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Europe has a vested interest in a safe, secure, and prosperous Black Sea
Photo by Kayhan Ozer/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Europe has a vested interest in a safe, secure, and prosperous Black Sea

    The European Union’s interest in the Black Sea is based mainly on the fact that two of its members, Romania and Bulgaria, are littoral states. However, the organization is also closely linked with other non-EU Black Sea states, be it economically or politically. Ukraine and Georgia aspire to be EU members while Russia and Turkey both have their own unique and difficult relationships with the EU. 

    March 24, 2020

    The Houthis’ response to COVID-19? Pre-emptively blame their enemies
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis’ response to COVID-19? Pre-emptively blame their enemies

    By keeping the focus on Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the U.S., and covering up Iran’s failure in dealing with the pandemic, the Houthis are trying to absolve themselves and their patrons of responsibility.

    March 21, 2020

    How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy
    American soldiers patrol on the M4 highway in the town of Tal Tamr in the northeastern Syrian Hasakeh province on the border with Turkey on January 24, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy

    Democrats ought to build a moral firewall around Syria policy, establishing a framework for understanding the Syrian conflict and debating policy options.

    March 18, 2020

    Normalizing Houthi gains in Yemen puts Marib at serious risk
    Houthi fighters gather on a vehicle in a recently captured area following heavy fighting with forces loyal to the internationally recognized government on March 2, 2020 in Al-Jawf province, Yemen.
  • Analysis
  • Normalizing Houthi gains in Yemen puts Marib at serious risk

    Just a week after Houthi rebels took control of al-Hazm, the capital of al-Jawf Province, on March 1, UN Special Envoy for Yemen Martin Griffiths paid an unprecedented, one-day visit to the Houthis’ likely next target, oil-and-gas-rich Marib, reiterating the urgent need for de-escalation.

    March 16, 2020

    The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit
    Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin at a press conference following their meeting at the Moscow Kremlin.
  • Analysis
  • The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit

    In changing the balance of power on the ground and forcing hostilities to a stalemate, Turkey’s military intervention in Idlib had produced its desired effect. On March 5, Vladimir Putin and Erdogan sat together for six hours and announced to the world a comprehensive cease-fire and the establishment of a secure corridor spanning six kilometers on the north and south sides of the M4 highway.

    Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?
    Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan greet each other during their talks at the Kremlin on March 5, 2020 in Moscow, Russia. Erdogan is having a one day visit to Russia to discuss the war conflcit in Syria.
  • Analysis
  • Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?

    After Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan hammered out a deal with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on March 5 to bring an end to the fighting in Idlib in northwestern Syria, he said he was hopeful that the two countries could extend their cooperation to Libya.

    Black Sea conflicts: Militarization and peacebuilding
    FEBRUARY 28, 2020: A view of the Monument to the Sunken Ships during a storm on the Black Sea. Sergei Malgavko/TASS (Photo by Sergei MalgavkoTASS via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Black Sea conflicts: Militarization and peacebuilding

    The sheer density of protracted conflicts in the Black Sea region makes it particularly exposed to the geopolitical ambitions of regional and global powers. The rapid militarization in Russia-controlled territories in recent years has only added fuel to the fire, dramatically increasing security concerns and underscoring the need for the West and its allies in the region to address the so-called frozen conflicts.

    March 5, 2020

    All eyes on Moscow as Erdogan and Putin meet for Syria talks
    Women in Istanbul hold banners which read murderer Russia, murderer Iran, murderer Esed during the protest on February 29, 2020 after 33 Turkish soldiers were killed in Idlib, Syria on 27 February.
  • Analysis
  • All eyes on Moscow as Erdogan and Putin meet for Syria talks

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan typically never misses an opportunity to appear in front of the cameras. But after the airstrike last week that killed dozens of Turkish soldiers in Syria’s Idlib Province, he was unusually quiet. The local governor of the south-eastern Turkish province of Hatay, just across the border from Idlib, did the talking instead, providing information to the outraged public about Turkey’s worst day in the Syrian conflict so far. As the death toll rose, so did the public anger.

    Running around in circles: How Saudi Arabia is losing its war in Yemen to Iran
    destroyed military vehicles are seen at Houthi-controlled areas following heavy fighting between them and forces loyal to the internationally recognized government on February 6, 2020 in Al-Jawf province, Yemen.
  • Analysis
  • Running around in circles: How Saudi Arabia is losing its war in Yemen to Iran

    On March 1, the Iran-backed Houthis took control of the city of al-Hazm, the capital of al-Jawf Province, after weeks of fierce clashes with local tribes and Yemeni government forces. Incompetence, lack of unified leadership, and the absence of a military strategy by the Yemeni government and the Saudi-led coalition have played into the hands of the Houthis.