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COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East
Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East

    The Middle East is facing an unexpected turning point. The region will not look the same after COVID-19 as it did before it. The geoeconomics and geopolitics of the world are in free fall because of COVID-19, the oil price war, and a severe economic shutdown. For the Middle East and the Gulf monarchies in particular, the oil price war against Russia and U.S. shale and the shutdown of economies around the world have increased the pressure on the Gulf’s already-depleted financial resources, which usually act as a safety valve for the turbulent region.

    Can Saudi Arabia win the oil price war?
    Photo by Sefa Karacan/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can Saudi Arabia win the oil price war?

    Saudi Arabia’s recent decision to call for an urgent OPEC+ meeting was driven by a simple logic. In spite of its obvious advantages over other oil producers, the kingdom is still taking serious risks as it pursues an oil price war.

    Blurring the lines: The case of the Nakhsa Warriors
    Photo by Rouzbeh Fouladi/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Blurring the lines: The case of the Nakhsa Warriors

    Blurring the lines between the physical world and the online one, the Iranian group known as the “Nakhsa Warriors” remains cloaked in mystery. Their identity and status are unclear. Are they a military force that carries out operations, an online group of like-minded individuals that share content, part of an Iranian disinformation campaign — or perhaps something else altogether?

    April 7, 2020

    Without the US, don’t expect a universal oil deal
    Photo by Doug Mills-Pool/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Without the US, don’t expect a universal oil deal

    This Thursday, a postponed virtual meeting of “OPEC+ and Friends” will determine the level and seriousness of participation in a global oil pact.

    April 6, 2020

    What do Russia and Hamas see in each other?
    Photo by Sefa Karacan/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What do Russia and Hamas see in each other?

    While much of the focus on Russia’s foreign policy toward the MENA region is on Syria and Libya, the dire situation in Gaza is another area where Moscow seeks to play a growing role. From Putin’s perspective, Moscow must involve itself in the Palestinian cause in order to further facilitate Russia’s “return” to the region. In practice, this has entailed Moscow and Hamas improving their relations, underscored by numerous visits and communications between high-ranking Russian government officials and Hamas representatives in recent years.

    April 2, 2020

    Five years on, has the Arab coalition achieved its objectives in Yemen?
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Five years on, has the Arab coalition achieved its objectives in Yemen?

    On March 26, 2015, the former Saudi ambassador to the U.S., Adel al-Jubeir, announced the beginning of a Saudi-led military campaign in Yemen to curtail Iran’s influence in the country, reinstate the regime of President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi in Sanaa, and deter the Iranian-backed Houthi threat. Five years on, however, the objectives of Operation Decisive Storm are far from realized, and the situation on the ground is as volatile as ever.

    April 2, 2020

    Whither the MFO? The US presence in Sinai has seen its best days
    Photo by Bettmann/Contributor via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Whither the MFO? The US presence in Sinai has seen its best days

    The Sinai-based Multinational Force & Observers (MFO) will soon celebrate its 41st anniversary. Like most of what the MFO does, recognition will be low key and understated. The MFO has always operated under the radar, but this may soon be changing. 

    April 1, 2020

    Saudi Arabia’s oil price war could reshape the industry
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s oil price war could reshape the industry

    Saudi Arabia declared a price war against Russia in early March to prove a point: that it can offer an unprecedented supply of 12.3 million barrels per day (bpd), way above the record 11 million bpd it reached in November 2018, and expand its market share at the expense of Moscow. As the coronavirus pandemic brings the world to a standstill, the question is how long it can sustain this war. 

    April 1, 2020

    How the coronavirus exposed Israeli occupation's green line
    Photo by Mostafa Alkharouf/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the coronavirus exposed Israeli occupation's green line

    Less than a year after the U.S. State Department removed the term “occupation” from its 2019 human rights report, and just a few weeks after it stopped referring to the residents of East Jerusalem as Palestinians, the coronavirus has exposed the reality of Israel’s occupation of the Palestinian territories like never before.

    March 31, 2020

    The coronavirus pandemic and the Middle East
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The coronavirus pandemic and the Middle East

    MEI’s Paul Salem, Khaled Elgindy, and Fatima Abo Alasrar join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the coronavirus pandemic’s impact on the Middle East as nations scramble to contain the spread of COVID-19 and the massive humanitarian and economic toll it could take on already vulnerable populations.

    March 27, 2020