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Preventing a miscalculation between the US and Israel on Iran
Photo by MENAHEM KAHANA/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Preventing a miscalculation between the US and Israel on Iran

    The U.S.-Israel relationship is a close partnership founded on shared national security interests as well as democratic values. Washington’s commitment to the security and wellbeing of the state of Israel is exceptional, and bilateral ties remain strong despite the erosion of support for Israel among progressive and isolationist circles in the U.S. In spite of all this, the Iran issue presents many pitfalls for miscalculation that could derail even the most well-intended efforts at formulating a coordinated U.S.-Israel strategy.

    April 21, 2021

    A new general and a fragile peace in Deir ez-Zor
    Maj. Gen. Khader (center) tours regime positions near Shoula alongside Feras Jeham (pointing) commander of the Deir ez-Zor NDF and Republican Guard officers.
  • Analysis
  • A new general and a fragile peace in Deir ez-Zor

    Five months into his job as commander of regime forces in Deir ez-Zor, Maj. Gen. Nizar Khader appears to have skillfully gained control over the diverse tapestry of loyalist forces in the region. Khader’s return to power in the east quickly put an end to the deadly disputes that had plagued the governorate’s security forces for years. He then launched a nearly three-month campaign, coordinated between Syrian, Iranian, and Russian forces, to push ISIS cells back into the province’s hinterlands, securing the crucial highway connecting Deir ez-Zor with Palmyra and Damascus to the west. His success, while impressive, will face its second major test soon as ISIS prepares for a potential Ramadan offensive.

    April 19, 2021

    Following a royal rift King Abdullah faces daunting choices
    Photo by Jordanian Royal Council/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Following a royal rift King Abdullah faces daunting choices

    April 11, 2021 was to be a day of celebration and national pride marking the kingdom of Jordan’s centenary as a state — a geopolitical feat in itself few thought was possible a century ago. But instead of pomp and ceremony the festivities were overshadowed by stark events that took place a week before when the government unveiled a “plot” to destabilize the country involving a senior member of the royal family, a close former palace aide, and “outside entities.” This was an unprecedented development in the history of the kingdom and ruling monarchy. The implication of Prince Hamzah, the former crown prince and half-brother of King Abdullah, in a fuzzy conspiracy that is tantamount to a coup has shocked Jordanians from all walks of life. 

    April 16, 2021

    The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution
    Photo by THOMAS PETER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution

    The announcement of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (CSP), a 25 year-long economic and development agreement between China and Iran, has immediately added to the intensifying discourse concerning US-China Geostrategic Competition. Nonetheless, a closer look at its implications suggests that it may be useful in achieving some U.S. goals with Iran: particularly regime modernization.

    April 13, 2021

    Breaking the citizenship taboo in the UAE
    Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Breaking the citizenship taboo in the UAE

    For many years, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has thrived as a result of its ability to attract talent from abroad. On Jan. 30, 2021, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum, the vice-president and prime minister of the UAE and ruler of Dubai, announced on Twitter[1] an amendment to the law that is designed to entice and retain foreigners by permitting a select group of expatriates to become Emirati citizens without giving up their original nationality.

    April 7, 2021

    Egypt should go green by putting a price on carbon
    Photo by MOHAMED EL-SHAHED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Egypt should go green by putting a price on carbon

    It is time for Egypt to put a price on carbon. While Cairo has taken small steps toward developing a sustainability plan, it needs a bold idea to stop rising carbon emissions. Establishing a carbon exchange — or putting a price on carbon — would be good for the country and help make Egypt an environmental leader in the region.

    March 30, 2021

    Lebanon’s economic crisis: A tragedy in the making
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon’s economic crisis: A tragedy in the making

    For the past 18 months, Lebanon has been reeling from a wrenching economic crisis. This essay deciphers the crisis’s origin, describes the current juncture, and reflects on the likely outcomes in the proximate future.

    March 29, 2021

    Political risk vs. risk to force: How policy decisions impact risk and capability in partner operations
    Photo by BULENT KILIC/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Political risk vs. risk to force: How policy decisions impact risk and capability in partner operations

    Operation Inherent Resolve (OIR) is the U.S. military’s name for the international intervention to defeat ISIS in Syria and Iraq starting in 2014. While OIR has been a success, it has necessarily been imperfect. Throughout the campaign, cost-benefit calculations made by policymakers led to missed opportunities and possibly a longer conflict. These decisions will have lasting repercussions that could undermine the hard-won victory against ISIS, as well as the ability to partner in future interventions. In particular, the United States mishandled its partner relationships in the war to defeat ISIS. Political considerations apparently won out against supporting and sustaining the SDF, our military partner forces.

    6 Key Steps for Targeted US Diplomacy to Stabilize Lebanon and Advance US Foreign Policy
    Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • 6 Key Steps for Targeted US Diplomacy to Stabilize Lebanon and Advance US Foreign Policy

    The Middle East Institute and the American Task Force on Lebanon (ATFL) have collaborated with the Lebanese International Finance Executives (LIFE) to produce an urgent Lebanon-focused policy brief. The brief outlines recommendations to the Biden Administration for empowering an international coalition to support the Lebanese people and strengthen their capability to promote real change.

    March 24, 2021

    Chinese Technology in the Middle East: A Threat to Sovereignty or an Economic Opportunity?
  • Analysis
  • Chinese Technology in the Middle East: A Threat to Sovereignty or an Economic Opportunity?

    Recent moves by Chinese tech giants have raised concerns in Washington about Beijing’s technological outreach to developing nations. To stem the international growth of these companies, the U.S. has discouraged countries from adopting Chinese technologies through efforts like promoting the Clean Network Initiative. Countries across the globe often must choose between Chinese or Western technology, and these choices have broad implications.

    March 23, 2021

    Lebanon’s socioeconomic implosion
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon’s socioeconomic implosion

    Out of ill-will and incompetence, Lebanese decision-makers continue to violate macroeconomics’ most fundamental principles in their handling of Lebanon’s financial meltdown. Erroneous — or worse still, inexistent — fiscal and monetary policy choices are amplifying by the day the devastating socioeconomic repercussions that the country will face for years, if not decades, to come.

    March 18, 2021

    A decade on, the Syrian crisis is far from over and the US must step up
    Photo by Muhammed Said/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A decade on, the Syrian crisis is far from over and the US must step up

    As Syrians mark the 10-year anniversary of the 2011 uprising this week, it remains inescapably true that the country’s debilitating crisis is far from over. After a decade of conflict that was initiated and driven by an utterly ruthless regime and reinforced and diplomatically protected by its Russian and Iranian allies, Syria is broken.

    ISIS and the Assad regime: Strategy and counter-strategy in Syria’s Badia
    Photo by GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • ISIS and the Assad regime: Strategy and counter-strategy in Syria’s Badia

    It has been more than a month since the launch of military operations by Syrian regime forces and their allies, with air support from the Russian air force, in the Syrian Badia — the country’s expansive central desert region — in an attempt to eliminate ISIS cells deployed there. To date, however, these operations have not yielded any tangible results.