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The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation
Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation

    The Houthis’ strategy of escalation has the potential to upset the fragile balance of power in the Middle East and underlines the ability of smaller actors to influence larger geopolitical outcomes through calculated risks and alliances.

    July 23, 2024

    Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage

    Turkey’s loyalty to the Alliance is frequently questioned, including accusations of fence-sitting, especially when it comes to Russia. To ask, “Who lost Turkey?” is to misread the situation. Turkey is increasingly, albeit carefully, moving away from the Kremlin.

    July 23, 2024

    The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better

    The current situation is not only intolerable – it is unsustainable. It is time to recognize that the Houthis, with strong and persistent support from Iran, are in a position to hold not only the US but virtually the entire global system hostage.

    The geopolitical causes of Georgia’s political crisis
    Photo by Mirian Meladze/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitical causes of Georgia’s political crisis

    Strengthening authoritarian rule in Georgia is not just a reflection of Georgia’s internal politics but also a symptom of the West’s broader disengagement from the wider Black Sea region. This disengagement has facilitated Russian state capture in Georgia, undermining the rule of law and democracy.

    July 17, 2024

    Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration
    Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Key takeaways for NATO and the Middle East from the Washington Summit Declaration

    At the Washington Summit, NATO member states mostly focused on efforts to counter Russia and to support Ukraine. However, the 2024 summit communiqué also addresses non-Euro-Atlantic risks and opportunities, based on the idea that “conflict, fragility and instability” elsewhere directly affects NATO security.

    July 15, 2024

    Wide gap between the Egyptian government’s rosy figures and the economic hardship suffered by millions
    Photographer: Islam Safwat/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Wide gap between the Egyptian government’s rosy figures and the economic hardship suffered by millions

    For Egyptian officials, June should have been a month to celebrate. And yet none of the seeming macroeconomic successes that the government recorded brought much reassurance to the average Egyptian, who has continued to experience currency shortages, an unreliable energy grid, and fears of a resurgent spike in inflation.

    July 12, 2024

    What Comes Next for Turkey? Prospects for Change on the Political, Economic, and Foreign Policy Fronts
    Photo by Yagiz Gurtug / Middle East Images / Middle East Images via AFP
  • Analysis
  • What Comes Next for Turkey? Prospects for Change on the Political, Economic, and Foreign Policy Fronts

    After two decades in power and following the Justice and Development Party’s historic defeat in the 2024 local elections, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is now at his most vulnerable. What comes next is not only important for the future prospects of Turkish democracy but also holds important lessons for autocrats across the world. Scholars Evren Balta, Seda Demiralp, Edgar Şar, and M. Murat Kubilay seek to answer key questions about the country’s political, economic, and foreign policy trajectory in a new report from the Middle East Institute.

    The weight of past mistakes and the post-election push for economic normalization
    Photo by Celal Gunes/Anadolu via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • The weight of past mistakes and the post-election push for economic normalization

    For years under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Turkey pursued an unconventional monetary policy. The situation, long untenable, finally became unsustainable in the run-up to the presidential and parliamentary elections in May 2023. In the immediate aftermath of the vote, President Erdoğan announced a dramatic shift, returning to orthodox monetary policy. While there have been tangible improvements on a number of fronts as a result, the country faces both declining household purchasing power in the short term and a range of broader economic challenges in the longer run.

    July 9, 2024

    Central Asian states look to Iran as they seek to expand regional transit corridors
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Central Asian states look to Iran as they seek to expand regional transit corridors

    When Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022, it prompted the Central Asian states, and others, to reconsider Iran’s potential role as a transit country. In a little more than two years, Central Asia’s view of Iran has changed from international pariah to key link in lucrative trade routes.

    July 9, 2024

    NATO, North Africa, and the Sahel: Squaring the triangle of insecurity
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • NATO, North Africa, and the Sahel: Squaring the triangle of insecurity

    With NATO celebrating 75 years since its founding, Alliance members will gather in Washington, DC, on July 9-11, for a historic summit. Two of the key issues on the agenda will be addressing the acute threats emanating from the Black Sea region and adopting a strategic approach toward the Middle East and Africa.

    On the Eve of the Washington Summit: Shoring up NATO’s Vulnerable Flanks
  • Podcast
  • On the Eve of the Washington Summit: Shoring up NATO’s Vulnerable Flanks

    On July 9-11, Washington will host the leaders of NATO’s 32 member states for a special anniversary summit, celebrating 75 years since the Alliance’s founding. But the NATO heads of state and government are unlikely to spend much time reminiscing. Their agenda will be full, spanning from Ukraine, Russia, wars in the Middle East, China, terrorism, cyber threats, NATO enlargement, boosting Allied capabilities, freedom of navigation around the world, nuclear deterrence, and more.

    July 3, 2024

    New EU aid and investment in Egypt linked to migration control
    Photo by DIRK WAEM/BELGA MAG/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • New EU aid and investment in Egypt linked to migration control

    On June 29, at an aid and investment conference in Cairo, Egypt and the EU reached a €1 billion investment deal, and over 20 MoUs, collectively worth approximately €40 billion in private investment, were signed on the sidelines. Little mention has been made of migration in the new European agreement with Egypt, but there is little doubt that it is a pivotal factor.

    Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy
    Photo by KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Toward a NATO Black Sea strategy

    In its 2022 Strategic Concept, NATO declared the Black Sea Region (BSR) of strategic importance for the Alliance, yet this recognition has never translated into NATO developing a proper strategy toward its critical southeastern flank. That glaring gap must be addressed right away.