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The IRGC and Iran’s “Water Mafia”
Photo by Mahmood Hosseini (Tasnim News Agency), CC BY 4.0, photo cropped.
  • Analysis
  • The IRGC and Iran’s “Water Mafia”

    Since its founding the IRGC has evolved into a significant military and financial player in Iran. Khatam al-Anbiya, its construction arm, gets funding from the government for all kinds of major building projects. It is particularly actively in water management projects, like dam construction and water transfer schemes, and it forms a key part of Iran’s “Water Mafia.”

    February 5, 2021

    Can elections end Palestinian division?
  • Analysis
  • Can elections end Palestinian division?

    For years pundits have argued that Palestinian elections cannot take place in the occupied territories until there is reconciliation between the warring factions of Fatah and Hamas. The conflict between them led to the creation of two parallel governments, with Fatah controlling the West Bank and Hamas in charge of Gaza. This situation produced parallel laws and, most importantly, parallel security forces. While these differences remain unresolved, elections, which were once considered impossible without reconciliation, are now being used to achieve reconciliation. On January 11, a Palestinian presidential decree announced legislative elections for May 22 to be followed by presidential elections on July 31.

    February 5, 2021

    Can President Biden rescue America’s democratic legacy in the Black Sea?
  • Analysis
  • Can President Biden rescue America’s democratic legacy in the Black Sea?

    Following a tumultuous period in Washington, during which the Capitol was stormed by rioters and Donald Trump became the first president to be impeached twice, many in the United States and around the world were left feeling concerned and unsettled.As a Georgian who has seen the U.S. play a transformative role in building my country’s young democracy, the attack on Capitol Hill was something I could never have anticipated. My fear stemmed not from feeling unsafe in downtown DC, but rather from the consequences of U.S. instability and fragility on those countries that rely on its support to build democratic institutions and adopt western values.

    February 4, 2021

    آراء من واشنطن: حلقة 4 – ذكرى الثورة الإيرانية، ورفض إسرائيل شمل الفلسطينيين باللقاح
  • Video
  • آراء من واشنطن: حلقة 4 – ذكرى الثورة الإيرانية، ورفض إسرائيل شمل الفلسطينيين باللقاح

    في حلقة ‘آراء من واشنطن’ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأيين، الأول لأليكس ڤاتنكا حول إيران، والثاني لكارول كاسبري حول رفض إسرائيل تقديم اللقاحات للفلسطينيين وخيارات السُّلطة.

    February 4, 2021

    حلقة 22: آراء (4) ذكرى الثورة الإيرانية، ورفض إسرائيل شمل الفلسطينيين باللقاح
  • Podcast
  • حلقة 22: آراء (4) ذكرى الثورة الإيرانية، ورفض إسرائيل شمل الفلسطينيين باللقاح

    الحلقة الرابعة من سلسلة ‘آراء من واشنطن’. يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأيين، الأول لأليكس ڤاتنكا حول إيران، والثاني لكارول كاسبري حول رفض إسرائيل تقديم اللقاحات للفلسطينيين وخيارات السُّلطة.

    February 4, 2021

    Finding common ground: Fostering environmental cooperation in the Persian Gulf
    Photo by Eric Lafforgue/Art in All of Us/Corbis via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Finding common ground: Fostering environmental cooperation in the Persian Gulf

    When it comes to the Persian Gulf, saving the environment might seem like it would be the last item on the to-do lists of the region’s Iranian and Arab rivals. It is an urgent matter, however — and one that could help turn these foes into friends. The United States can play an important role in this: It has helped the region to resolve conflicts over water in the past, and it could do so again.

    February 4, 2021

    حلقة 19: آراء (1) تصنيف الحوثيين كمنظمة إرهابية والانتقال الديمقراطي في تونس
  • Podcast
  • حلقة 19: آراء (1) تصنيف الحوثيين كمنظمة إرهابية والانتقال الديمقراطي في تونس

    حلقة 1 من سلسلة “آراء من واشنطن”، نستعرض فيها آراء السفير جيرالد فيريستاين حول تصنيف الحوثيين كمنظمة إرهابية، والباحث ايميليانو اليساندري حول الانتقال الديمقراطي في تونس.

    February 3, 2021

    حلقة 21: آراء (3) الواقع في العراق، وسياسة تويتر لحظر السياسيين
  • Podcast
  • حلقة 21: آراء (3) الواقع في العراق، وسياسة تويتر لحظر السياسيين

    حلقة 3 من سلسلة “آراء من واشنطن”، نستعرض فيها رأي لرندا سليم (كبيرة الباحثين ومديرة برنامج المسار الثاني وحل النزاعات) حول الواقع السياسي والاقتصادي في العراق، ورأي لمايك سيكستن (مدير برنامج الأمن الرقمي) حول سياسة تويتر لحظر حسابات السياسيين.

    February 3, 2021

    Biden’s Challenge: Continuing Progress in Eastern Europe Despite Russian Adventurism
  • Analysis
  • Biden’s Challenge: Continuing Progress in Eastern Europe Despite Russian Adventurism

    The Biden Administration has a firm foundation upon which to build in Eastern Europe. As part of its focus on great power competition in the region, the Trump Administration sharply increased funding for the European Deterrence Initiative (EDI), covering costs for U.S. troops in Europe and security support for strategic allies, while repositioning some U.S. forces in Europe to the eastern flank. We have made important steps to support our strategic allies in Eastern Europe, but this administration needs to stay the course and increase its focus and commitment to the Black Sea region. Russia must understand the costs of their adventurism in order to prevent further reckless behavior.

    February 3, 2021

    Challenges of a Six-Country Regional Cooperation Platform for Georgia
  • Analysis
  • Challenges of a Six-Country Regional Cooperation Platform for Georgia

    In the aftermath of the second Nagorno-Karabakh war, bolstered by Turkey’s growing influence in the South Caucasus, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan proposed the controversial idea of establishing a six-country regional cooperation platform. Speaking from the Azerbaijani capital Baku, where he was attending victory celebrations, Erdogan noted that new opportunities for regional cooperation are possible for the Caucasus region. Turkey’s leader envisages a platform that would bring Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Georgia, and Armenia together. In his words, it would provide a win-win opportunity for all sides, including Armenia, which could use the platform as a first positive step toward establishing bilateral relations with Turkey. 

    February 3, 2021

    Iran-US negotiations 2021: No 2015 redux by the standards of the Iranian economy
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iran-US negotiations 2021: No 2015 redux by the standards of the Iranian economy

    The core question for Iran watchers this year is the likelihood and nature of a renewed Iranian nuclear deal. However, the circumstances are very different and the respective bargaining power of the two sides does not mirror the negotiations in 2015. In particular, the macroeconomic backdrop is considerably worse today and the regime more desperate for sanctions relief than it seems.

    February 3, 2021