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It is time to save Lebanon
A Lebanese national flag fixed on barbed wire protecting the government headquarters, known as the Grand Serail, in central Beirut.
  • Analysis
  • It is time to save Lebanon

    As protestors take to the streets across the country, Lebanon appears to be heading towards an economic meltdown with severe consequences for Lebanese citizens of all walks of life. We are concerned that failure to tackle current problems immediately and comprehensively could result in spiraling unemployment, uncontrollable inflation, more social unrest, civil strife and a severe deterioration in public health services and other basic resources.

    October 25, 2019

    Borders Beyond Borders: The Many (Many) Kurdish Political Parties of Syria
     A demonstrator makes the
  • Analysis
  • Borders Beyond Borders: The Many (Many) Kurdish Political Parties of Syria

    The launch of Turkey’s military incursion into northern Syria on Oct. 9 represents an existential threat for the Autonomous Administration in Northeast Syria (AANES) and Kurdish parties in Syria as a whole, prompting Kurdish political factions, both within Syria and abroad, to reevaluate their survival strategies and alliances. This report explores the various political factions within the Kurdish coalitions in Syria as they functioned under the AANES and the major rifts between them. Even under these dire circumstances Kurdish political factions in Syria have responded to the Turkish invasion independently.

    October 25, 2019

    Iran may not like it, but it can live with a Turkey-Russia deal on Syria
    A convoy of Russian military vehicles drives toward the northeastern Syrian city of Kobane on October 23, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iran may not like it, but it can live with a Turkey-Russia deal on Syria

    While the Iranians would have preferred it if the Turks had not invaded Syria, it does not change their most immediate policy objective, which is the survival of the Assad regime. As long as the Russians keep the Turks away from Assad’s forces, Tehran will, at least in the short term, be able to manage the consequences of Ankara’s actions.

    The US eyes the exit as Afghan election results are once again delayed
    Independent Election Commission (IEC) workers sit at a computer terminal while election information from all over the country is gathered at the Data Centre in Kabul on October 2, 2019. - Voter participation in last weekend's Afghan presidential election will be much less than a third, the country's Independent Election Commission said on October 1, marking a record-low turnout. (Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR / AFP) (Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The US eyes the exit as Afghan election results are once again delayed

    In a move that surprised no one, on Oct. 19 the Afghan election commission said it was unable to announce the preliminary results of the Sept. 28 presidential election as planned, due to delays in processing biometric data. Held amid political uncertainty, terrorist violence, and general skepticism, the September election was the fourth presidential contest in Afghanistan since 2001, when the brutal Taliban regime was toppled in the wake of the Sept. 11 terror attacks on the United States.

    October 24, 2019

    Hezbollah’s counterrevolution
    Shiite Muslims watch a televised speech by Hassan Nasrallah, the Lebanese Shiite Hezbollah movement leader, in the city of Baalbek in Lebanon's eastern Bekaa Valley on October 19, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Hezbollah’s counterrevolution

    Lebanon’s current uprising, larger than the Cedar Revolution and rooted in long-held socio-economic grievances, has united protestors across the country in calls for fundamental political change. And this time, Shiites have joined the struggle. This is not a good outcome for Hezbollah — nothing threatens it more than discord within the Shi’a community — and it now finds itself in uncharted territory.

    October 23, 2019

    Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists
    Security forces loyal to Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas stop a vehicle at a checkpoint in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip on August 28, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists

    Reports of a secret war being waged by Hamas against Salafi-jihadist groups in the Gaza Strip are indicative of increasing challenges to the former’s security control within the enclave. Hamas’ current approach to violent Salafist cells in Gaza is equally demonstrative of an ongoing warming of relations between Cairo and Hamas, and one that has afforded Hamas international legitimacy and an ease in border restrictions.

    October 22, 2019

    Chaos and contradiction on Syria
    A convoy of U.S. armored military vehicles leave Syria on a road to Iraq on October 19, 2019 in Sheikhan, Iraq.
  • Commentary
  • Chaos and contradiction on Syria

    That some in Washington think another about-turn in policy allowing us to stay in negligible numbers, in a smaller piece of territory, would somehow enable us to sustain an anti-ISIS campaign and control Syria’s oil fields is nothing short of a fantasy.

    Erdogan heads to Russia for Syria safe zone talks with Putin
     Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) greets Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) during their bilateral talks at the Grand Kremlin Palace on April 8, 2019 in Moscow, Russia.
  • Commentary
  • Erdogan heads to Russia for Syria safe zone talks with Putin

    To make his case for an expansive safe zone in northern Syria stretching to Iraqi border, Recep Tayyip Erdogan is meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Sochi. Putin might accept a limited Turkish presence in the area for now, but he is unlikely to agree to Turkey’s current plans.

    Lebanon’s protests continue as PM Hariri unveils reforms
    Lebanese protesters wave national flags during demonstrations to demand better living conditions and the ouster of a cast of politicians who have monopolised power and influence for decades, on October 21, 2019 in downtown Beirut.
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon’s protests continue as PM Hariri unveils reforms

    If the crowds continue to take to the streets, Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s resignation seems inevitable, but what comes next is a big question mark.

    October 21, 2019

    The president and the Syrian crisis
    US President Donald Trump speaks as he arrives at Naval Air Station Joint Reserve Base Forth Worth in Texas on October 17, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • The president and the Syrian crisis

    Both Mr. Trump and Mr. Erdogan, each under mounting pressure at home, are trying to solve domestic challenges with a tragedy that will have long-term and unpredictable effects — none of them beneficial for the United States and any friends that remain.

    “Ana Kurdi” — suddenly Israelis are feeling Kurdish
    sraelis demonstrate against the Turkish military offensive in northeastern Syria on October 17, 2019 in front of the Turkish embassy in the Israeli coastal city of Tel Aviv.
  • Commentary
  • “Ana Kurdi” — suddenly Israelis are feeling Kurdish

    The news of Donald Trump’s sellout to Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan hit Israel like a lightning storm. Trump has managed to do the unthinkable: unite all Israelis around a geopolitical cause.

    Only Lebanon can save Lebanon
    Demonstrators wave a flag during a protest against a government decision to tax calls made on messaging applications on October 17, 2019 outside the government palace in Beirut.
  • Commentary
  • Only Lebanon can save Lebanon

    Something had to give. Decades of corruption and criminal mismanagement by Lebanon’s ruling elites — the same clique who have governed the country since its independence in 1943 — have finally led to an economic implosion and a social explosion.

    October 18, 2019