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ISIS in Syria and Iraq
  • Podcast
  • ISIS in Syria and Iraq

    Charles Lister and Mick Mulroy discuss the dramatic Feb. 3rd U.S. special operations raid that killed ISIS leader Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi, the group’s late January attack on the al-Sina prison, and ISIS’s broader trajectory in both Syria and Iraq.

    February 3, 2022

    Women’s labor force participation and COVID-19 in Jordan
    Photo by Xinhua/Mohammad Abu Ghosh via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Women’s labor force participation and COVID-19 in Jordan

    Jordan has the lowest rate of women’s economic participation of any country not at war. According to the ILO, the kingdom’s female labor force participation rate is below 15%, while that of men is about 60%. This is lower than rates of female labor force participation in neighboring Lebanon (23%), Saudi Arabia (22%), and the West Bank and Gaza (18%). As the COVID-19 pandemic stretches on, the government of Jordan should take the opportunity to expand the accessibility of remote work and corresponding opportunities for Jordanian women who aim to play a role in their nation’s economy.

    February 1, 2022

    Helping the Lebanese People Move Toward Recovery: Recommendations for US Policy
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Helping the Lebanese People Move Toward Recovery: Recommendations for US Policy

    Lebanon is currently at a crossroads as the government faces the daunting tasks of rebuilding the economy, restoring public trust, and clearing the way for free and fair parliamentary elections in May of 2022. The country finds itself spiraling downward — an agreement with the IMF is yet to be realized, poverty and emigration are increasing, and there are growing threats to stability due to a failing economy and widespread corruption. Given this critical situation, it is worthwhile to review U.S. interests in Lebanon’s survival and consider key recommendations for U.S. policy to help Lebanon avoid complete collapse and help the Lebanese people move toward economic recovery, political legitimacy, and a more capable, transparent, and sovereign state.

    February 1, 2022

    Jordan’s strategy for 2022: Bend, don’t break
    Photo by KHALIL MAZRAAWI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Jordan’s strategy for 2022: Bend, don’t break

    On Dec. 23, Jordanian Minister of Industry, Trade, and Supply Yousef Shamali and Russia’s Ambassador to Jordan Gleb Desyatnikov attended a ceremony to finalize a bilateral cooperation agreement on science, culture, and education. This agreement highlights Jordan’s delicate foreign policy balancing act. The government, led by King Abdullah II, will continue to work with a diverse group of countries, even those with tense relations with the West, to bolster its security and economic opportunities. Mitigating security threats and increasing business opportunities is key to political stability and the continuation of the king’s rule amid Jordan’s persistent socio-economic problems. However, the king will need to be careful not to undermine his closest allies by working with their adversaries.

    January 25, 2022

    The attack on al-Sina Prison points to a broader ISIS resurgence
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The attack on al-Sina Prison points to a broader ISIS resurgence

    Intense fighting between the SDF and ISIS continued for the fifth day in Syria’s northeastern city of al-Hasakeh on Monday, following ISIS’s biggest attack in Syria and Iraq in three years. In the evening of Jan. 20, as many as 200 ISIS militants, many wearing suicide belts, launched a coordinated multi-axis assault on al-Sina Prison, shortly after detonating two car bombs parked along the exterior walls of its northern wing. In the chaos that ensued, SDF vehicles were seized and used to break through secure walls, clearing the way for hundreds of ISIS detainees to escape.

    Sinan al-Shabibi: Immortalizing the legacy of Iraq’s best
    Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Sinan al-Shabibi: Immortalizing the legacy of Iraq’s best

    In Iraqi folklore, Saturday is both an ominous and auspicious day. Iraqis say it is Awwad —“repetitive” — and hence they prefer to postpone taking important decisions to other days of the week. For many Iraqis this week, the news of Dr. Sinan al-Shabibi’s unfortunate passing on Saturday, Jan. 8 could not have come on a worse day. While the loss of one of Iraq’s last firmly independent voices, a respected economist and former central bank governor and someone who genuinely sought the country’s economic transformation, was ominous, in time the day may also become auspicious if his memory and legacy help to inspire a new generation of Iraqis to realize his aspirations for the country.

    January 11, 2022

    Exploring the feasibility of the Jordan-Israel energy and water deal
    Quique Kierszenbaum/Tribune News Service via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Exploring the feasibility of the Jordan-Israel energy and water deal

    On Nov. 22, the Dubai Expo hosted an event where the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Jordan, and Israel signed a cooperation agreement that would broker an exchange of renewable energy and water between Jordan and Israel. The signing of the agreement between the respective minsters of the three countries took place in the presence of Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed and U.S. Climate Envoy John Kerry, who played a role in getting the deal done.

