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The face of the Libyan Arab Spring, Mahmoud Jibril, felled by COVID-19
Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The face of the Libyan Arab Spring, Mahmoud Jibril, felled by COVID-19

    Last Sunday, the pandemic claimed the life of the most internationally prominent face of the Arab Spring in Libya. The tragic death of former Libyan Prime Minister Mahmoud Jibril in a Cairo hospital, at just 68 years of age, is in fact a fitting metaphor for the many stillborn aspects of Libya’s attempted political rebirth.

    April 9, 2020

    US engagement in the Black Sea and Middle East. What more can be done?
  • Analysis
  • US engagement in the Black Sea and Middle East. What more can be done?

    US support for the Black Sea and the Middle East has been through several phases in recent years, with President Donald Trump’s generals having the biggest impact on policy change. While there has been increased engagement in the region, much more is needed from the US – as well as NATO and the EU – to ensure Black Sea security.

    How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19

    Gonul Tol and Alex Vatanka join host Alistair Taylor to discuss how the coronavirus pandemic is affecting Iran, one of the first countries hit by the outbreak, and Turkey, where it arrived later but has since spread rapidly.

    April 3, 2020

    The Black Sea and COVID-19
  • Analysis
  • The Black Sea and COVID-19

    As with the rest of the world, COVID-19 is likely to wreak havoc across the Black Sea region in a very short period of time. With the outbreak projected to peak in April or May – and with some predicting the pandemic will last two years and infect 60 to 70 percent of the global population – it is difficult to fathom the potential consequences for this region. 

    March 31, 2020

    Communities mobilized and immobilized as COVID-19 continues to spread in North Africa
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Communities mobilized and immobilized as COVID-19 continues to spread in North Africa

    Governments and citizens throughout North Africa are gearing up for a huge increase in coronavirus infections expected in late March, April, and May. Just next door, Italy and Spain are two of the five worst afflicted countries on the planet.

    March 27, 2020

    The fight for Syria’s skies: Turkey challenges Russia with new drone doctrine
    Photo by Muhammed Enes Yildirim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The fight for Syria’s skies: Turkey challenges Russia with new drone doctrine

    In retaliation for an airstrike that killed 33 Turkish soldiers at the end of February, Ankara launched “Operation Spring Shield” (OSS) against the Syrian regime and the pro-Iranian militias supporting it. Despite being unable to rely on its fleet of F-16s due to Russia’s control of the Syrian airspace over Idlib, Turkey managed to successfully wipe out a large portion of Assad’s army in the area within just a couple of days by making innovative use of drones.

    March 26, 2020

    Could coronavirus lead to an Arab Spring 2.0?
    Xinhua/via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Could coronavirus lead to an Arab Spring 2.0?

    No part of the world will emerge unscathed from the fallout of the coronavirus pandemic of 2020. Just because China and Italy were the first to be severely hit, does not imply, that when all is said and done, that they will have sustained the brunt of the damage. North Africa is a region dependent on global commodities prices, tourism, and political and monetary support from Europe and the Gulf, where regime brittleness, youth unemployment, and Islamic radicalism all intersect.

    March 25, 2020

    Europe has a vested interest in a safe, secure, and prosperous Black Sea
    Photo by Kayhan Ozer/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Europe has a vested interest in a safe, secure, and prosperous Black Sea

    The European Union’s interest in the Black Sea is based mainly on the fact that two of its members, Romania and Bulgaria, are littoral states. However, the organization is also closely linked with other non-EU Black Sea states, be it economically or politically. Ukraine and Georgia aspire to be EU members while Russia and Turkey both have their own unique and difficult relationships with the EU. 

    March 24, 2020

    How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy
    American soldiers patrol on the M4 highway in the town of Tal Tamr in the northeastern Syrian Hasakeh province on the border with Turkey on January 24, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy

    Democrats ought to build a moral firewall around Syria policy, establishing a framework for understanding the Syrian conflict and debating policy options.

    March 18, 2020

    The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit
    Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin at a press conference following their meeting at the Moscow Kremlin.
  • Analysis
  • The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit

    In changing the balance of power on the ground and forcing hostilities to a stalemate, Turkey’s military intervention in Idlib had produced its desired effect. On March 5, Vladimir Putin and Erdogan sat together for six hours and announced to the world a comprehensive cease-fire and the establishment of a secure corridor spanning six kilometers on the north and south sides of the M4 highway.

    Keeping the UN political track in Libya alive
     Fighters of the UN-backed Government of National Accord take cover during clashes with Libyan National Army forces at Al-Nahr frontline in Tripoli, Libya, on March 8, 2020.
  • Commentary
  • Keeping the UN political track in Libya alive

    Libyan oil production has collapsed to less than 100,000 bpd as Hifter has continued to amass forces for what some claim to be a final push into the nation’s capital and largest city.

    Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?
    Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan greet each other during their talks at the Kremlin on March 5, 2020 in Moscow, Russia. Erdogan is having a one day visit to Russia to discuss the war conflcit in Syria.
  • Analysis
  • Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?

    After Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan hammered out a deal with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on March 5 to bring an end to the fighting in Idlib in northwestern Syria, he said he was hopeful that the two countries could extend their cooperation to Libya.