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Are We Due for an AI Winter?
Middle East Institute
  • Commentary
  • Are We Due for an AI Winter?

    Just over one year ago, I asked a simple question in The National Interest: What if machine learning—the most famous research paradigm in artificial intelligence (AI) today—is more limited than it seems? I expressed concern that the United States Department of Defense (DoD) could be unprepared for a slowdown or stagnation in AI development (an AI “winter”).

    September 5, 2023

    From oil wells to power cells: How Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors are securing their future through battery technology
    Photo by AMER HILABI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From oil wells to power cells: How Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors are securing their future through battery technology

    As the world shifts toward a more sustainable future, the GCC states are also embracing this profound transition, moving from oil wells to power cells. With their vast resources, strategic location, and commitment to sustainability, the Gulf countries are uniquely positioned to become major players in the global battery supply chain. By embracing the potential of battery technology, these nations are not just preparing for a post-oil future but are actively shaping it.

    August 24, 2023

    Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances
    (Photo by Mohammad Noori/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances

    Two years on from the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul, Afghanistan’s neighbors are increasingly concerned that their return to power has emboldened terrorist groups and networks, which are using the hospitable environment to regroup, rearm, and recruit substantially. The main question now for Afghanistan’s neighbors in the region, and the international community more broadly, is just how reliable the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances to other states really are.

    August 18, 2023

    Why it’s time to repatriate IS foreign fighters
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why it’s time to repatriate IS foreign fighters

    As the clock ticks down on the repatriation of IS foreign fighters from Syria, a recent development has added a new sense of urgency to the situation. On June 11, the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), announced its intention to prosecute 2,000 IS foreign fighters. How-ever, the lack of international recognition for the AANES and its courts renders these trials illegiti-mate, further complicating future international legal efforts to prosecute these combatants.

    July 26, 2023

    The Middle East’s Four Battlegrounds
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The Middle East’s Four Battlegrounds

    Paul Scharre’s book “Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence” straddles two lines of thought: the transformative impact of AI on power and warfare in the 21st century and the dangers AI presents to human freedoms, individual rights, and the meaning of truth and reality.

    July 11, 2023

    Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership
    Photo by Indian Ministry of External Affairs / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership

    India and Israel have embarked on a mission to enhance their bilateral strategic cyber partnership. Private-sector collaboration and investment have laid the foundation for this partnership, which has now expanded to government-level agreements and frameworks.

    The Risk of Violent Inter-Communal Spillover in West Africa: Realities and Prescriptions
    Photo by NIPAH DENNIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Risk of Violent Inter-Communal Spillover in West Africa: Realities and Prescriptions

    The Sahel region of West Africa suffers from escalating cycles of inter-communal violence that have resulted in countless deaths of innocent people. As this worsening situation continues to spread, it has come to be one of the most prominent threats to security and socio-political stability in the region.

    June 12, 2023

    Henry Kissinger’s Latest Intellectual Conquest: Artificial Intelligence
  • Commentary
  • Henry Kissinger’s Latest Intellectual Conquest: Artificial Intelligence

    Now at 100, Henry Kissinger remains a larger-than-life statesman, strategist, and scholar. Alongside intellectual titans such as George Kennan and Zbigniew Brzezinski, his story intertwines with post-World War II American foreign policy. A recent flurry of articles and editorials that spanned news outlets, think tanks, and policy platforms were put out to celebrate Kissinger’s centennial and commemorate his legacy.

    Turkey 2030: How did we get here?
    Photo by Julian Stratenschulte/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey 2030: How did we get here?

    To analyze the crossroads Turkey faces in the 2023 elections, it could prove useful to “look back from the alternative futures” and explore how the possible outcomes might play out. What could it look like if we look back from 2030 to another victory by Erdoğan? And how might have the last seven years played out had the opposition won?

    May 24, 2023

    The technical is geopolitical: Expanding US-UAE relations through AI
    Photo by STEFANI REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The technical is geopolitical: Expanding US-UAE relations through AI

    With AI development disproportionate attention is given to the world’s technological heavyweights, the U.S. and China, as they seek an innovative edge in their great power competition. But Gulf states like the UAE are also moving rapidly to invest in and adopt AI, with significant implications for bilateral relations. The momentum in both the U.S. and the UAE can be leveraged by anchoring further ideas for political, diplomatic, and military cooperation in the technical evolution of AI.