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Another blow for the unsteady Israeli coalition government
Photo by GIL COHEN-MAGEN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Another blow for the unsteady Israeli coalition government

    On June 6 Israel’s coalition government lost an important vote, in which more than half of the Knesset members on both sides voted against their own most fundamental beliefs in a desperate effort to either bring down the coalition or to save it. The substance of the legislation was barely more than a pretext, but the opposition smelled blood and was willing to do virtually anything to regain power.

    June 7, 2022

    Why Washington should provide direct cash payments to the Lebanese army
    Photo by PATRICK BAZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why Washington should provide direct cash payments to the Lebanese army

    The considerable financial shortfall experienced by the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) over the past couple of years has measurably affected its morale, readiness, and operational capacity. There couldn’t be a worse time for the LAF to potentially fall apart. A series of monumental challenges await Lebanon now that the parliamentary elections are over, all of which demand a modicum of stability that only the LAF can provide.

    June 6, 2022

    Iran’s drone factory in Tajikistan
    Photo by Iranian Army/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s drone factory in Tajikistan

    On May 17, 2022, Iran inaugurated a drone factory in neighboring Tajikistan, its first drone production facility abroad. With this factory, Iran intends to reinforce bilateral relations and reduce recent tensions with Tajikistan, address shared security concerns on the Afghan border, boost profits in a growing export market, and complicate Israeli efforts to further sabotage its drone program.

    June 3, 2022

    Can a new EU strategy bring EU and Gulf actors closer together?
    Photo by KARIM JAAFAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can a new EU strategy bring EU and Gulf actors closer together?

    Relations between the EU and the Gulf countries have been on life support for a long time. The two sides have become experts at talking past each other, blithely skidding from crisis to crisis. But on May 18, the EU made the first serious effort in a long time to bridge this gap, by introducing a proposal for a “Strategic Partnership with the Gulf.”

    June 1, 2022

    A false alarm or a wake-up call for Israel’s fragile coalition?
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A false alarm or a wake-up call for Israel’s fragile coalition?

    On May 19, Ghaida Rinawi Zoabi, one of Meretz’s two Arab Knesset members, announced she was leaving the governing coalition and her party. On May 22, however, it was announced that she had rejoined both. What happened and what does it tell us about the state of Israel’s fragile coalition government?

    May 25, 2022

    The Palestinian Authority’s economic “disengagement” looks a lot like the status quo
    Photo by Palestinian Prime Minister's Office / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Palestinian Authority’s economic “disengagement” looks a lot like the status quo

    Palestinian Authority (PA) officials repeatedly deny acquiescing to the economic peace model with Israel, but such rhetoric is not reflected in their actions. In recent years integration between the Palestinian and Israeli economies has only deepened.

    May 24, 2022

    Turkey back at the barricades
    Photo by KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey back at the barricades

    In recent months, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has been on a charm offensive. But that spring in Turkey’s diplomacy may now be reverting to winter as Ankara has blocked Swedish and Finnish accession to NATO even as a key arms deal is pending with Washington and U.S. relations with Greece are at a high.

    “Half of us were left behind while one of our colleagues back home was shot dead”
    Photo courtesy of the author
  • Commentary
  • “Half of us were left behind while one of our colleagues back home was shot dead”

    There are certain events that are so impactful that you remember exactly where you were and what you were doing when you heard about them. The killing of Shireen Abu Akleh, the veteran Al Jazeera journalist, last Wednesday in the occupied West Bank was for me just such an event — both because of who she was and what I was doing at the time. 

    May 19, 2022

    Will France's MENA policy change in Macron's second term?
  • Analysis
  • Will France's MENA policy change in Macron's second term?

    When Emmanuel Macron was elected president five years ago, many analysts wondered how it might affect France’s policy toward the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). At the time, France found itself at a crossroads, having to contend with the shift in U.S. policy toward the region during the presidency of Donald Trump, growing dissension within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), increasingly deteriorating relations with Iran, tensions with Turkey after the failed 2016 coup, and ongoing bloodshed in Syria, Libya, and Yemen, all while conducting a military campaign against ISIS. Following Macron’s recent reelection to a second term, the key question now is whether he will maintain or change his current policy toward the region.

    May 18, 2022

    Russia is violating the spirit of Montreux by using civilian ships for war
    Photo by Yörük Işık: Russian Ministry of Defense-owned Oboronlogistika’s cargo vessel Pizhma.
  • Analysis
  • Russia is violating the spirit of Montreux by using civilian ships for war

    On Feb. 28, Turkey triggered the Montreux Convention, not used since World War II, and closed the Turkish Straits to military ships. This one move interrupted Russia’s maritime logistical supply line to Syria, interfered with its ability to rotate naval assets in the Mediterranean, and prevented Moscow from bringing additional warships to the Black Sea. Russia can no longer supply its Syria operation or deliver defense exports to its customers using navy ships. However, close observation of traffic through the Turkish Straits reveals that Russia is continuing its naval operations in the Mediterranean and Black seas.

    May 18, 2022

    Could Ukraine Offer a Template for Better US-Gulf Security Relations?
  • Commentary
  • Could Ukraine Offer a Template for Better US-Gulf Security Relations?

    Relations between Washington and some of its traditional Gulf Arab partners, particularly Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, are at their lowest point in history, which is why the Biden administration on Monday sent a high-level delegation to Abu Dhabi: specifically to pay respects upon the death of former UAE President Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan and to congratulate his successor, Mohamed bin Zayed, but more generally to try to heal those ties.

    May 17, 2022

    The Other Saudi Transformation
  • Commentary
  • The Other Saudi Transformation

    This article describes Saudi Arabia’s historic and arduous journey to national-defense transformation, launched around 2015. It analyzes the challenges and opportunities of defense reform in the kingdom while highlighting the role of the United States in this process. Last, the article discusses the future of US-Saudi defense relations.

    May 17, 2022

    The Security Dimension of the Abraham Accords
    Ships from partner nations of Combined Task Force North participate in a photo exercise during International Maritime Exercise/Cutlass Express (IMX/CE) 2022 in the Arabian Gulf.
  • Commentary
  • The Security Dimension of the Abraham Accords

    In September 2021, a year after the Abraham Accords were signed by Israel, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates (Morocco and Sudan joined a few weeks later), U.S. Secretary of State Tony Blinken spoke enthusiastically of Arab-Israeli collaborations already under way in various domains including energy, health care, technology, medicine, and tourism.

    May 17, 2022

    Not “business as usual”: The Chinese military’s visit to Iran
    Photo by Li Xiaowei, Chinese Ministry of Defense
  • Analysis
  • Not “business as usual”: The Chinese military’s visit to Iran

    A senior Chinese military delegation landed in Iran for a visit in late April. The readouts from Tehran were rather dull, but there is more to this visit than meets the eye. While a new “axis” may not necessarily be forming, there are troubling trendlines that Western policymakers need to counter.

    May 16, 2022