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Any swords into ploughshares? The challenge of the current conflict
Photo by Ali Jadallah/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Any swords into ploughshares? The challenge of the current conflict

    The only long-term way of building security and stability, and reducing violence for Palestinians and Israelis alike, is to create hope and establish a political pathway for both sides

    October 30, 2023

    US-Israel relations in the wake of October 7
    Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US-Israel relations in the wake of October 7

    The intensity of the Oct. 7 terrorist attacks by Gaza and the ensuing crisis have already had a significant and dramatic impact on relations between the United States and Israel. The resolute American backing reflects the purest expression of the strategic partnership that has existed between Israel and the U.S. for more than five decades.

    October 27, 2023

    The war in Gaza as a major test of China’s Middle East peace diplomacy
    Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The war in Gaza as a major test of China’s Middle East peace diplomacy

    China has long sought to brand itself as a “neutral” player and force for peace in the Middle East and elsewhere, willing and able to talk to “all sides.” Beijing’s nascent ambition to play the role of peacemaker and its potential to shape regional events was on display when it succeeded last March in brokering the détente between Riyadh and Tehran. The Israel-Hamas war offers no such low-hanging fruit. On the contrary, it poses a major test of China’s Middle East peace diplomacy — and an opportunity to examine some of our own, perhaps faulty assumptions.

    An Israeli ground assault on Gaza requires an endgame
    Photo by GIL COHEN MAGEN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • An Israeli ground assault on Gaza requires an endgame

    Though it has mobilized 360,000 reservists, the highest number since its 1982 invasion of Lebanon, in pursuing a large-scale ground invasion of Gaza Israel risks unprecedentedly high casualties of its own and massive condemnation by both the Arab world and the West if Palestinian deaths, already reported as exceeding 3,000, rise to multiples of that figure.

    October 18, 2023

    Hezbollah’s calculations on opening a second front against Israel
    Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Hezbollah’s calculations on opening a second front against Israel

    Since the Hamas attack on Oct. 7, regional and extra-regional actors have been working to prevent an expansion of the conflict beyond the Gaza-Israel theater, focusing particularly on the Lebanese-Israeli border. A decision by Hezbollah to enter the ongoing war would open a second front and bring into the fight their large arsenal of rockets and precision-guided missiles capable of hitting critical Israeli infrastructure. It would also bring destruction to Lebanon while the country reels from a severe economic crisis.

    October 16, 2023

    Israel-Hamas war: Conflict scenarios, US diplomacy, and shoring up regional stability
    Photo by Mustafa Hassona/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel-Hamas war: Conflict scenarios, US diplomacy, and shoring up regional stability

    Nine days after the Hamas attack inside Israel, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) is massing troops for a large-scale ground incursion into Gaza. For now, the outlines and endgame of Israel’s military action are not entirely clear. Meanwhile, escalation is rising along the Israel-Lebanon border and U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is crisscrossing the Middle East communicating both deterrence and diplomacy.

    October 16, 2023

    Dehumanization, lack of empathy for Palestinians is alarming—and dangerous
    Photo by Momen Faiz/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Dehumanization, lack of empathy for Palestinians is alarming—and dangerous

    The scale and brutality of Hamas’s grisly attack on Israel last Saturday has understandably triggered a massive outpouring of sympathy and solidarity with Israel. And yet, there has been no similar outpouring of sympathy for Palestinians, who are now also dying in disturbingly large numbers.

    October 13, 2023

    As Israel-Hamas war begins, it’s not too late to shape this historic inflection point
    Photo by Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • As Israel-Hamas war begins, it’s not too late to shape this historic inflection point

    Hamas’ murderous raid on Oct. 7, resulting in the deaths of more than 1,300 Israelis, mostly civilians, may well turn out to be a consequential inflection point, having unleashed political and popular forces that could lead in a positive or, just as likely, extremely negative direction.

    October 13, 2023

    Hamas Has Already Lost. Now, Who Will Win the Peace?
  • Commentary
  • Hamas Has Already Lost. Now, Who Will Win the Peace?

    The events that began in Israel on Oct. 7 are a historical hinge. Like 9/11, as has been said, 10/7 will be remembered by most observers as a bright dividing line between “before” and “after.” What’s at stake for Israel—a fight for its survival—has echoes in other battles taking place around the world like Russia’s war against Ukraine and the Iranian regime’s continued repression of its own people. The world keeps moving toward the future, but the past and those retrograde elements that want to move the world backward still want to have a say.