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The Fatemiyoun Division: Afghan fighters in the Syrian civil war
  • Analysis
  • The Fatemiyoun Division: Afghan fighters in the Syrian civil war

    Summary

    Originally styled as a small detachment of volunteers and refugees mobilized to defend the shrine of Sayyeda Zeinab outside Damascus, the Fatemiyoun formation’s size and presence across Syria has slowly expanded throughout the war. At home, the IRGC began cultivating a narrative of Afghan “resistance” to transnational Sunni jihadism. Joining the Syrian jihad was increasingly promoted as a path to legal and social recognition within the Islamic Republic at a time when thousands of desperate young Hazaras were setting out to emigrate to Europe.

    October 15, 2018

    Yemen’s stalemate and humanitarian crisis
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Yemen’s stalemate and humanitarian crisis

    Hopes for progress in Yemen have been stymied by setbacks in recent weeks, perpetuating a military and political stalemate. Marcia Biggs, special correspondent for PBS NewsHour, joins guest host Gerald Feierstein to discuss the humanitarian conditions she witnessed on the ground and what the international community can do to help reach a resolution to the crisis.

    October 5, 2018

    Specter of jihadism continues to haunt Maghreb
    Sidi Ahmad al-Tijani Mosque in Fes el Bali
  • Analysis
  • Specter of jihadism continues to haunt Maghreb

    The jihadist threat is not new to the Maghreb. However, the fallout of the 2011 Arab uprisings has fundamentally altered the political and security environment of North African countries. While states such as Egypt, Libya, and Tunisia witnessed an increase in deaths from jihadist attacks, others like Algeria and Morocco experienced a reduced impact.

    September 14, 2018

    Saudi foreign policy and domestic constraints
    Mohamed bin Salman
  • Analysis
  • Saudi foreign policy and domestic constraints

    Read the full article on The American Interest.

    No Saudi official has been more applauded and vilified at the same time than Mohamed bin Salman, the Crown Prince and de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia. That is not surprising, given the transformational nature of the project he’s leading at home, which is bound to create both winners—those who wish to open up the kingdom—and losers—those who wish more or less to preserve the status quo.

    September 6, 2018

    Out of the desert: ISIS's strategy for a long war
  • Analysis
  • Out of the desert: ISIS's strategy for a long war

    This paper examines ISIS’s actions, publications, and communications to determine its insurgency strategies and long-term organizational outlook, emphasizing sources that have been largely overlooked by forces fighting the group.

    September 6, 2018

    Relocating the Fifth Fleet?
    Fleet Bahrain
  • Analysis
  • Relocating the Fifth Fleet?

    Read the full article on The American Interest.

    As Bahraini government security services cracked down hard on popular protests against the ruling Al-Khalifa family in February 2011, the U.S. Department of Defense quietly considered alternative basing options for the Fifth Fleet, stationed permanently in Bahrain since 1995.

    August 22, 2018

    The US needs to rethink its Syria strategy
    Syria
  • Analysis
  • The US needs to rethink its Syria strategy

    There are numerous, unmistakable signs that the crisis in Syria is moving to a new phase, one that will push Washington further to the sidelines. Not least among these fresh developments is the rapidly evolving situation in Syria’s northeast, where Washington’s Kurdish allies are slowly but surely reconciling with the Assad regime. 

    August 21, 2018

    The next phase of the Syrian war
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The next phase of the Syrian war

    Seven years after Syria’s civil uprising broke out, the war isn’t over, but it is entering a new phase. MEI Senior Fellow Robert Ford, the last U.S. ambassador to Syria, and Charles Lister, director of MEI’s Countering Violent Transnational Movements project, join host Paul Salem to discuss the state of play and how things may develop in the months ahead.

    August 17, 2018

    Is Russia drawing down its presence in Syria?
    Russia Military Policy
  • Analysis
  • Is Russia drawing down its presence in Syria?

    Following the Syrian government’s full reconquest of the country’s south, there are real signs that Russia intends to reduce its presence and responsibilities in Syria. Moscow has not stated this openly, in contrast to its three previous drawdown announcements. Each of these announcements came after a major victory, such as the recapture of Aleppo from rebels or eastern Syria from ISIS, and did not result in any tangible reductions. Despite an absence of fanfare, however, recent developments and statements indicate that a partial drawdown is already underway.

    August 16, 2018

    Turkey’s currency crisis rages on
    Turkey’s currency crisis rages on
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s currency crisis rages on

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Gonul Tol, Robert S. Ford, Randa Slim, and Marvin G. Weinbaum provide analysis on Turkey’s currency crisis, talks in Ankara over the future of Idlib, Abadi’s chances of clinging to the premiership, and the Taliban’s capture of Ghazni.

    Anchor

    How is jihadi militancy in Yemen evolving?
    jihadi militancy in Yemen
  • Analysis
  • How is jihadi militancy in Yemen evolving?

    Regional conflict and internal chaos have allowed militant jihadi groups to rise and flourish in Yemen. This paper analyzes two of the most prominent such groups, al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and the Islamic State in Yemen (ISY), by scrutinizing the factors that led to their respective ascents and examining the challenges and pressures that have caused their respective declines.

    July 25, 2018

    Anti-India Sentiments in South Asia: Terrorist Recruitment Narratives
    antique map of India before contemporary boundaries
  • Analysis
  • Anti-India Sentiments in South Asia: Terrorist Recruitment Narratives

    India’s strategic choices in South Asia have prompted it to interfere in the domestic affairs of some of its neighbors. As a result, India has become a part of domestic politics of most of its neighboring states where anti-India sentiment is often used to bolster the nationalist credentials of various political formations. Importantly, such sentiments have been leveraged by Jihadist groups — especially those operating in Pakistan and Bangladesh — to shore up support for themselves.

    July 23, 2018

    Sectarianism in the Middle East and Asia
    Rohinga village burning as they flee
  • Analysis
  • Sectarianism in the Middle East and Asia

    Sectarian-based conflicts — or at any rate, spasms of intercommunal violence characterized as such — are certainly not new. Nor is Iraq or, for that matter, the Middle East as a whole, the only locus of conflict depicted as being sectarian in nature, as the disturbing events in Burma/Myanmar, as well as in the Central African Repubic (CAR) and Nigeria clearly illustrate. With increasing frequency, media accounts of the civil war in Syria describe it in sectarian terms and report that the violence there has inflamed “sectarian tension” throughout the Gulf and beyond.

    July 16, 2018

    Have we reached the end of the Syrian conflict?
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Have we reached the end of the Syrian conflict?

    Last week, rebel forces in southwestern Syria agreed to a Russia-brokered deal to surrender Deraa province and lay down their arms, possibly securing strategic victory for the Assad regime in the long-running Syrian conflict. MEI’s Robert Ford and Charles Lister join guest host Gerald Feierstein to discuss the significance of these developments and whether the United States is preparing to withdraw from Syria in a broader agreement with Russia.

    July 10, 2018