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Saudi Arabia Returns
Photo by Saudi Royal Council/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia Returns

    At the dawn of the Biden era of American foreign policy, a more mature, realistic Saudi foreign policy is emerging to match the shifting signals from Washington. In some measure, the Saudis are readopting elements that traditionally characterized their policy preferences before the meteoric rise of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS), the kingdom’s de facto ruler.

    Russia rethinks the status quo in southern Syria
    Photo courtesy of the author.
  • Analysis
  • Russia rethinks the status quo in southern Syria

    In June 2021, southern Syria once again dominated the headlines when the regime laid siege to the Daraa al-Balad area of Daraa city. A few days after the monthlong siege, an agreement to end the escalation collapsed and the Syrian army’s Fourth Division spearheaded a major military push in the area. Intense clashes broke out as groups of unreconciled rebels violently repelled the advancement of Syrian military forces. Armed confrontations spread into eastern and western Daraa amid heavy bombardment via missiles, artillery, and mortar shells, marking the deadliest and most intense fighting in Syria’s south-west since the conclusion of the 2018 “reconciliation” agreements.

    The Pro-Al Qaeda Indonesian Connection with HTS in Syria: Security Implications
    Indonesian Terrorism Links
  • Analysis
  • The Pro-Al Qaeda Indonesian Connection with HTS in Syria: Security Implications

    Despite being largely low-key and limited in nature, ties between pro-Al Qaeda jihadists operating in Indonesia and Syria respectively continue to exist. Recent activity involving Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) and other militant Indonesian groups illustrates the potential security risks from this nexus, which should not be overlooked.

    August 10, 2021

    A Comprehensive Review of the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Syria
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • A Comprehensive Review of the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Syria

    The subject of Western sanctions on Syria is a divisive one among analysts and policymakers interested in ending the misery of the country’s citizens. The division comes at a time when, more than ever, the country needs a comprehensive policy that ends the agony of most Syrians. This study assesses the effectiveness of the sanctions imposed on the regime of Bashar al-Assad by conducting a comprehensive review of their history, evaluating shortcomings in the current setup, and recommending ways to move forward.

    August 6, 2021

    The EU and the Syrian conflict: A decade on, what comes next?
    Photo by VIRGINIA MAYO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The EU and the Syrian conflict: A decade on, what comes next?

    EU institutions and individual member states remain committed to the peaceful settlement of the Syrian conflict, but after 10 years the question of what to do next seems most pressing. Will the EU be a passive bystander, idly watching the actions of other international players like Russia, China, Iran, or Saudi Arabia, or will it take on a more active role? And what would such a role look like?

    July 30, 2021

    All in the family: How an animated series reflects social change in Saudi Arabia
    Image courtesy of Malik Nejer
  • Analysis
  • All in the family: How an animated series reflects social change in Saudi Arabia

    Masameer County, the Netflix animated television series taking Saudi Arabia by storm, reveals how the country’s creative class, over the last two decades, has posed awareness-raising questions while reevaluating the assumptions and terms used to discuss contentious social issues. This is not the Saudi Arabia of clerics, oil, and the royal family, but the one experienced by everyday people.

    July 27, 2021

    Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks

    As a Lebanese actor ideologically tied to Iran, Hezbollah has multiple allegiances and objectives that do not always align symmetrically. Hezbollah’s regional activities are a reflection of the group’s increasingly close alignment with Iran, rather than the interests of the Lebanese state or citizenry. Today, Hezbollah’s regional adventurism is most pronounced in its expeditionary forces deployed in Syria and elsewhere in the region, but no less important are the group’s advanced training regimen for other Shi’a militias aligned with Iran, its expansive illicit financing activities across the region, and its procurement, intelligence, cyber, and disinformation activities. Together, these underscore the scale and scope of the group’s all-in approach to transforming from one of several Lebanese militias into a regional player acting at Iran’s behest.

    July 26, 2021

    The changing Saudi banking landscape
    Photo by Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The changing Saudi banking landscape

    While Western banks saw their valuations drop substantially during the first 18 months of the COVID pandemic — and have yet to recover — the declines among Saudi banks have been smaller and their valuations are now closer to, if not above, their pre-pandemic levels. Identifying the drivers of this seemingly contradictory trend helps us better understand the shifts within the Saudi banking sector and the growing impacts of policies related to Vision 2030, the country’s long-term economic development and diversification program.

    July 22, 2021

    روسيا تنهي مهمة إعادة هيكلة الجيش السوري.. بعد الفشل
    Photo by ANDREI BORODULIN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • روسيا تنهي مهمة إعادة هيكلة الجيش السوري.. بعد الفشل

    منذ بداية الانتفاضة السورية مايو 2011 وحتى صيف العام 2015، فشلت الميليشيات الإيرانية إلى جانب الجيش السوري والميليشيات المحلية في إعادة السيطرة على البلاد، على الرغم من العدد الهائل لمجموع هذه القوات أمام المتمردين الذين كانت حركتهم فوضوية في مقابل أجهزة أمنية وقوات منظمة، حيث سيطرت هذه القوات المتمردة على النظام السوري مساحات واسعة من سوريا.

    July 20, 2021

    Russia’s failed efforts to restructure the Syrian army
    Photo by ANDREI BORODULIN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s failed efforts to restructure the Syrian army

    The Russian military intervention in Syria in late 2015 brought about a clear change in the balance of power in the military, political, and psychological spheres. The Russian military, especially its air force, dramatically tipped the scales in the conflict between the armed opposition, the regime, and the Iranian militias. Moscow’s intervention was also accompanied by a project to regain control over the security and military situation in Syria, but this effort proved far less successful.

    July 20, 2021

    Exploring the rising workforce participation among Saudi women
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Exploring the rising workforce participation among Saudi women

    In the past few months, several articles have been written on the significant rise in the Saudi female labor force participation rate (LFPR) from 17.7% in Q2, 2016 to 33.2% in Q4, 2020. Interestingly, this increase in female LFPR was not coupled with a rise in unemployment, which often occurs when workforce participation rises for a particular group. In fact, the unemployment rate among female nationals declined to its lowest level in four years, at 24.4% in Q4, 2020. However, it still remains over twice as high as that for male nationals. Another positive labor market indicator, albeit one receiving little attention from analysts, is the significant change in the employment rate among Saudi women. In other words, Saudi women not only increased their share in the workforce, but were also able to gain jobs once they entered the labor force.

    July 9, 2021

    إيران خسرت أولى معاركها في القامشلي وحدود سيطرة جديدة فرضتها معركة حي طي
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • إيران خسرت أولى معاركها في القامشلي وحدود سيطرة جديدة فرضتها معركة حي طي

    في أواخر شهر نيسان إبريل الماضي، شهد حي طي الواقع جنوبي مدينة القامشلي في محافظة الحسكة السورية، اشتباكات عنيفة بين قوات “الدفاع الوطني” التابعة للنظام السوري وقوات “الأسايش” التابعة للإدارة الذاتية “الكردية”، هذه الاشتباكات انتهت باتفاق تم بين الطرفين برعاية روسية.

    Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control

    At the end of April, the Tayy neighborhood, in the southern part of the city of Qamishli in Syria’s Hasaka Province, witnessed violent clashes between the National Defense Forces (NDF) of the Syrian regime and the Internal Security Forces (Asayish) of the Kurdish Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES). The conflict ended with the negotiation of a permanent truce between the two parties under Russian auspices.