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إيران خسرت أولى معاركها في القامشلي وحدود سيطرة جديدة فرضتها معركة حي طي
Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • إيران خسرت أولى معاركها في القامشلي وحدود سيطرة جديدة فرضتها معركة حي طي

    في أواخر شهر نيسان إبريل الماضي، شهد حي طي الواقع جنوبي مدينة القامشلي في محافظة الحسكة السورية، اشتباكات عنيفة بين قوات “الدفاع الوطني” التابعة للنظام السوري وقوات “الأسايش” التابعة للإدارة الذاتية “الكردية”، هذه الاشتباكات انتهت باتفاق تم بين الطرفين برعاية روسية.

    Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control

    At the end of April, the Tayy neighborhood, in the southern part of the city of Qamishli in Syria’s Hasaka Province, witnessed violent clashes between the National Defense Forces (NDF) of the Syrian regime and the Internal Security Forces (Asayish) of the Kurdish Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES). The conflict ended with the negotiation of a permanent truce between the two parties under Russian auspices.

    The War at Home: The Need for Internal Security Sector Reform in Iraqi Kurdistan
  • Analysis
  • The War at Home: The Need for Internal Security Sector Reform in Iraqi Kurdistan

    The forces and agencies of Kurdistan’s Ministry of Interior and the Kurdistan Region Security Council, collectively referred to the Kurdistan Region Interior Forces, are now the region’s main security actors, but their role as instruments of partisan rivalry and enforcers of public loyalty to the political bureaus threatens the Kurdistan Region’s stability. This report makes the case that coalition security sector reform efforts should be refocused on them. Although Peshmerga reform is necessary to improve the Kurdistan Region’s ability to combat external threats, it is equally, if not more important to start the same reform within these internal forces and agencies to achieve durable stability.

    July 6, 2021

    Humanitarian aid for Northern Syria
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Humanitarian aid for Northern Syria

    Charles Lister, Mona Yacoubian, and James Jeffrey join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the upcoming UN Security Council vote on the renewal of cross-border assistance for Syria, Russia’s threats of severing access, and how they might impact stability across the region.

    June 30, 2021

    الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد
  • Commentary
  • الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد

    مهما كانت شدة محاولات الحكومة العراقية لتوجيه البلاد بعيدًا عن الصراع الإيراني الأمريكي، فإن الميليشيات العراقية المدعومة من إيران ستظل تسحبها مجددًا لهذا الصراع

    June 29, 2021

    The promise and the pitfalls of Iraq’s tripartite New Mashreq
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The promise and the pitfalls of Iraq’s tripartite New Mashreq

    Sunday was a festive day in Baghdad. The last time Iraqis had received an Egyptian president 30 years ago, the region was gearing up for war and uncertainty as the late President Hosni Mubarak shuttled between Baghdad and Gulf capitals prior to Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990. The circumstances were quite different on June 27, when Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi and King Abdullah II of Jordan were given the red-carpet treatment at a tripartite summit marking the fourth meeting between the leaders of the three countries aiming to form a new regional alliance.

    June 29, 2021

    HTS is not al-Qaeda, but it is still an authoritarian regime to be reckoned with
  • Analysis
  • HTS is not al-Qaeda, but it is still an authoritarian regime to be reckoned with

    On June 1, PBS Frontline released a documentary entitled “The Jihadist,” which includes an interview by American journalist Martin Smith with al-Jolani, now the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), who “opened his heart” about the past, present, and future of his group. The interview revived the question of whether the international community should believe al-Jolani’s claims about his group’s transformation from global jihadism to a local focus and his denial of the allegations of torture in its prisons. This article argues that while HTS’s transformation and split from al-Qaeda is real, al-Jolani must be pressured to share power over Idlib and loosen his group’s authoritarian grip, which is causing grievances that in the long term will push locals into the hands of radical groups like ISIS and al-Qaeda.

    June 24, 2021

    Games without Frontiers: Renegotiating the Boundaries of Power in Iraqi Kurdistan
  • Analysis
  • Games without Frontiers: Renegotiating the Boundaries of Power in Iraqi Kurdistan

    Over the past year, intensifying political and economic conflicts between the Kurdistan Region’s two hegemonic parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, have challenged the legal and institutional order in which the Kurdistan Regional Government operates. A new generation of leadership within the parties, a fraught relationship with the federal government, and a prolonged economic crisis have strained the relationship between the two parties to its breaking point.

    June 23, 2021

    The Economics of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
    Photo by Anas Alkharboutli/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Economics of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham

    Over the past four years, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) has tried to transform itself from a faction of the Global Jihad movement into the de facto local military and governing power in north-west (NW) Syria. This shift requires the group to seek sources of funding other than al-Qaeda and its donors; consequently, HTS has undertaken a slow but steady takeover of the economy in NW Syria, from financial services and oil and gas to internet and telecommunications. This paper lays out how that process has taken place and provides a detailed look at the economics of HTS.

    June 21, 2021

    Changing the rules of the game: Reforming the party system in Iraq
    Photo by Haydar Karaalp/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Changing the rules of the game: Reforming the party system in Iraq

    The performance of Iraqi political parties over the past two decades can be assessed in how they manage three major transformations: the transition from an authoritarian political system to a democratic and pluralistic one, the participation of these parties in managing the transformation of the state from a central to a federal system and the smooth transition from a directed economy to a free market one, and the social transformation from an oppressed society to a free, productive, and reconciled one. Despite the great challenges faced by the various governments since 2003, the parties that participated in the political process (to varying degrees) were unable to succeed in managing these three transformations.

    June 16, 2021

    مع لقاء بايدن وبوتين في جنيف، الرهانات في أعلى مستوياتها بالنسبة للمساعدات عبر الحدود إلى سوريا
  • Commentary
  • مع لقاء بايدن وبوتين في جنيف، الرهانات في أعلى مستوياتها بالنسبة للمساعدات عبر الحدود إلى سوريا

    “إذا وضعنا السياسة جانبًا، يبقى حتمًا شيء واحد صحيحًا: لا بديل عن المساعدات عبر الحدود”