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Pakistan’s ability to thread the needle in relations with the US and Iran tested by the Israel-Iran war
Photo by AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s ability to thread the needle in relations with the US and Iran tested by the Israel-Iran war

    When the Israel-Iran war broke out and the United States decided to assist the Israeli side by striking Iran’s nuclear program, both Tehran and Washington expected Islamabad to side with their respective positions. This situation placed the Pakistani government in a politically sensitive and diplomatically delicate position.

    Trump’s Middle East policy arrives at a temporary and fragile limbo
    Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump’s Middle East policy arrives at a temporary and fragile limbo

    Domestic politics has taken center stage in the United States as Congress struggles to pass President Donald Trump’s proposed budget plan. But July is also shaping up as a pivotal month for Trump’s foreign policy in the Middle East and beyond.

    Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability
    Photo by Izzettin Kasim/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability

    Six months since the collapse of the Assad regime, the Russian military presence in Syria has remained entrenched in strategic locations such as the Hmeimim airbase and Tartous port on the coast, as well as at Qamishli airport in the northeast. This persistence has reignited an increasingly pressing debate about Moscow’s role in the new Syria.

    July 2, 2025

    The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire

    The May 6 cease-fire between the United States and the Houthi militia in Yemen has had a consolidating effect on the balance of power inside the war-torn state and hardened the status quo of the country’s civil war. In turn, the outcome of Israel and Iran’s subsequent 12-day war has the potential to temporarily shake up this status quo once again; but Yemen’s fracturing anti-Houthi coalition is unlikely to be able to exploit that opportunity.

    June 30, 2025

    US has an opening to force concessions from Iran in a potential deal
    Photo: Satellite image (c) 2025 Maxar Technologies
  • Commentary
  • US has an opening to force concessions from Iran in a potential deal

    As the Israel-Iran conflict intensifies, warnings are growing louder that the war could result in hazardous and destructive radiological spillover to much of the region. But the posturing of various key actors in the Gulf and beyond has opened the door to a broader political settlement between the United States and Iran that could end the hostilities before such a dangerous scenario comes to pass.

    America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad
    Photo by Ronoldo Schemidt/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad

    The spotlight in America this week is trained on the home front, with growing tensions inside the country over President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown and a showdown unfolding on the streets of Los Angeles. At times like these, the rest of the world has a way of intruding, sometimes unexpectedly, and Trump 2.0’s foreign policy is still struggling to produce a major positive outcome from its frenetic activity trying to end kinetic wars while prosecuting an unprecedented economic war with much of the rest of the world.

    Back to reality: Gravity remains in place after Trump’s trip
    Photo by Bahsar Taleb/AFP via Getty Images (2385)
  • Analysis
  • Back to reality: Gravity remains in place after Trump’s trip

    The harsh realities of the region’s threats and challenges, like Iran and the Gaza war, stubbornly persist following the pomp and circumstance of Trump’s “spring bling” tour, which featured eye-popping dollar figures and an offer of a luxury jumbo jet from Qatar.

    Trump should build on the momentum with Syria and help prevent a Turkey-Israel clash
    Photo by Bandar Al-Jaloud/Saudi Royal Court/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump should build on the momentum with Syria and help prevent a Turkey-Israel clash

    Two recent developments present the new Syrian government with a critical opportunity to stabilize the country. First, US President Donald Trump announced plans to lift sanctions on Syria. Second, the Kurdistan Workers’ Party declared it would disband and dissolve itself — a move that will help Damascus to finalize a deal with the Syrian Democratic Forces and integrate it into the new Syrian national army. President Trump should build on this momentum and seize the opportunity to address one of the most complex remaining challenges facing Syria: the risk of a military confrontation between Turkey and Israel inside the country.

    A midstream appraisal of Trump’s historic Middle East trip
    Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A midstream appraisal of Trump’s historic Middle East trip

    One of the strategic thrusts of the opening months of Trump’s second terms has been aimed at deepening America’s economic engagement with the leading economies of the Gulf. Thus, the first leg of his trip to the region resulted in a template for deeper US-Saudi ties.

    Trump travels to a Middle East in transition
    U.S. President Donald Trump boards Air Force One on May 12, 2025, at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland. President Trump is traveling to Saudi Arabia, the first stop on his four-day Middle East visit and the first international trip of his second term. Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump travels to a Middle East in transition

    This week, US President Donald Trump makes his inaugural visit to the Middle East since the start of his second term, traveling to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates on May 13-16. Amid the heightened focus on US policy toward the Middle East, MEI’s experts take stock of Trump’s trip to the Gulf, how his administration has shaped its approach to the wider region in its first several months, and how regional actors are responding to the policies coming out of Washington.

    The Damascus-SDF agreement two months on: Fragile progress or delayed collapse?
    Photo by MOHAMAD DABOUL/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Damascus-SDF agreement two months on: Fragile progress or delayed collapse?

    On March 10, 2025, Ahmed al-Sharaa, the president of Syria, and Mazloum Abdi, the commander-in-chief of the Syrian Democratic Forces, signed a historic agreement, ending a long-running divide between Damascus and the Democratic Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria. Now, two months after the deal was signed, how far has it progressed, and what are the main obstacles and disputes between the parties during this transitional phase?

    May 9, 2025