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Monday Briefing: Will Russia and Turkey face off over Nagorno-Karabakh?
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: Will Russia and Turkey face off over Nagorno-Karabakh?

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Maxim A. Suchkov, Ibrahim Jalal, Eliza Campbell, Alex Vatanka, and Marvin G. Weinbaum.

    September 28, 2020

    Iran, the GCC, and the failure of HOPE
    Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran, the GCC, and the failure of HOPE

    Last September, at the 74th session of the U.N. General Assembly, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani proposed the optimistically named “Hormuz Peace Endeavor” (HOPE). Over the past year, however, Iran’s plan has failed to gain any traction with the GCC states, even as the region’s security environment has fundamentally changed in ways that are detrimental to the Islamic Republic.

    September 24, 2020

    The Taliban holds the upper hand in intra-Afghan talks
    Photo by US Department of State/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The Taliban holds the upper hand in intra-Afghan talks

    The ongoing intra-Afghan talks confirm, without a doubt, that the Taliban is negotiating from a position of remarkable strength. After being overthrown by the military of the world’s sole superpower two decades ago, the Taliban’s resurgence is a perfect example of what happens when a counterinsurgency campaign fails to eliminate its target’s safe havens. The Doha negotiations have also underlined the ugly reality of the Afghan conflict — that firepower alone cannot crush an insurgency when its narrative has some resonance with the local people.

    September 21, 2020

    Trump, the CIA, and our disorienting Iranian policy ride
    Photo by Olivier Doulier - Pool/ Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump, the CIA, and our disorienting Iranian policy ride

    Understanding President Donald J. Trump’s position on Iran over the two remaining months until the November election is no feat for the fainthearted. Depending on the source to which one subscribes, Trump is either provoking conflict with Iran or working a secret back channel to secure a deal, both variables purportedly intended to support his election prospects. So which is it? Or can it be both?

    September 16, 2020

    The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet

    Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) took a different path than the rest of the financial world. As markets around the globe plunged, the TSE soared to new heights. There has been a recent reversal, however, with the index falling sharply from its peak in early August and losing around 20 percent of its value over the course of a month. The story of the TSE is about the extreme measures a desperate government is willing to take to make ends meet. 

    An enduring divide: Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the Durand Line
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • An enduring divide: Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the Durand Line

    The Durand Line, as the British-Empire-drawn border that separates Afghanistan and Pakistan is known, continues to haunt the region and its leaders. On Sept. 7, Afghanistan’s first vice president, Amrullah Saleh, opened Pandora’s box by saying in an interview that “No Afghan politician of national stature can overlook the issue of Durand Line.”

    September 11, 2020

    The many faces of Fairuz in Iran
    ​​​​​​​Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The many faces of Fairuz in Iran

    Love for Fairuz has proven that Iranians, despite their intense political differences, can have a common interest. After the deadly explosion in Beirut — which killed more than 190 people and displaced about 300,000 — the first thing Iranians thought of to express their sympathy was Fairuz’s famous song “Li Beirut,” which became a trending hashtag on Persian Twitter.

    September 8, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    Iran’s “#MeToo” moment
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s “#MeToo” moment

    The ripple effects of the 2017 “#MeToo” movement shook Iranian social media this week as rape allegations were levelled against some of the country’s most prominent figures. The movement, which has led to the arrest of at least one alleged rapist so far, has triggered a broader conversation around sexual violence and harassment — an unspoken topic in Islamic Iran.

    August 28, 2020

    Hurdles on the road to peace in Afghanistan
    Photo by National Security Council of Afghanistan/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images 
  • Commentary
  • Hurdles on the road to peace in Afghanistan

    The hurdles encountered in kick-starting the intra-Afghan talks seem to be more daunting than anticipated. This has not only delayed a process that was scheduled to begin immediately after the Doha agreement in February, but has also underlined the bumpy road that lies ahead for various stakeholders to reach a consensus on Afghanistan’s national destiny.

    August 26, 2020