    December 16, 2021

    ميليشيات العراق تسعى لاستغلال وجود القوات الأمريكية
  • Commentary
  • ميليشيات العراق تسعى لاستغلال وجود القوات الأمريكية

    في 9 ديسمبر/كانون الأول، قال الجنرال الأمريكي المسؤول عن التحالف الدولي المناهض لتنظيم الدولة الإسلامية في العراق إن المهمة القتالية الأمريكية قد انتهت وأن القوات الأمريكية لن تقدم سوى المشورة والتدريب والمساعدة والاستخبارات لشركائها العراقيين. لن يغير التحول في الأدوار حجم القوة الأمريكية الصغيرة في العراق كثيرًا، لكن الجنرال فرانك ماكنزي، قائد القوات الأمريكية في الشرق الأوسط، قال في 9 ديسمبر/كانون الأول إن تواجد الناتو في مهمة المساعدة يجب أن يزيد.

    تشكيل الحكومة العراقية الجديدة: تحولات استراتيجية وتغييرات تكتيكية
  • Commentary
  • تشكيل الحكومة العراقية الجديدة: تحولات استراتيجية وتغييرات تكتيكية

    أحدثت انتخابات 10 أكتوبر/تشرين الأول 2021 ثلاث تحولات استراتيجية رئيسية في العملية السياسية العراقية، والتي على الرغم من أنها لم تسفر بعد عن تغييرات جوهرية في عملية تشكيل الحكومة الحالية، إلا أنها تتمتع بإمكانية هائلة لإحداث المزيد من التغييرات الجوهرية في المستقبل. أولاً، تعرضت الفصائل الموالية لإيران عبر القوائم والأحزاب السياسية العراقية، سواء داخل الكتل الكردية أو السنية أو الشيعية، لخسارة ثقيلة. ثانيًا، فازت الأحزاب التي انبثقت عن الاحتجاجات الشعبية في أكتوبر/تشرين الأول 2019، “امتداد وإشراقات كانون”، بتسعة مقاعد وستة مقاعد على التوالي في منافستها الانتخابية الأولى.

    December 7, 2021

    The existential challenge of Jordan’s unquenchable thirst
    Marcus Yam / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The existential challenge of Jordan’s unquenchable thirst

    Jordan is facing an existential challenge and it has nothing to do with the deadlocked Israeli-Palestinian peace process, the war in neighboring Syria, or the threat of militant Islamists. The challenge is climate change, which is responsible for poor rainy seasons over the past few years. The situation has become so bad that in the past few weeks the government admitted that six of the kingdom’s 14 active dams have now completely dried up, exacerbating endemic shortages of water used for drinking, irrigation, and industry.

    November 30, 2021

    Simmering frustration and a demand for change: Public service protests in the Kurdistan Region
  • Analysis
  • Simmering frustration and a demand for change: Public service protests in the Kurdistan Region

    Despite its reputation for relative political stability and economic prosperity compared with its neighbors, the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) frequently experiences protests, driven by popular anger over the government’s unreliable provision of public services, especially water, electricity, and roads. These protests point to simmering dissatisfaction with governance in the KRI across broad swathes of the population. Although uncoordinated and localized at present, these protests have the potential to develop into a potent political force if they become better organized.

    November 10, 2021

    محاولة اغتيال رئيس الوزراء العراقي تتجاوز خطًا أحمر رئيسيًا
  • Commentary
  • محاولة اغتيال رئيس الوزراء العراقي تتجاوز خطًا أحمر رئيسيًا

    في بلد أخذ نصيبه العادل من العنف، نرى أن ما وقع في السابع من نوفمبر/تشرين الثاني، من محاولة لاغتيال لرئيس الوزراء مصطفى الكاظمي، والتي يعتقد المسؤولون الأمنيون العراقيون الآن أنها من صنع الميليشيات العراقية المدعومة من إيران، قد تجاوزت خطًا أحمر رئيسيًا. جاء هذا الهجوم بعد يومين من توجيه قادة مليشيات عصائب أهل الحق وكتائب حزب الله وقنواتهم الإعلامية المختلفة تهديدات ضد رئيس الوزراء ومسؤولين أمنيين آخرين.

    November 10, 2021