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The dangerous precedent set by Tehran's recent international deals
Photo by Vuk Valcic/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The dangerous precedent set by Tehran's recent international deals

    When discussing the recent deal between Tehran and Washington to release five American prisoners in exchange for Iran gaining access to $6 billion in seized assets in South Korea, Iranian officials use a specific key phrase: “honorable diplomacy.” According to Iranian officials, “honorable diplomacy” means dealing with America and Europe from a position of strength. They claim that, even after the brutal suppression of the 2022 protests, they have successfully used their leverage with foreign adversaries to win unexpected concessions — a claim that, while potentially exaggerated, points to an unprecedented series of developments in recent months.

    August 21, 2023

    Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances
    (Photo by Mohammad Noori/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances

    Two years on from the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul, Afghanistan’s neighbors are increasingly concerned that their return to power has emboldened terrorist groups and networks, which are using the hospitable environment to regroup, rearm, and recruit substantially. The main question now for Afghanistan’s neighbors in the region, and the international community more broadly, is just how reliable the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances to other states really are.

    August 18, 2023

    Impossible choices and routine tragedies: The Syrian refugee crisis at 13
    Photo by Ali Hashisho/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Impossible choices and routine tragedies: The Syrian refugee crisis at 13

    There are currently over 5.34 million Syrian refugees dispersed in camps, collective shelters, and poor neighborhoods across Lebanon, Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, and Egypt. Many make desperate attempts to find refuge in Europe. Instead of adopting repressive measures and discriminating against these individuals, the U.S. and European countries should work with regional partners and non-governmental organizations to limit the danger to refugees and IDPs.

    August 16, 2023

    The Beirut blast three years on: The case for international accountability
    Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Beirut blast three years on: The case for international accountability

    Three years on from the Beirut port blast, Hezbollah, with the support of Lebanon’s political elite, has managed to obstruct and even quash the domestic judicial process for holding those responsible for the explosion accountable and delivering justice to both victims and a battered nation. The international community must uphold its responsibility toward the Lebanese people by enabling a U.N. fact-finding mission to investigate the blast, sanctioning those responsible for obstructing justice, and making ending impunity the centerpiece of international mediation on the Lebanese crisis.

    Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit
    Photo by Borna News/Matin Ghasemi/Iran Images ATPImages/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit

    As Israel grapples with fundamental questions of identity and societal fissures years in the making, Iran and its Axis of Resistance continue to employ their escalation-ready approach of pushing the envelope in multiple geographic theaters, launching cyber operations to foment disunity in Israeli society, and attempting to neutralize the regional gains Israel has made after signing the Abraham Accords with several Arab neighbors in 2020.

    August 3, 2023

    Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline

    Amin Naeni discusses the revival of Iranian foreign policy with non-Western states, particularly African nations, in light of President Raisi’s recent visit to the continent. Additionally, the piece touches upon how this process has differed between Raisi versus Ahmadinejad, and whether Raisi’s Africa policy will prove any more successful than his predecessor’s.

    July 31, 2023

    Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran
    Photo by Murat Kula/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran

    While some analysts attribute Egypt’s realignment toward Turkey, Qatar, and Iran to a change in the foreign policies of its influential allies, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, it can be argued that Egypt’s shift is primarily motivated by its domestic dynamics and its unfulfilled foreign policy objectives between 2014 and 2018. Egypt’s realignment, in that sense, seeks to achieve multiple unmet domestic and regional aims.

    July 25, 2023

    July 4 from abroad: The many ages of America in the Arab world
    Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • July 4 from abroad: The many ages of America in the Arab world

    From the past century until today, the U.S. has cast a long shadow in the Middle East region and relations have gone through many highs and lows. It is important to be aware of this trajectory to better understand the relationship today; and perhaps there are lessons to inform the future of the relationship in the coming century.

    July 7, 2023

    Middle East futures will pivot on women
    Photo by Lynsey Addario/Getty Images Reportage
  • Analysis
  • Middle East futures will pivot on women

    Gender parity in the Middle East is still many decades away, but it will largely determine the future of economic, social, cultural, and political development in the region.

    June 28, 2023

    The US and France must push back on Iran to break Lebanon’s political gridlock
    Photo by Bilal Jawich/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The US and France must push back on Iran to break Lebanon’s political gridlock

    Jean-Yves Le Drian, French President Emmanuel Macron’s envoy to Lebanon, made a preliminary diplomatic visit to Beirut last week. Le Drian’s appointment marks a potential though uncertain opening to consolidate international support for Lebanon to facilitate an end to the political gridlock and leadership vacuum. A short but timely boost in robust diplomacy on the part of Washington, strengthened by clear coordination with Paris and regional partners, can play a decisive role in preventing the unraveling of another failed authoritarian state that could further destabilize the region and force even more costly engagement in the future.