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Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential
Iran's Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance, Masoud Karbasian (L) and Russias Energy Minister Alexander Novak shake hands at a signing ceremony following a meeting of the Russian-Iranian intergovernmental commission for trade and economic cooperation at Moscow's President Hotel
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential

    The outbreak of a Russian-Saudi oil price war earlier this month might offer some comfort to Iran, a country which has in recent years become unnerved by the increasingly close ties between Moscow and Riyadh. However, it is premature to see an Iranian geopolitical win emerging from the Russian-Saudi spat, and history should give Tehran plenty of reservations about Moscow’s ability to deliver on its economic promises to Iran. While Iran and Russia will likely continue to pay lip-service to the idea of an economic partnership, each side will remain preoccupied with larger concerns. This is a tale of unfulfilled economic potential.  

    Israeli elections and the Joint List
    Ayman Odeh (C), leader of the Hadash party that is part of the Joint List alliance, gives an address with other alliance leaders at their electoral headquarters in Israel's northern city of Shefa-Amr on March 2, 2020, after polls officially closed.
  • Commentary
  • Israeli elections and the Joint List

    Whether or not Gantz succeeds in forming a government, the Joint List has cemented its role as “king makers” in Israeli politics.

    March 16, 2020

    Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?
    Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan greet each other during their talks at the Kremlin on March 5, 2020 in Moscow, Russia. Erdogan is having a one day visit to Russia to discuss the war conflcit in Syria.
  • Analysis
  • Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?

    After Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan hammered out a deal with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on March 5 to bring an end to the fighting in Idlib in northwestern Syria, he said he was hopeful that the two countries could extend their cooperation to Libya.

    Little hope for an end to Israel’s political turmoil
    An emblem of Israel with the Knesset in the background, seen on the day of Israeli Legislative Elections 2020, in Central Jerusalem.
  • Commentary
  • Little hope for an end to Israel’s political turmoil

    Neither Likud nor Kahol Lavan was able to break the political stalemate and clear the path to the immediate formation of a majority government.

    March 9, 2020

    Can Palestinian citizens of Israel teach other Arabs a lesson in democracy?
  • Analysis
  • Can Palestinian citizens of Israel teach other Arabs a lesson in democracy?

    While attention in the third Israeli general elections in a year has focused on the performance of the caretaker prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu, a powerful light must be shed as well on the successful performance of Israel’s Palestinian citizens, who again increased their representation in Israel’s parliament.

    March 6, 2020

    Black Sea conflicts: Militarization and peacebuilding
    FEBRUARY 28, 2020: A view of the Monument to the Sunken Ships during a storm on the Black Sea. Sergei Malgavko/TASS (Photo by Sergei MalgavkoTASS via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Black Sea conflicts: Militarization and peacebuilding

    The sheer density of protracted conflicts in the Black Sea region makes it particularly exposed to the geopolitical ambitions of regional and global powers. The rapid militarization in Russia-controlled territories in recent years has only added fuel to the fire, dramatically increasing security concerns and underscoring the need for the West and its allies in the region to address the so-called frozen conflicts.

    March 5, 2020

    And now what? A realistic approach to the Israeli-Palestinian impasse
    Thousands of protesters gather at Al-Manara Square to protest against U.S. President Donald Trump's Middle East plan, in Ramallah, West Bank on February 11, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • And now what? A realistic approach to the Israeli-Palestinian impasse

    The announcement of Donald Trump’s “deal of the century” was a rude shock, roundly condemned by almost everyone concerned with peace and justice between Israelis and Palestinians. But it also presents an urgent challenge for all those who reject it because they realize the dire implications of what it portends for the future of any peaceful negotiated solution. If a genuine two-state solution is truly dead, and an equitable one-state solution is even harder to achieve, then where does that leave us? What is, or should be, the agenda for the foreseeable future for those concerned with the Israeli-Palestinian issue.

    March 2, 2020

    Geopolitics and propaganda: Lessons from the Black Sea
    The Triumphal arch opposite the Government House in central Chisina, the capital of Moldova.
  • Analysis
  • Geopolitics and propaganda: Lessons from the Black Sea

    Since Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea, malign foreign influence within EU countries has been the subject of considerable scrutiny. What lessons can be learned from comparing EU and NATO members Romania and Bulgaria with partner countries Moldova and Georgia?

    The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority
    Bulgarian and NATO navi ships take part during Bulgarian-NATO military navy exercise in the Black sea, east of the Bulgarian capital Sofia, Friday, July, 10, 2015.
  • Analysis
  • The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority

    The Black Sea is a very important region for NATO, and has not received the attention it deserves; a separate focused NATO strategy and support for countries in the Black Sea would send a message that the Alliance takes the region seriously.

    February 6, 2020

    As Turkey-Russia ties warm, will Georgia be left out in the cold?
    Foreign Minister of Turkey Mevlut Cavusoglu (L) meets Foreign Minister of Georgia David Zalkaliani (R) in Tbilisi, Georgia on December 23, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • As Turkey-Russia ties warm, will Georgia be left out in the cold?

    Turkey’s blossoming relationship with Russia has not only raised eyebrows in Washington and Western European capitals, it has also caused a great deal of discomfort in countries like Georgia that have borne the brunt of Russian aggression. A few recent scattered signals from Ankara, however, might comfort Turkey’s northeastern neighbor.

    Why Jordan was so quick to reject Trump’s peace plan
    Thousands of Jordanians protested on Friday against President Trump's Middle East Peace Plan on January 31, 2020 in Amman, Jordan.
  • Analysis
  • Why Jordan was so quick to reject Trump’s peace plan

    Jordan’s response to President Donald Trump’s so-called “deal of the century” has been quick and unequivocal. Less than an hour after the release of the peace plan at a White House ceremony on Jan. 28, Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi issued a statement in which he reiterated Amman’s support for the two-state solution and the Arab Peace Initiative (API) as the only path to a just and lasting settlement to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, without referring directly to the Trump proposal.

    February 3, 2020

    Arab states unanimously reject Trump plan
    Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas (3rd-L) and Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) Secretary-General Saeb Erekat (2nd-L) look on as Arab League Secretary-General Ahmed Aboul Gheit (L) reads a statement during an Arab League emergency meeting discussing the US-brokered proposal for a settlement of the Middle East conflict, at the league headquarters in the Egyptian capital Cairo on February 1, 2020.
  • Commentary
  • Arab states unanimously reject Trump plan

    The communiqué, while largely symbolic, was nonetheless a major victory for Abbas’ beleaguered leadership.

    February 3, 2020

    Trump's "Peace Plan"
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Trump's "Peace Plan"

    Khaled Elgindy and Michael Koplow join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the long-awaited “deal of the century” Middle East peace plan. President Trump rolled the plan out at the White House on Tuesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in attendance, while the Palestinians, who have refused to deal with the administration since it recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital at the end of 2017, were not there – and not invited. How has it been received so far, and where might things go from here?

    January 31, 2020