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Monday Briefing: Red lines and rising tensions in Libya
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: Red lines and rising tensions in Libya

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Mirette F. Mabrouk, Robert S. Ford, Nazila Fathi, and Marvin G. Weinbaum provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including rising tensions in Libya, economic turmoil and anti-regime protests in Iran, and the Jordanian high court’s decision to dissolve the Muslim Brotherhood.

    What’s behind the wave of mysterious incidents in Iran?
    Photo by AMIR KHOLOUSI/ISNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s behind the wave of mysterious incidents in Iran?

    On the 10th anniversary of the discovery of the Stuxnet computer virus, designed by the U.S. and Israel to target Iran’s nuclear program, the Islamic Republic is facing a new wave of unclaimed acts of sabotage.

    The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore
    Photo by Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore

    Not too long ago, the Mediterranean was described as “NATO’s lake” — a sleepy backwater in a world dominated by conflict. Today, Israel’s quarrels with Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria are viewed — and minimized — as legacy conflicts, overshadowed by a new and unstable strategic environment centered upon competing visions of offshore energy and security in the eastern Mediterranean.

    July 14, 2020

    أردوغان و "الحرب الرمزية" على آيا صوفيا
  • Commentary
  • أردوغان و "الحرب الرمزية" على آيا صوفيا

    بقلم  سيرين سيلفين كوركماز

    “في غياب سياسات ملموسة للتعامل مع المشاكل الاقتصادية والسياسية التي تواجهها البلاد، يجد أردوغان الخلاص في الشعبوية”.

    أصدر الرئيس رجب طيب أردوغان مرسوما يوم الجمعة يأمر اسطنبول بتحويل متحف آيا صوفيا التاريخي إلى مسجد. آيا صوفيا الكاتدرائية البيزنطية التي اكتمل بناؤها عام 537 تم تحويلها إلى مسجد من قبل السلطان محمد الثاني بعد الفتح العثماني عام 1453. وفي عام 1934، في عهد الرئيس مصطفى كمال أتاتورك، تم تحويلها إلى متحف بموجب مرسوم حكومي.

    July 13, 2020

    A way forward for the United States and Turkey
  • Analysis
  • A way forward for the United States and Turkey

    Turkish-US relations, while fraught with tension, must also align with a mutual interest in stability in the Middle East and preventing the spread of weapons of mass destruction.

    July 8, 2020

    For Palestinians, annexation spells further erasure of their history
    THOMAS COEX/AFP/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • For Palestinians, annexation spells further erasure of their history

    With the impending U.S.-supported annexation of West Bank territory, Palestinians living in these designated areas stand to lose not only their long-held aspirations for an independent state, but further eradication of their presence — a “spacio-cide” — in support of an Israeli-envisaged demographic and political vision.

    July 8, 2020

    كيف تبدو الأردوغانية حقا؟
  • Commentary
  • كيف تبدو الأردوغانية حقا؟

    “إن قرار المحكمة التركية الصادر في 3 يوليو/تموز القاضي بإدانة عضوين سابقين بمنظمة العفو الدولية/
    الفرع التركي، بتهم الإرهاب هو أحدث مؤشر على أن التعسف ربما يكون السمة البارزة لنظام أردوغان الجديد”

    حاول المراقبون للشأن التركي منذ فترة طويلة العثور على مصطلح يصف بدقة “تركيا الجديدة” تحت فترة حكم الرئيس رجب طيب أردوغان. 

    Without real consequences, annexation may be inevitable
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Without real consequences, annexation may be inevitable

    Despite the mixed signals from Israeli and U.S. officials, some form of annexation in the coming weeks or months may be inevitable.

    June 29, 2020

    Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about

    Leaders of Arab Gulf regimes now decry the attempt to implement the vision of the Israeli Right, which aims to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state. But it is exactly the policies of the Arab Gulf regimes, through their normalization of ties with Israel at the expense of the Palestinians, that directly contributed to the rise of the Israeli Right and made this annexation more likely.

    June 24, 2020

    Russia in the Black Sea
  • Analysis
  • Russia in the Black Sea

    The Black Sea sits at an important economic and civilizational crossroads on the Eurasian landmass. The region contains oil and gas resources, key energy pipelines, shipping lanes, and fiber-optic cables. For Russia, the Black Sea is of particular importance for economic and geostrategic reasons.

    June 18, 2020

    Turkey, the Gulf, and Libya: The economic impact of a growing geopolitical divide
    Photo by Nicolas Economou/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey, the Gulf, and Libya: The economic impact of a growing geopolitical divide

    Turkish support for the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) in the Libyan civil war has added a new dimension to relations between Turkey and Gulf countries like the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia. But what impact have the growing geopolitical divides and diplomatic disagreements had on Turkish-Emirati and Turkish-Saudi economic relations?

    June 17, 2020