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Syria: Debates won’t change reality
TOPSHOT - A convoy of US forces armoured vehicles drives near the village of Yalanli, on the western outskirts of the northern Syrian city of Manbij, on March 5, 2017. / AFP PHOTO / DELIL SOULEIMAN (Photo credit should read DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Syria: Debates won’t change reality

    Over the past few weeks, my colleagues at MEI have debated whether the U.S. should stay in Syria or leave. Here I’d make a different argument: that it doesn’t really matter. The president has already made the decision to leave, and while his aides may have been able to slow roll the troop drawdown, the reality is that Donald Trump has made it clear the U.S. will not disburse any additional resources. Even within the 2020 Democratic field, not a single candidate has advocated increasing resources.

    August 29, 2019

    Countering and courting Iran: Israeli-Palestinian objectives in Iraq
    An Israeli F-15 I fighter jet launches anti-missile flares at it performs during a graduation ceremony of Israeli air force pilots at the Hatzerim Air Force base in Israel's Negev desert on December 26, 2018. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP) (Photo credit should read JACK GUEZ/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Countering and courting Iran: Israeli-Palestinian objectives in Iraq

    Israel has reportedly expanded its operations against Iran in the Middle East. In July, Israeli and foreign media attributed airstrikes on Iranian targets near Baghdad to Israel. Last week, U.S. officials confirmed that Israel was responsible for the attacks, which mark the first such air raids on Iraq since 1981, when Tel Aviv destroyed Saddam Hussein’s Osirak nuclear reactor.

    August 26, 2019

    Israel’s new front in the fight against Iran
    An Israeli F-35 fighter jet performs during an air show at the graduation ceremony of Israeli pilots in the Hatzerim Israeli Air Force base in the Negev desert, near the southern Israeli city of Beer Sheva, on June 27, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s new front in the fight against Iran

    On Aug. 12, an explosion took place inside an ammunition warehouse in the al-Saqr military base in southern Baghdad, triggering hundreds of mortars and rockets to fire off in all directions throughout urban, populated areas. One person was killed and 29 wounded, as munitions and debris scattered as far as 5 kilometers away.

    Monday Briefing: A mixed record for PM Khan’s first year in office
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: A mixed record for PM Khan’s first year in office

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Arif Rafiq, Ibrahim Jalal, Michael Sexton and Eliza Campbell, and Alex Vatanka.

    August 19, 2019

    US-Taliban talks won’t lead to lasting peace
    Afghan Taliban delegation attends the Intra Afghan Dialogue talks in the Qatari capital Doha on July 7, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • US-Taliban talks won’t lead to lasting peace

    Much has been written about the ongoing direct peace talks between U.S. Special Representative Zalmay Khalilzad and an Afghan Taliban delegation headed by Mullah Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai in Doha, Qatar. This article takes a closer look at the challenges to negotiating with the Afghan Taliban and lays out six reasons why the prospects for peace in Afghanistan still seem bleak.

    August 19, 2019

    Oman's new embassy in Palestine
    In this handout from the Palestinian Press Office, Palestinan President Mahmoud Abbas (R) meets with Oman's Sultan Qaboos bin Said on January 14, 2010 in Muscat, Oman.
  • Analysis
  • Oman's new embassy in Palestine

    The news came eight months after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu paid a visit to the Omani capital for surprise talks with Sultan Qaboos in October 2018, and four months after Minister Responsible for Foreign Affairs Yusuf bin Alawi bin Abdullah met with Netanyahu in Poland during the Trump administration’s “Peace and Security in the Middle East” summit.

    August 12, 2019

    What’s Next for Iraq’s State-Sponsored Militias?
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • What’s Next for Iraq’s State-Sponsored Militias?

    Iraq’s state-sponsored, majority-Shiite militias — called al-Hashd al-Shaabi, or the Popular Mobilization Forces — were central to the fight against ISIS, but there are major questions over their ongoing political and economic role. Enabling Peace in Iraq Center program manager Omar Al-Nidawi, American University in Iraq Sulaimani professor Akeel Abbas, and MEI’s Randa Slim join host Alistair Taylor to discuss what might happen to the force now that the threat ISIS poses has diminished.

    August 7, 2019

    Assassinations could upset the status quo in Turkey-PKK conflict
     Turkish soldiers arrive operation site between Ikiyaka Mountains and Daglica by military helicopter as Turkish Armed Forces stage operation against PKK terrorists near Iraq border, in Hakkari, Turkey on August 15, 2017.
  • Analysis
  • Assassinations could upset the status quo in Turkey-PKK conflict

    Despite the fiery rhetoric, the long-time conflict between Turkey and the PKK has mostly been a controlled fight following tacit rules. But recent events, including Turkey’s increased efforts to assassinate PKK leaders and the targeted killing of a Turkish consulate official in the Iraqi Kurdish capital on July 17, risk overturning the status quo and ushering in a violent new era.

    August 6, 2019

    OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions
    Oil ministers attend the 176th meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) conference and the 6th meeting of the OPEC and non-OPEC countries on July 1, 2019 in Vienna, Austria.
  • Analysis
  • OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions

    OPEC+ nations have ended speculation about whether they would continue oil production cuts by agreeing to a nine-month extension. Led by the global petroleum powers Saudi Arabia and Russia, the group agreed on July 2 to extend the current level of cuts until the second quarter of 2020.

    July 24, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Pakistani PM Khan heads to the White House
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Pakistani PM Khan heads to the White House

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region including Imran Khan’s visit to the White House, tensions between President Trump and Congress over Turkey’s new S-400 system, escalation in the Straits of Gibraltar and Hormuz, military restructuring in Iraq, increased collaboration on the region’s power supply, and changes to Egypt’s social safety net, featuring Arif Rafiq, Gonul Tol, Ruba Husari, Robert S. Ford, Dr. Ibrahim Saif, and Mirette F. Mabrouk.

    Monday Briefing: US and Turkey face S-400 confrontation
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: US and Turkey face S-400 confrontation

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region including Turkey’s confrontation with the U.S. over its S-400 defense system, the latest round of Afghan peace talks, the UAE’s drawdown in Yemen, Turkey’s media signaling on Syria, and the 21st consecutive week of protests in Algeria, featuring W. Robert Pearson, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Ibrahim Jalal, Guney Yildiz, and Robert S. Ford.

    The untapped potential of a Levant Union
    A picture taken on February 7, 2018 shows a view of container cranes and port machinery at the Tripoli Free Zone in the port of the same name in northern Lebanon. (Photo by IBRAHIM CHALHOUB / AFP) (Photo credit should read IBRAHIM CHALHOUB/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The untapped potential of a Levant Union

    The idea of establishing a Levant Union — one not unlike the European Union (EU), but composed of the Levantine states of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Palestine, Jordan, and by extension, Egypt and Cyprus — is one that ought to be explored. Such an arrangement would offer untapped potential for trade, supported by the growing trend toward greater regionalization, fueled by the rise in protectionism, increasing multipolarity, and corporate regionalization.

    July 11, 2019

    Freshwater Resources in the MENA Region: Risks and Opportunities
    A young Palestinian draws water from a tank
  • Analysis
  • Freshwater Resources in the MENA Region: Risks and Opportunities

    A reliable supply of freshwater is a prerequisite for sustainable socioeconomic development, as well as for sociopolitical stability and human prosperity, especially in semi-arid and arid regions of the world. The Middle East and North Africa’s freshwater resources are under immense pressures and are facing significant risks to their sustainability due to overexploitation, climate change, and interstate competition over their use that extends beyond the region’s boundaries.

    July 10, 2019