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2020 Year in Review
  • Commentary
  • 2020 Year in Review

    A look back at the year’s most important developments with analysis from Paul Salem, Alex Vatanka, Randa Slim, Gerald Feierstein, Gonul Tol, Jonathan M. Winer, Khaled Elgindy, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Mirette F. Mabrouk, Grace Wermenbol, Syed Mohammad Ali, Robert S. Ford, and Khaldoun Khelil.

    What could environmental cooperation between Iran and the GCC look like?
  • Analysis
  • What could environmental cooperation between Iran and the GCC look like?

    The Persian Gulf states are among the most vulnerable on earth to the effects of climate change, which makes environmental cooperation necessary for their survival. Located in one of the hottest and driest parts of the planet, the region is vulnerable to extreme heat waves, dust storms, and water scarcity. All of these will increase in frequency and severity with further climate change. Protecting the natural environment of the region is not just an ecological concern, but a security one as well. Unmitagated climate change could spur conflict over limited resources and produce waves of migrants. While the future may seem bleak, environmental cooperation also presents a unique opportunity for improving the relationship between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states and Iran. Successes from cooperation on essential environmental issues could be the start of a more general rapprochement.

    December 10, 2020

    الجغرافيا السياسية وحقوق الإنسان في دائرة الضوء أثناء زيارة الرئيس السيسي لفرنسا
  • Commentary
  • الجغرافيا السياسية وحقوق الإنسان في دائرة الضوء أثناء زيارة الرئيس السيسي لفرنسا

    إعادة التفكير في الحقوق المدنية يجب أن يكون من أولويات الحكومة المصرية، لأسباب داخلية ودولية أيضا”.

    DIY futures in the Middle East: What if small got bigger?
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • DIY futures in the Middle East: What if small got bigger?

    It’s difficult to look at the Middle East and consider its future optimistically. Much of the analysis of the region centers on crisis and collapse. There is plenty of both, fueled by wars and civil conflicts, poverty, extremism, and more. Given the human toll, focusing on all this is natural. It is also necessary if solutions to deeply rooted problems are ever to be developed, leading to a better future.A related risk is becoming blinded to “weak signals” — early indicators of what could become features of potential alternative futures. Weak signals are developments that are emerging outside the dominant norms and trends of today. In the Middle East, probably the most dominant norm is the inability of governments throughout the region to provide security and prosperity for their citizens. The COVID-19 pandemic is making this even more apparent, and markedly worse. It is not just the obvious failed states — as Steven Cook recently observed, “sometimes state failure is a more chronic condition.” But in the midst of this — and fueled by it — there is evidence of activities at the local level to create what is missing. Could these be signals of a future different than the one it is so easy to expect for the region?

    December 1, 2020

    US-Gulf relations and the Biden administration
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • US-Gulf relations and the Biden administration

    Elana DeLozier and Jerry Feierstein join host Alistair Taylor to discuss prospects for US-Gulf relations and regional policy under the Biden presidency.

    November 25, 2020

    A virtual G20 summit underscores this importance of this year's agenda
  • Commentary
  • A virtual G20 summit underscores this importance of this year's agenda

    This year, the G20 summit will be held virtually. As a result, the world will be deprived of the customary images that surround these events… the group photos, the glittering halls wither flag-festooned conference tables, the luxurious surroundings where the world’s most powerful political leaders gather to bread bread and discuss the critical issues of the day over lavish banquets.

    November 23, 2020

    The UAE eyes AI supremacy: A key strategy for the 21st century
    Photo by Rustam Azmi/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The UAE eyes AI supremacy: A key strategy for the 21st century

    The (UAE is laying the groundwork for regional supremacy in AI. By fostering a web of novel institutions and partnerships, the Gulf state aims to augment its capacity to execute lofty AI policy initiatives. Further signaling its resolve, Abu Dhabi is lavishing the nascent sector with a host of incentives: financial privileges, office space, and even health care coverage. The embrace of AI comes as the UAE is cultivating emerging technologies as a means of boosting and diversifying its rentier economy, as well as signaling its innovation capacity and viability as a global trade powerhouse.

    November 19, 2020

    How the UAE-Israel deal could change the regional power balance
    TEHRAN, IRAN - MAY 06: (----EDITORIAL USE ONLY â MANDATORY CREDIT -
  • Analysis
  • How the UAE-Israel deal could change the regional power balance

    While most experts believe that the recent normalization of ties between Israel and the UAE will not lead to a significant change in the regional balance of power, there are indications that it has the potential to bring about such a change in the long run.

    November 2, 2020

    Oman plays it safe on Israel
  • Analysis
  • Oman plays it safe on Israel

    Since Aug. 13, speculation has been rife that the Sultanate of Oman will soon follow the United Arab Emirates’ (UAE) lead and formalize full-fledged ties with Israel. Yet, at least thus far, Muscat has refused to join the UAE, Bahrain, and now Sudan in normalizing relations with Tel Aviv. As a moderate Arab country, where tolerance is firmly embedded into the national ethos and the Ibadi sect of Islam, Oman appears to be maintaining a balanced position on the overall Arab trend toward normalizing relations with Israel. Muscat’s positive reaction to the Abraham Accords is not a major change in strategy and is more illustrative of Oman’s longstanding position on normalization.

    October 27, 2020