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A net-zero Saudi Arabia? Not so fast
Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • A net-zero Saudi Arabia? Not so fast

    The kingdom is unlikely to achieve net zero emissions soon, but the ambition to do so, and the plan, is an impactful step in the right direction, write Jim Krane and Karen E. Young in their new piece for Al-Monitor.

    Far from a benefactor, the Turkish government is exploiting Somalia’s fragility
    Photo by STUART PRICE/AU-UN IST PHOTO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Far from a benefactor, the Turkish government is exploiting Somalia’s fragility

    A decade has passed since Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan landed in Mogadishu at the height of one of Somalia’s worst famines, announcing grandiose projects like the launch of Turkish Airlines flights to the Somali capital, the remodeling of a hospital, and the opening of the biggest embassy in Africa, all designed to show that Turkey’s mission goes well beyond aid and that Ankara is an alternative to Somalia’s traditional donors. Erdoğan’s historic visit earned him high praise throughout Somalia. Although his trip appeared to be a heartfelt humanitarian mission, in reality it was part of a long-term, strategically planned effort. A decade on, Somalis are starting to realize that Turkey has evolved from friend to foe, trade partner to trade protectionist, state builder to outright spoiler.

    October 21, 2021

    The Middle East and the Global Energy Transition
    GettyImages-94642059.png
  • Analysis
  • The Middle East and the Global Energy Transition

    The Middle East is at the center of our global energy transition and we can expect the next five to ten years to be a period of difficult transformation, but also unique opportunity for oil and gas producers.

    The perils of personalizing power: Erdoğan’s one-man rule has made him increasingly vulnerable
    Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The perils of personalizing power: Erdoğan’s one-man rule has made him increasingly vulnerable

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan long believed that establishing one-man rule would end all his headaches. Instead, the system he created has only caused him more trouble. So great is Erdoğan’s remorse that he is now said to be thinking of amending the executive presidency to strengthen the role of parliament.

    Cost of Conflict: An Analysis of the Costs of Russia’s Ongoing Hostilities in the Black Sea Region
    Photo by Oleksandr Rupeta/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Cost of Conflict: An Analysis of the Costs of Russia’s Ongoing Hostilities in the Black Sea Region

    Conflicts are enormously destructive. They destroy lives and property, uproot communities, and reduce the economic potential for all involved. This devastation often has an unaccounted cost, both in terms of the obvious direct destruction of lives and assets, as well as the indirect costs that weigh on economies, often for years to come. This is true of all conflicts, and has certainly been true, and visible, during Russia’s unjustified and illegal invasions of its neighbors, Georgia and Ukraine.

    Overcoming unemployment in Jordan: The need for evidence-based policies
    Photo by KHALIL MAZRAAWI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Overcoming unemployment in Jordan: The need for evidence-based policies

    In the last few years, it has become conventional wisdom that unemployment is Jordan’s most pressing challenge. While King Abdullah himself has stressed on many occasions that reducing unemployment is a top priority, the number of unemployed is still on the rise. This problem can be overcome with evidence-based active labor market policies, which are lacking in Jordan.

    October 13, 2021

    Thinking MENA Futures: The Next Five Years and Beyond
    Photo by: Tyson Paul/Loop Images/Universal Images Group via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Thinking MENA Futures: The Next Five Years and Beyond

    The Middle East and North Africa (MENA), for a variety of reasons, are unrivaled in their need for bold, creative thinking about their future. But that is precisely why creative thinking about the future of the region — why strategic foresight — is essential. Produced in conjunction with MEI’s Strategic Foresight Initiative, Thinking MENA Futures aims to map out some of the possible futures for the region, as envisioned by thoughtful innovators working today to realize them.

    Three scenarios for Iran’s economic development
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Three scenarios for Iran’s economic development

    After three years of decline and instability, the Iranian economy has stabilized. Some of the macroeconomic indicators, especially inflation, remain worrying, but the country’s GDP has returned to marginal growth, which is a reminder that the economy has been resilient in the face of massive external and internal pressures. Experts agree that the diversity of economic activity has been the key reason for this resilience. This piece explores three potential medium-term scenarios: 1) A return to the JCPOA; 2) An interim deal that would ease the sanctions pressure; and 3) A continuation of the current sanctions regime.

