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Syrian armed groups divided over Turkey-Syria normalization push
Photo by AAREF WATAD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syrian armed groups divided over Turkey-Syria normalization push

    Despite their popular nature, the protests in northwestern Syria, sparked by racist attacks on Syrians over the border in Turkey, have exposed the rifts and divisions between various opposition factions. Bilal Samir explores the positions of the major military groups in Turkish-controlled areas and assesses how closely they align with Turkey’s policy.

    July 11, 2024

    Smoke and mirrors: The Syrian regime's dubious anti-drug campaigns
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Smoke and mirrors: The Syrian regime's dubious anti-drug campaigns

    The Syrian regime recently announced that it had arrested over 2,000 people in Damascus on drug-related charges during the first half of 2024. However, the relatively small amount of drugs confiscated suggests the regime is focusing on arresting users and street-level pushers rather than going after the major producers and traffickers. This highlights how the Syrian regime manipulates drug crackdowns to serve multiple agendas while ensuring the flow of illicit drugs continues uninterrupted.

    July 11, 2024

    NATO, North Africa, and the Sahel: Squaring the triangle of insecurity
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • NATO, North Africa, and the Sahel: Squaring the triangle of insecurity

    With NATO celebrating 75 years since its founding, Alliance members will gather in Washington, DC, on July 9-11, for a historic summit. Two of the key issues on the agenda will be addressing the acute threats emanating from the Black Sea region and adopting a strategic approach toward the Middle East and Africa.

    Libya, Tunisia, and Niger as Case Studies for Counter-Productive Anti-Migration Policies: Sustaining Abuses and Criminality
    Photo by ALESSANDRO SERRANO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Libya, Tunisia, and Niger as Case Studies for Counter-Productive Anti-Migration Policies: Sustaining Abuses and Criminality

    Anti-migration policies in Libya, Tunisia, and Niger have had dire consequences, as highlighted by the more than 25,000 migrant deaths in the Mediterranean since 2014, a figure that does not fully capture the extent of the tragedy. To address these failures will require substantial policy changes and an evolution in approach to the migration issue.

    May 16, 2024

    Crossroads in Idlib: HTS navigating internal divisions amid popular discontent
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Crossroads in Idlib: HTS navigating internal divisions amid popular discontent

    As the world focuses on Israel’s war in Gaza, northwest Syria is undergoing a significant political upheaval that could lead to major instability. For the last three months, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, an armed Sunni Islamist group that governs more 4.5 million people in the Idlib region, has been facing widespread protests.

    May 13, 2024

    Syrians turn to street justice to free relatives from Assad's prisons
    Photo by SUWAYDA 24/AFP
  • Analysis
  • Syrians turn to street justice to free relatives from Assad's prisons

    In recent weeks, the southern Syrian province of Sweida has seen a series of kidnappings targeting regime military officers. Unlike the financially motivated incidents common in the region, these abductions, which occurred on April 2 and 25, stand out because they targeted individuals based on their affiliation with the regime of Bashar al-Assad rather than their personal identities. Reports suggest that Sweida residents orchestrated the abductions as a way of negotiating the release of relatives detained by the regime.

    May 8, 2024

    The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani

    In a significant and surprising turn of events, on the evening of April 5, a prominent Iraqi leader in the Syrian Sunni Islamist group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, Maysar bin Ali al-Juburi, also known as Abu Maria al-Qahtani, was reportedly killed in an attack in Idlib’s northern countryside.

    Saied’s emerging economic strategy for Tunisia
    Photo by Tunisian Presidency /Handout /Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saied’s emerging economic strategy for Tunisia

    Tunisian President Kais Saied appears to be constructing a new economic strategy. While he has previously outlined his priorities with broad strokes, like fighting corruption and defending sovereignty, he has recently begun to add greater detail, adopting a personalized approach that appears to be attempting to bypass the existing corporatist structures.

    March 26, 2024

    “Exporting its internal problems”: Understanding Iran’s January missile salvos against its neighbors
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • “Exporting its internal problems”: Understanding Iran’s January missile salvos against its neighbors

    In mid-January, with the war in Gaza continuing to rage on, Iran launched a series of surprise missile attacks on its immediate neighbors Iraq, Syria, and Pakistan over two days. Taken together, these attacks illustrate that the Islamic Republic puts regime survival above national interest in its foreign policy calculations, which undermines its efforts to engender solidarity and good relations with other Muslim-majority states in the region.

    February 23, 2024

    US response to Tower 22 attack in Jordan: Less intense, more restrained than anticipated
    Photo by Ameer Al-Mohammedawi/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US response to Tower 22 attack in Jordan: Less intense, more restrained than anticipated

    On the evening of Saturday, Feb. 3, local time, US warplanes bombed facilities used by Iranian forces and Iran-backed militias in Syria and Iraq, in retaliation for the death of 3 US service members in a Jan. 28 drone attack on Tower 22, a US military base in northeastern Jordan on the Syrian border. The airstrikes primarily targeted locations in eastern Syria and western Iraq.