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Running around in circles: How Saudi Arabia is losing its war in Yemen to Iran
destroyed military vehicles are seen at Houthi-controlled areas following heavy fighting between them and forces loyal to the internationally recognized government on February 6, 2020 in Al-Jawf province, Yemen.
  • Analysis
  • Running around in circles: How Saudi Arabia is losing its war in Yemen to Iran

    On March 1, the Iran-backed Houthis took control of the city of al-Hazm, the capital of al-Jawf Province, after weeks of fierce clashes with local tribes and Yemeni government forces. Incompetence, lack of unified leadership, and the absence of a military strategy by the Yemeni government and the Saudi-led coalition have played into the hands of the Houthis.

    Seizing the Moment for Change: Pathways to a Sustainable US-Pakistan Relationship
  • Analysis
  • Seizing the Moment for Change: Pathways to a Sustainable US-Pakistan Relationship

    It is a near truism that U.S. relations with Pakistan have been historically unstable, waxing and waning, climbing to heights of interdependence and sinking to mutual recrimination. Yet this is presently a period unmarked by either high promise or driven by crisis. Rather than a reason, however, for leaving the relationship untouched and unexamined, this can be a time of unusual opportunity to create a more deliberative approach to thinking about the bilateral relationship and for shaping fresh initiatives.

    Syria: What the US could do
    A Turkish soldier stands in front of a military vehicles convoy east of Idlib city in northwestern Syria on February 20, 2020 amid ongoing regime offensive on the last major rebel bastion in the country's northwest.
  • Commentary
  • Syria: What the US could do

    Turkey is running out of options in Idlib Province and in Syria. Aggressively taking on a task that is beyond its capabilities, the government in Ankara now is faced with doubling down on a high-risk gamble, hoping someone, somewhere will believe its bluff, or saving Turkey and the area from worse destruction. There are two things the U.S could do, working together with the EU, NATO, and the UN.

    Battered Survivor: Hezbollah at Home and Abroad
    Supporters shout slogans during a rally for Qassem Soleimani in southern suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon, on Jan. 5, 2020. Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah urged on Sunday its fighters to attack U.S. soldiers in the region in retaliation for the assassination of Iranian top commander Qassem Soleimani by the United States. (Photo by Bilal Jawich/Xinhua via Getty) (Xinhua/ via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Battered Survivor: Hezbollah at Home and Abroad

    The past decade and a half have been a real whirlwind for Hezbollah, but the group seems to have weathered all of these storms, at least for now. However, it’s one thing for Hezbollah to survive and another altogether for it to thrive. In a special roundtable report from MEI, renowned Hezbollah analysts offer their perspectives on a series of key questions about the major upcoming challenges facing the group. This report includes contributions from Bilal Y. Saab, Nicholas Blanford, Nizar Hamzeh, Matthew Levitt, Magnus Ranstorp, Bruce Riedel, Randa Slim, and Michael Young.

    February 28, 2020

    A wake-up call: The Idlib crisis and its effects look set only to worsen
     Irregular migrants escaped from civil war in Syria, who want to proceed to Europe, are seen after they came with a boat at a shore in Lesbos Island on Greece on February 28, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • A wake-up call: The Idlib crisis and its effects look set only to worsen

    The death of at least 33 Turkish soldiers and wounding of 60 more in Syria’s Idlib on Thursday night was a game-changing development. The crisis there and its effects represent an existential threat to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and for now, it appears likely that Turkey will remain alone in dealing with the crisis. That presents us with two possible scenarios, both bleak. If the world wants to avoid a true nightmare from becoming reality, it needs to wake up and get engaged.

    Regional security from the ground up
    Middle East map
  • Analysis
  • Regional security from the ground up

    U.S. Middle East policy tends to elicit the most heated debates in Washington. But if there’s one issue on which there’s near unanimous consensus it is that the region is in desperate need of a new security architecture that ideally would generate stability but more realistically reduce tensions and the risk of hostilities and escalation. Even regional antagonists agree that the time to form such an architecture is now.

    February 27, 2020

    Geopolitics and propaganda: Lessons from the Black Sea
    The Triumphal arch opposite the Government House in central Chisina, the capital of Moldova.
  • Analysis
  • Geopolitics and propaganda: Lessons from the Black Sea

    Since Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea, malign foreign influence within EU countries has been the subject of considerable scrutiny. What lessons can be learned from comparing EU and NATO members Romania and Bulgaria with partner countries Moldova and Georgia?

    Russia’s Middle East: You probe with bayonets. If you find mush, you proceed …
    Mural of Vladimir Lenin
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s Middle East: You probe with bayonets. If you find mush, you proceed …

    This paper looks at the 2018 U.S. National Defense Strategy (NDS), and the Irregular Warfare Annex (IWA) to that guiding document, with recommendations on how to better implement the strategy. It also analyzes the current Russian way of conducting irregular warfare by reviewing their actions in Ukraine, Syria, and Libya.

    The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong
    Fighters with the UAE-trained Security Belt Forces loyal to the pro-independence Southern Transitional Council (STC) man a checkpoint near the south-central coastal city of Zinjibar in south-central Yemen, in the Abyan Governorate, on August 21, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong

    On Feb. 9, 2020, after five years of involvement in Yemen’s civil war as part of the Saudi-led coalition, the UAE’s leadership celebrated the completion of its phased military withdrawal from the country in a ceremony at Zayed Military City. Although the UAE’s withdrawal has provided an exit strategy from the stalemate in Yemen, it neither suspends Abu Dhabi’s role in the coalition nor curtails Emirati influence on the ground.

    February 25, 2020

    Obstacles to the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement
    Yemeni Deputy Prime Minister Ahmed Saeed al-Khanbashi (R) and Southern Transitional Council (STC) representative Nasser al-Habci (L) are seen during a signing ceremony of 'Riyadh Agreement' between the Yemeni government and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)-backed separatist forces, Southern Transitional Council (STC) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on November 05, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Obstacles to the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement

    Now that all of the implementation deadlines have come and gone, where do things stand with the Riyadh Agreement, signed in late 2019 by Yemen’s Hadi government and the Southern Transitional Council?

    February 24, 2020

    Why Erdogan can't afford to back down over conflict with Assad and Russia
     A displaced Syrian girl carries a bag of bread in a stadium which has been turned into a makeshift refugee shelter on February 19, 2020 in Idlib, Syria.
  • Analysis
  • Why Erdogan can't afford to back down over conflict with Assad and Russia

    Nearly a million civilians, 81 percent of them women and children, have been displaced from their homes in 90 days in Syria’s northwestern province of Idlib, amid a brutal military campaign by Syria’s Assad regime, Russia and Iran-backed militias.