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The US must remain engaged in Lebanon or risk Russian and Chinese gains
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (L) meets with Lebanon's President Michel Aoun (R) at the presidential palace in Baabda, east of the capital Beirut on March 22, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The US must remain engaged in Lebanon or risk Russian and Chinese gains

    Amid an unprecedented political, economic, and financial crisis and the emergence of a new threat from the global coronavirus pandemic, Lebanon needs all the help it can get. The U.S. has long been an important source of assistance, and yet, as conversations with officials in both Beirut and Washington make clear, the argument for halting U.S. aid to Lebanon seems to be gaining ground.

    March 18, 2020

    Algeria-Europe economic integration: Where are we now and where do we go?
    Federal Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) receives Abdelmadjid Tebboune (r), President of Algeria, in front of the Federal Chancellery for the Libya Conference.
  • Analysis
  • Algeria-Europe economic integration: Where are we now and where do we go?

    In the face of Algeria’s Hirak protest movement, the response of the EU so far has been measured, and it is notable that the EU’s calls for democratic reform are framed in economic terms that emphasize the benefits of greater economic integration between the states of the Maghreb. What opportunities do the ongoing changes in Algeria present for enhancing economic integration in the long term?

    March 17, 2020

    Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential
    Iran's Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance, Masoud Karbasian (L) and Russias Energy Minister Alexander Novak shake hands at a signing ceremony following a meeting of the Russian-Iranian intergovernmental commission for trade and economic cooperation at Moscow's President Hotel
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential

    The outbreak of a Russian-Saudi oil price war earlier this month might offer some comfort to Iran, a country which has in recent years become unnerved by the increasingly close ties between Moscow and Riyadh. However, it is premature to see an Iranian geopolitical win emerging from the Russian-Saudi spat, and history should give Tehran plenty of reservations about Moscow’s ability to deliver on its economic promises to Iran. While Iran and Russia will likely continue to pay lip-service to the idea of an economic partnership, each side will remain preoccupied with larger concerns. This is a tale of unfulfilled economic potential.  

    The economic outlook for MENA amid COVID-19 and the oil price drop
    A labourer sprays disinfectant in Jordan's archaeological city of Petra south of the capital Amman on March 17, 2020, to prevent the spread of COVID-19.
  • Analysis
  • The economic outlook for MENA amid COVID-19 and the oil price drop

    Economies around the world are being battered by two “black swan” events at the same time: the COVID-19 virus and the oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia. Naturally, the countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) are also affected, although each in different ways. Those that are net users of energy, which could have benefitted substantially from the vastly lower energy prices, are getting hit hard by COVID-19, while oil and gas producers are suffering from an all-out oil price war made worse by the steep decline in worldwide demand caused by the pandemic. 

    March 17, 2020

    The Forgotten Iraq
     Iraqi civilians, who fled from Daesh controlled Hawija district of Kirkuk, are seen at Daqouq tent city southern Kirkuk, Iraq on November 12, 2017. (Photo by Ali Mukarrem Garip/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The Forgotten Iraq

    The story from Iraq since last October has been mainly one of uplifting hope, as mass protests sweep across the country in a fight against corruption, nepotism, and bad governance. But what of the places left behind and ignored? For most of its modern history, Iraq has been embroiled in sectarianism and conflict, most recently with the rise of ISIS. The country has celebrated its ability to fight ISIS and take back the areas the group controlled between 2013 and 2017, but for those that remain in the most vulnerable liberated areas, life is precarious and dangerous, with underserviced communities living in the most dire of conditions.

    March 16, 2020

    Israeli elections and the Joint List
    Ayman Odeh (C), leader of the Hadash party that is part of the Joint List alliance, gives an address with other alliance leaders at their electoral headquarters in Israel's northern city of Shefa-Amr on March 2, 2020, after polls officially closed.
  • Commentary
  • Israeli elections and the Joint List

    Whether or not Gantz succeeds in forming a government, the Joint List has cemented its role as “king makers” in Israeli politics.

    March 16, 2020

    Missing the long game: Washington’s high-risk energy diplomacy in Iraq
    An employee walks at the Hammar Mushrif new Degassing Station Facilities site inside the Zubair oil and gas field, north of the southern Iraqi province of Basra on May 9, 2018. (Photo by HAIDAR MOHAMMED ALI / AFP) (Photo credit should read HAIDAR MOHAMMED ALI/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Missing the long game: Washington’s high-risk energy diplomacy in Iraq

    Washington’s foreign relations in the Middle East are often characterized by ebb and flow, tracking the region’s dynamic politics. But when it comes to Iraq, this ebb and flow is especially turbulent, and the country’s energy sector has been thrown under the spotlight as Washington presses Baghdad to take swift action to ensure its “energy independence” from Iran.

    March 13, 2020

    Little hope for an end to Israel’s political turmoil
    An emblem of Israel with the Knesset in the background, seen on the day of Israeli Legislative Elections 2020, in Central Jerusalem.
  • Commentary
  • Little hope for an end to Israel’s political turmoil

    Neither Likud nor Kahol Lavan was able to break the political stalemate and clear the path to the immediate formation of a majority government.

    March 9, 2020

    Can Palestinian citizens of Israel teach other Arabs a lesson in democracy?
  • Analysis
  • Can Palestinian citizens of Israel teach other Arabs a lesson in democracy?

    While attention in the third Israeli general elections in a year has focused on the performance of the caretaker prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu, a powerful light must be shed as well on the successful performance of Israel’s Palestinian citizens, who again increased their representation in Israel’s parliament.

    March 6, 2020

    Seizing the Moment for Change: Pathways to a Sustainable US-Pakistan Relationship
  • Analysis
  • Seizing the Moment for Change: Pathways to a Sustainable US-Pakistan Relationship

    It is a near truism that U.S. relations with Pakistan have been historically unstable, waxing and waning, climbing to heights of interdependence and sinking to mutual recrimination. Yet this is presently a period unmarked by either high promise or driven by crisis. Rather than a reason, however, for leaving the relationship untouched and unexamined, this can be a time of unusual opportunity to create a more deliberative approach to thinking about the bilateral relationship and for shaping fresh initiatives.

    And now what? A realistic approach to the Israeli-Palestinian impasse
    Thousands of protesters gather at Al-Manara Square to protest against U.S. President Donald Trump's Middle East plan, in Ramallah, West Bank on February 11, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • And now what? A realistic approach to the Israeli-Palestinian impasse

    The announcement of Donald Trump’s “deal of the century” was a rude shock, roundly condemned by almost everyone concerned with peace and justice between Israelis and Palestinians. But it also presents an urgent challenge for all those who reject it because they realize the dire implications of what it portends for the future of any peaceful negotiated solution. If a genuine two-state solution is truly dead, and an equitable one-state solution is even harder to achieve, then where does that leave us? What is, or should be, the agenda for the foreseeable future for those concerned with the Israeli-Palestinian issue.

    March 2, 2020