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Monday Briefing: Syria’s deadly status quo
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Syria’s deadly status quo

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region including Kazakhstan’s upcoming “Astana talks” on Syria, Jared Kushner’s planned visit to the Middle East, the shift in US-Pakistan relations, and Abbas’ announcement that the Palestinian Authority will halt all signed agreements with Israel, featuring Charles Lister, Gerald Feierstein, Marvin G. Weinbaum, and Khaled Elgindy.

    Afghanistan brings Trump and Khan together
    President Donald Trump Meets With Pakastani Prime Minister Imran Khan At The White House
  • Analysis
  • Afghanistan brings Trump and Khan together

    The long-awaited summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan raised more questions than it answered. Nevertheless, the message emerging from the meeting has major implications for regional stability and the Afghan peace process. 

    July 29, 2019

    OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions
    Oil ministers attend the 176th meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) conference and the 6th meeting of the OPEC and non-OPEC countries on July 1, 2019 in Vienna, Austria.
  • Analysis
  • OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions

    OPEC+ nations have ended speculation about whether they would continue oil production cuts by agreeing to a nine-month extension. Led by the global petroleum powers Saudi Arabia and Russia, the group agreed on July 2 to extend the current level of cuts until the second quarter of 2020.

    July 24, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Pakistani PM Khan heads to the White House
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Pakistani PM Khan heads to the White House

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region including Imran Khan’s visit to the White House, tensions between President Trump and Congress over Turkey’s new S-400 system, escalation in the Straits of Gibraltar and Hormuz, military restructuring in Iraq, increased collaboration on the region’s power supply, and changes to Egypt’s social safety net, featuring Arif Rafiq, Gonul Tol, Ruba Husari, Robert S. Ford, Dr. Ibrahim Saif, and Mirette F. Mabrouk.

    Monday Briefing: US and Turkey face S-400 confrontation
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: US and Turkey face S-400 confrontation

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region including Turkey’s confrontation with the U.S. over its S-400 defense system, the latest round of Afghan peace talks, the UAE’s drawdown in Yemen, Turkey’s media signaling on Syria, and the 21st consecutive week of protests in Algeria, featuring W. Robert Pearson, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Ibrahim Jalal, Guney Yildiz, and Robert S. Ford.

    Interconnected: Trade, food security, and stability in the GCC and MENA
    An Emirati man reads the front of a package of Indian Basmati rice in a supermarket in Dubai on July 19, 2008. Faced with the scarcity of fertile land and water, and the surging world prices of food, the wealthy Gulf states are seeking to secure food supplies through agricultural investments abroad.
  • Analysis
  • Interconnected: Trade, food security, and stability in the GCC and MENA

    It is easy to overlook the fact that food security could be an issue of concern in the Gulf Cooperation Council. After all, its member states have some of the world’s highest per capita income levels. Food supplies in the Gulf are normally abundant and stable. Were they to be disrupted, however, it could lead to food security challenges and a chain of adverse consequences for human security throughout the region.

    July 9, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Iran exceeds nuclear deal enrichment limits
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Iran exceeds nuclear deal enrichment limits

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Alex Vatanka, Gonul Tol, Gerald Feierstein, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Rauf Mammadov, and Robert S. Ford provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including Iran’s announcement that it has exceeded its enriched uranium limit, Turkey’s purchase of Russia’s S-400s missile defense system over American objections, an Emirati announcement that it will downsize military involvement in Yemen, the resumption of intra-Afghan peace talks, Russia’s continuing embrace of OPEC+ oil production cuts, and the emergence of potential threats to Tunisia’s democracy.

    Monday Briefing: Iran plays the uranium card
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Iran plays the uranium card

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Paul Salem, Gonul Tol, Alex Vatanka, and Marvin G. Weinbaum provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including Iran’s announcement that it will increase uranium enrichment, Istanbul’s upcoming mayoral election, potential leadership shifts in Tehran, and a rise in political tensions following Pakistan’s anti-corruption crackdown.

    Monday Briefing: The deepening regional rift
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: The deepening regional rift

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Birol Baskan, Eran Etzion, Alex Vatanka, and Marvin G. Weinbaum provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including recent regional summits in Mecca to discuss Iran and the Qatar crisis, Benjamin Netanyahu’s gambit to retain power in Israel, and escalating hostilities between the Pakistani military and the Pashtun Tahaffuz Movement.

    Afghanistan’s delayed political transition
  • Podcast
  • Afghanistan’s delayed political transition

    Shamila Chaudhary, Michael Kugelman, and Marvin Weinbaum join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the political situation in Afghanistan following the expiration of President Ashraf Ghani’s term in office, presidential elections in September, the state of US-Taliban talks and the intra-Afghan dialogue.

    May 31, 2019

    Turkish-Pakistani relations: A burgeoning alliance?
    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) and Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan (L) shake hands after a joint press conference at the Presidential Complex in Ankara, on January 4, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Turkish-Pakistani relations: A burgeoning alliance?

    As Turkey aims to expand its influence throughout the Sunni Muslim world, President Erdoğan is playing up the historic ties and strategic partnership between Turkey and Pakistan. It remains to be seen, however, if this alliance will evolve beyond mere symbolism.

    May 22, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Iraq back in the eye of the storm
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Iraq back in the eye of the storm

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Randa Slim, Gerald Feierstein, Zubair Iqbal, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Mirette F. Mabrouk, Robert S. Ford, and Rauf Mammadov provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including the escalating tensions between the United States and Iran with Iraq caught in between, Jared Kushner’s economic development plan for Palestinians, the IMF’s bailout deal with Pakistan, political turmoil ahead of the Afghan presidential election, developments in the Egyptian media landscape following recent constitutional amendments, debate over how to approach elections in Algeria, and the impact of US-Iran tensions on the oil market.

    May 20, 2019

    The rocky road to intra-Afghan dialogue
    Afghan people attend the first day of the
  • Analysis
  • The rocky road to intra-Afghan dialogue

    U.S. Special Representative Zalmay Khalilzad is holding talks with the Afghan Taliban to make sure the guns fall silent in Afghanistan. But getting the Taliban to agree on a ceasefire and engage in an intra-Afghan dialogue is severely testing Khalilzad’s negotiating skills; the fifth round of talks in Doha lasted for 16 days. If the intra-Afghan dimension cannot be made to work, it will likely lead to not only a more complicated political process, but also a far more dangerous one.

    May 13, 2019

    Jihadists' Code of Conduct in the Era of ISIS
    An Afghan soldier points his gun at an ISIS banner as he patrols in Nangarhar Province
  • Analysis
  • Jihadists' Code of Conduct in the Era of ISIS

    The rise of ISIS post-2013 changed how we perceive jihadism, but it also transformed how jihadists perceive themselves and how they behave. ISIS’s brutality and indiscriminate violence created unprecedented fragmentation within the jihadi movement, leading to critical self-reflection and changes in codes of conduct. This paper examines how three different jihadi groups – the Afghan Taliban, al-Qaeda in the Indian Sub-Continent, and Tehreek- e-Taliban Pakistan (or the Pakistani Taliban) – responded to the challenges presented by ISIS.

    April 29, 2019