    October 7, 2021

    Zogby survey highlights Tunisia’s bumpy road
    Photo by Chedly Ben Ibrahim/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Zogby survey highlights Tunisia’s bumpy road

    On Oct. 4, MEI hosted a discussion with Dr. James Zogby, president of the Arab American Institute and founder of Zogby Research Services (ZRS); Elizia Volkmann, a British freelance journalist based in Tunis; and Dr. Eya Jrad, researcher and assistant professor of security studies at the Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research Tunisia. The conversation revolved around the findings of a ZRS survey of 1,551 Tunisians conducted between Aug. 15 and Sept. 5 covering their attitudes and optimism regarding the future.

    October 7, 2021

    What’s driving Turkey’s early easing of monetary policy?
    Photo by Ali Balikci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s driving Turkey’s early easing of monetary policy?

    At its Sept. 23 meeting, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT), in a surprise move, cut its policy rate (1-week repo rate) 100 basis points to 18.00%, while headline inflation was 19.25% (currently 19.58%). This is an interesting development as most central banks around the world have just started preparing to implement tighter policies.

    October 6, 2021

    Algeria: Amid concerns about the pandemic and its economic impact, some optimism for the future
    Photo by Mousaab Rouibi/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Algeria: Amid concerns about the pandemic and its economic impact, some optimism for the future

    The Arab Barometer’s survey results for Algeria paint the picture of a population understandably worried about the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic impact. In surveys carried out in the country from August 2020 to April 2021, the spread of the virus and the business outlook consistently emerged as the top two challenges ahead, with economic concerns rising to the top position and overtaking the health situation over this period. Because of the spread of the Delta variant, Algiers has been struggling to contain the transmission of the virus. New cases and deaths quickly escalated between July and August 2021, taking the health care system to the brink of collapse.

    September 29, 2021

    What will SCO membership mean for Iran?
    Photo by Iranian Presidency/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What will SCO membership mean for Iran?

    Iran came one step closer to becoming a full member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) last week with the approval of its bid, 15 years after it first applied. The accession process is expected to take up to two years to complete.

    September 28, 2021

    مواجهة كوفيد 19 في المغرب: الرضى عن الوضعية الاقتصادية لا يحجب طلب مزيد من فرص الشغل ومحاصرة الفساد
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • مواجهة كوفيد 19 في المغرب: الرضى عن الوضعية الاقتصادية لا يحجب طلب مزيد من فرص الشغل ومحاصرة الفساد

    مجرد ظهور العلامات الأولى للأزمة الصحية الناجمة عن فيروس كورونا المستجد في شمال إفريقيا، اتخذ المغرب إجراءات سريعة وحاسمة، حيث نفذ تدابير صحية واقتصادية وأمنية واجتماعية بدءا من نهاية فبراير 2020. تفسر هذه الإجراءات إلى حد كبير تصور المواطنين الإيجابي لتعامل الدولة مع هذا الوضع الصعب، وهو تحد لم يسبق له مثيل منذ الربيع العربي في 2011.

    September 28, 2021

    Facing COVID-19 in Morocco: Satisfaction with the economy does not preclude the need for more jobs and anti-corruption efforts
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Facing COVID-19 in Morocco: Satisfaction with the economy does not preclude the need for more jobs and anti-corruption efforts

    As soon as the first signs of the health crisis caused by COVID-19 appeared in North Africa, Morocco took swift and decisive action, implementing health, economic, security, and social measures at the end of February 2020. These actions explain the largely positive perception among Moroccans of the state’s handling of this difficult situation, a challenge unlike any since the Arab Spring in 2011.
    The findings of the fourth part of the Arab Barometer survey’s sixth wave, carried out in May 2021, confirm that the spread of COVID-19 (43% of respondents) and the economic situation (33%) are still the main challenges for Moroccans.

    September 28, 2021