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The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war
Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war

    The current escalation between Israeli and Hezbollah forces necessitates immediate action from the international community to prevent a widening of the Gaza war, and the US is positioned in a leadership role to mollify tensions, beginning with diplomatic actions to stabilize the Lebanese-Israeli border, helping to pacify the broader region as a result.

    January 5, 2024

    Dynamic Force Employment is the Future of America’s Middle East Presence
    US Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Maxwell Orlosky
  • Commentary
  • Dynamic Force Employment is the Future of America’s Middle East Presence

    The US Department of Defense has stepped up and proposed some creative ideas regarding the future of America’s military presence in the Middle East region, as exemplified by the adoption of the concept of dynamic force employment.

    December 28, 2023

    The Jews who disappeared from Iran and reappeared in Pakistan
    Photo by Scott Peterson/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Jews who disappeared from Iran and reappeared in Pakistan

    In the mid-1980s, during the long war between Iran and Iraq, students at Tehran’s Jewish high schools would watch their friends suddenly disappear, and then reappear six months later in Europe, the U.S., or Israel. They would get there through a sophisticated smuggling operation that spirited Iran’s Jews out of the country and into Pakistan.

    December 28, 2023

    Iran amid conflicting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East
    Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran amid conflicting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East

    As two contradictory trends of de-escalation in the Persian Gulf and a new round of war between Palestinians and Israelis unfold at the same time, Iran is trying to play its best cards and navigate its position. Iran views the region’s geopolitical and security conflicts as a chance to uphold its position and leverage it to advance its defined national interests.

    December 27, 2023

    Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it

    Iranian strategy in the Middle East has long centered on nurturing regional proxies and partners — a so-called “Axis of Resistance” — to mount an existential threat to Israel by encircling it in a ring of fire. The bloody war between Israel and Hamas sparked by the latter’s Oct. 7 massacre is the first large-scale implementation of this Axis of Resistance doctrine. Quds Force commander Esmail Ghaani’s lasting contribution will be the network’s entry into the battlefield in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

    December 15, 2023

    Reflections on the Dubai Future Forum 2023
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Reflections on the Dubai Future Forum 2023

    Two weeks ago, I had the privilege of joining more than 800 fellow futurists, and another 1,500 “futures-adjacent” collaborators, from over 100 countries at the second annual forum convened by the Dubai Future Foundation. Arriving with high expectations, I left even more enthused than I’d anticipated, and with invaluable new learning from those around me.

    December 15, 2023

    Pakistan’s military and foreign policy under Gen. Asim Munir
    Photo by IRANIAN PRESIDENCY/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s military and foreign policy under Gen. Asim Munir

    Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa orchestrated a paradigm shift in Pakistan’s traditional geostrategic focus, transitioning from geopolitics to geoeconomics. His successor, Gen. Asim Munir, in command of Pakistan’s military for the past year, now faces the challenging task of turning Gen. Bajwa’s unrealized vision into a reality, a goal that requires cultivating positive interdependence and multi-alignment with a diverse range of partners, while also ensuring domestic stability.

    December 14, 2023

    Managing US Relations with Pakistan in Uncertain Times: Opportunities and Obstacles
    Photo by RIZWAN TABASSUM/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Managing US Relations with Pakistan in Uncertain Times: Opportunities and Obstacles

    With the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, America’s bilateral relationship with Pakistan may have come to hold less priority. If it was thought, however, that the U.S. could afford to largely turn its back on Pakistan and its region, it has instead become increasingly evident that American strategic interests and other concerns demand continued attention and involvement. It is imperative that American policymakers take a longer view when it comes to dealing with Pakistan, especially at a time when great power competition is intensifying across South Asia. It is in the interest of both the U.S. and Pakistan to develop a mutually beneficial and sustainable relationship.

    December 7, 2023

    War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans
    Photo by EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans

    The Oct. 7 Hamas attack against Israel and the latter’s ongoing military operation in Gaza have stalled progress in the development of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor and raised questions about its prospects for eventual completion. The IMEC faces multiple viability challenges, but none of them are insurmountable; thus, its participants are unlikely to abandon it.

    An Israeli-Palestinian peace process would present Iran with a difficult choice
    Photo by Iranian Foreign Ministry/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • An Israeli-Palestinian peace process would present Iran with a difficult choice

    The Israel-Hamas war provides Tehran with a meaningful opportunity to fundamentally shift its position toward Israel. Should a peace process follow this latest war, Iran will have a hard choice to make – double-down on upholding its Axis of Resistance against Israel, or look for ways to work with the majority in the region that seek a feasible political settlement to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

    Expert Views: How do we restart the Middle East peace process?
    Photo by MENAHEM KAHANA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Expert Views: How do we restart the Middle East peace process?

    What would it take to start a new Israeli-Palestinian peace process that could actually have the prospect for enduring success? MEI has asked a group of regional and U.S. experts to weigh in.

    December 1, 2023

    Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications
    Photo by YURI KADOBNOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications

    As the war in Gaza continues to unfold, essential questions about Russian and Iranian support for Hamas remain. They include whether Russia played any role in providing support to Hamas ahead of its Oct. 7 attack on Israel. Evidence available from foreign-language publications in Russian, Persian, Arabic, and Hebrew, as well as those in English, provides provocative leads, which, if accurate, have serious potential implications. 

    A long courtship