 16, 2023

    Iranian-backed militia attacks on coalition forces threaten to ignite eastern Syria
    U.S. Army photo by Sgt. Julio Hernandez
  • Analysis
  • Iranian-backed militia attacks on coalition forces threaten to ignite eastern Syria

    Over the last three weeks, there has been a notable escalation in attacks targeting international coalition bases in northeastern Syria orchestrated by Iranian-backed militias operating in Iraq and Syria. Concurrently, there have been reports indicating the establishment of operational centers aimed at coordinating these strikes. These developments appear to be part of an effort to exploit the widespread popular discontent with the United States and Israel, with the strategic aim of expanding and consolidating Iranian influence in Syria.

    November 13, 2023

    Five scenarios for Gaza and how the international community can shape its future
    Photo by MAHMUD HAMS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Five scenarios for Gaza and how the international community can shape its future

    In the midst of the current war, there is still no concrete plan for what the future of Gaza could look like. Yet preparations for a viable and lasting post-war order should start before it could be too late.

    November 3, 2023

    US-Israel relations in the wake of October 7
    Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US-Israel relations in the wake of October 7

    The intensity of the Oct. 7 terrorist attacks by Gaza and the ensuing crisis have already had a significant and dramatic impact on relations between the United States and Israel. The resolute American backing reflects the purest expression of the strategic partnership that has existed between Israel and the U.S. for more than five decades.

    October 27, 2023

    Israel can damage Hamas but a ground invasion of Gaza will be challenging
  • Commentary
  • Israel can damage Hamas but a ground invasion of Gaza will be challenging

    The Israeli government does its military no favours when it says that the goal of a ground invasion of Gaza is to “wipe out” or “destroy” Hamas. Such maximalist and eminently unrealistic objectives puts the Israel army in a bind: how to translate this political bluster into practical and achievable military objectives.

    October 24, 2023

    Israel’s failures and response to the Hamas attack: A preliminary assessment
    Photo by Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s failures and response to the Hamas attack: A preliminary assessment

    The Israeli lack of preparedness for, and weak initial response to, the Hamas attack on Oct. 7 encompassed four key failures. But its consequences may bring far-reaching political changes and internal reforms.

    October 23, 2023